Chapecoense at Fluminense

Updated

Chapecoense

16.4%17.5%66.1%
WinDrawFluminense Win
0.53Projected Goals 2.12
0Final Score 3

Fluminense

Last 5 Games

Chapecoense
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Sport Recife+205
T 0-0 vs Atletico Goianiense
L 0-3 at America (MG)+1000
L 3-1 vs Gremio+525
L 0-2 at Santos+950
Fluminense
Money Line
L 0-2 at Bahia+310
L 1-2 at Atletico Mineiro+725
W 0-1 vs Internacional+135
W 0-2 vs America (MG)+105
L 0-1 at Juventude+175

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chapecoense+639+1500+1300+1576+1485+1300+1576+1647.3
Fluminense-339-500-588-518-565-588-500-411.4
Draw+371+525+540+594+579+540+594+623.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chapecoense+975----+1600+1600+1647.3
Fluminense-380-----550-550-411.4
Draw+485----+580+580+623.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chapecoense: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fluminense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chapecoense: 50.0%
Fluminense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Chapecoense: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chapecoense: 0.0%
Fluminense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Chapecoense ML
No Steam Moves On Fluminense ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chapecoense: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fluminense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chapecoense: 50.0%
Fluminense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Chapecoense: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chapecoense: 0.0%
Fluminense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Chapecoense ML
No Steam Moves On Fluminense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-110o2¾-122o2¾-115o3+111-o2¾-115o2¾-115o2¾-109
Underu2¾-110u2¾+102u2¾-105u3-126-u2¾-105u3-126u2¾+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-109
Under-----u2¾+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes36.1%
 
No63.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.07%
Exactly 224.81%
Exactly 414.51%
Exactly 63.39%
Exactly 80.43%
 
Exactly 118.73%
Exactly 321.91%
Exactly 57.69%
Exactly 71.28%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Chapecoense
Exactly 059.04%
Exactly 131.11%
Exactly 28.20%
Exactly 31.44%
Exactly 40.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Fluminense
Exactly 011.98%
Exactly 125.42%
Exactly 226.97%
Exactly 319.08%
Exactly 410.12%
Exactly 54.30%
Exactly 61.52%
Exactly 70.46%
Exactly 80.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.33%
Exactly 222.06%
Exactly 42.77%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.98%
Exactly 39.02%
Exactly 50.68%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chapecoense
Exactly 078.35%
Exactly 119.12%
Exactly 22.33%
Exactly 30.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fluminense
Exactly 037.44%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.07%
Exactly 35.92%
Exactly 41.45%
Exactly 50.29%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chapecoense
Wins by 2+ goals1.64%
Wins by 3+ goals0.24%
Fluminense
Wins by 2+ goals49.46%
Wins by 3+ goals26.71%
Wins by 4+ goals11.92%
Wins by 5+ goals4.48%
Wins by 6+ goals1.43%
Wins by 7+ goals0.38%

Exact Winning Margin

Chapecoense
Fluminense
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Chapecoense
Wins by 1 goal6.23%
Wins by 2 goals1.40%
Wins by 3 goals0.22%
Fluminense
Wins by 1 goal25.12%
Wins by 2 goals22.75%
Wins by 3 goals14.79%
Wins by 4 goals7.44%
Wins by 5 goals3.05%
Wins by 6 goals1.05%
Wins by 7 goals0.31%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.93%7.07%
1.574.19%25.81%
2.549.38%50.62%
3.527.47%72.53%
4.512.96%87.04%
5.55.27%94.73%
6.51.88%98.12%

Total Goals Chapecoense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.540.96%59.04%
1.59.85%90.15%
2.51.65%98.35%

Total Goals Fluminense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.02%11.98%
1.562.60%37.40%
2.535.63%64.37%
3.516.55%83.45%
4.56.43%93.57%
5.52.14%97.86%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.67%29.33%
1.534.69%65.31%
2.512.63%87.37%
3.53.61%96.39%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chapecoense
Fluminense
Score012345
0
7.07%
15.01%
15.92%
11.26%
5.98%
2.54%
1
3.73%
7.91%
8.39%
5.94%
3.15%
1.34%
2
0.98%
2.08%
2.21%
1.56%
0.83%
0.35%
3
0.17%
0.37%
0.39%
0.27%
0.15%
0.06%
Chapecoense
1-03.73%
2-00.98%
2-12.08%
3-00.17%
3-10.37%
3-20.39%
Draw
0-07.07%
1-17.91%
2-22.21%
3-30.27%
Fluminense
0-115.01%
0-215.92%
1-28.39%
0-311.26%
1-35.94%
2-31.56%
0-45.98%
1-43.15%
2-40.83%
3-40.15%
0-52.54%
1-51.34%
2-50.35%

Correct Score - First Half

Chapecoense
Fluminense
Score012345
0
29.33%
28.82%
14.16%
4.64%
1.14%
0.22%
1
7.16%
7.03%
3.45%
1.13%
0.28%
0.05%
2
0.87%
0.86%
0.42%
0.14%
0.03%
0.01%
Chapecoense
1-07.16%
2-00.87%
2-10.86%
Draw
0-029.33%
1-17.03%
2-20.42%
Fluminense
0-128.82%
0-214.16%
1-23.45%
0-34.64%
1-31.13%
2-30.14%
0-41.14%
1-40.28%
0-50.22%
Sport Recife at Chapecoense
Cuiaba at Santos