Chapecoense at Fluminense

Updated

Chapecoense

16.4%17.5%66.1%
WinDrawFluminense Win
0.53Projected Goals 2.12
0Final Score 3

Fluminense

Last 5 Games

Chapecoense
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Sport Recife+205
T 0-0 vs Atletico Goianiense
L 0-3 at America (MG)+1000
L 3-1 vs Gremio+525
L 0-2 at Santos+950
Fluminense
Money Line
L 0-2 at Bahia+310
L 1-2 at Atletico Mineiro+725
W 0-1 vs Internacional+135
W 0-2 vs America (MG)+105
L 0-1 at Juventude+175

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chapecoense+639+1500+1300+1576+1485+1300+1576+1647.3
Fluminense-339-500-588-518-565-588-500-411.4
Draw+371+525+540+594+579+540+594+623.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chapecoense+975----+1600+1600+1647.3
Fluminense-380-----550-550-411.4
Draw+485----+580+580+623.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chapecoense: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fluminense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chapecoense: 50.0%
Fluminense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chapecoense: 0.0%
Fluminense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Chapecoense ML
No Steam Moves On Fluminense ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chapecoense: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fluminense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chapecoense: 50.0%
Fluminense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chapecoense: 0.0%
Fluminense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Chapecoense ML
No Steam Moves On Fluminense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-110o2¾-122o2¾-115o3+111-o2¾-115o2¾-115o2¾-109
Underu2¾-110u2¾+102u2¾-105u3-126-u2¾-105u3-126u2¾+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-109
Under-----u2¾+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes36.1%
 
No63.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.07%
Exactly 224.81%
Exactly 414.51%
Exactly 63.39%
Exactly 80.43%
 
Exactly 118.73%
Exactly 321.91%
Exactly 57.69%
Exactly 71.28%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Chapecoense
Exactly 059.04%
Exactly 131.11%
Exactly 28.20%
Exactly 31.44%
Exactly 40.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Fluminense
Exactly 011.98%
Exactly 125.42%
Exactly 226.97%
Exactly 319.08%
Exactly 410.12%
Exactly 54.30%
Exactly 61.52%
Exactly 70.46%
Exactly 80.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.33%
Exactly 222.06%
Exactly 42.77%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.98%
Exactly 39.02%
Exactly 50.68%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chapecoense
Exactly 078.35%
Exactly 119.12%
Exactly 22.33%
Exactly 30.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fluminense
Exactly 037.44%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.07%
Exactly 35.92%
Exactly 41.45%
Exactly 50.29%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chapecoense
Wins by 2+ goals1.64%
Wins by 3+ goals0.24%
Fluminense
Wins by 2+ goals49.46%
Wins by 3+ goals26.71%
Wins by 4+ goals11.92%
Wins by 5+ goals4.48%
Wins by 6+ goals1.43%
Wins by 7+ goals0.38%

Exact Winning Margin

Chapecoense
Fluminense
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Chapecoense
Wins by 1 goal6.23%
Wins by 2 goals1.40%
Wins by 3 goals0.22%
Fluminense
Wins by 1 goal25.12%
Wins by 2 goals22.75%
Wins by 3 goals14.79%
Wins by 4 goals7.44%
Wins by 5 goals3.05%
Wins by 6 goals1.05%
Wins by 7 goals0.31%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.93%7.07%
1.574.19%25.81%
2.549.38%50.62%
3.527.47%72.53%
4.512.96%87.04%
5.55.27%94.73%
6.51.88%98.12%

Total Goals Chapecoense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.540.96%59.04%
1.59.85%90.15%
2.51.65%98.35%

Total Goals Fluminense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.02%11.98%
1.562.60%37.40%
2.535.63%64.37%
3.516.55%83.45%
4.56.43%93.57%
5.52.14%97.86%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.67%29.33%
1.534.69%65.31%
2.512.63%87.37%
3.53.61%96.39%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chapecoense
Fluminense
Score012345
0
7.07%
15.01%
15.92%
11.26%
5.98%
2.54%
1
3.73%
7.91%
8.39%
5.94%
3.15%
1.34%
2
0.98%
2.08%
2.21%
1.56%
0.83%
0.35%
3
0.17%
0.37%
0.39%
0.27%
0.15%
0.06%
Chapecoense
1-03.73%
2-00.98%
2-12.08%
3-00.17%
3-10.37%
3-20.39%
Draw
0-07.07%
1-17.91%
2-22.21%
3-30.27%
Fluminense
0-115.01%
0-215.92%
1-28.39%
0-311.26%
1-35.94%
2-31.56%
0-45.98%
1-43.15%
2-40.83%
3-40.15%
0-52.54%
1-51.34%
2-50.35%

Correct Score - First Half

Chapecoense
Fluminense
Score012345
0
29.33%
28.82%
14.16%
4.64%
1.14%
0.22%
1
7.16%
7.03%
3.45%
1.13%
0.28%
0.05%
2
0.87%
0.86%
0.42%
0.14%
0.03%
0.01%
Chapecoense
1-07.16%
2-00.87%
2-10.86%
Draw
0-029.33%
1-17.03%
2-20.42%
Fluminense
0-128.82%
0-214.16%
1-23.45%
0-34.64%
1-31.13%
2-30.14%
0-41.14%
1-40.28%
0-50.22%