Fortaleza at Athletico Paranaense

Updated

Fortaleza

23.5%27.6%48.9%
Fortaleza WinDrawAthletico Paranaense Win
0.86Projected Goals 1.38
1Final Score 1

Athletico Paranaense

Last 5 Games

Fortaleza
Money Line
L 1-2 at Internacional
L 0-2 at Botafogo RJ
W 0-1 vs Corinthians
W 2-1 at Bragantino
W 0-1 vs Criciuma
Athletico Paranaense
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Palmeiras
L 1-2 at Vasco da Gama
L 2-1 vs Juventude
T 2-2 at Internacional
L 2-0 vs Gremio

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortaleza+230-+295+320+313+320+320+340.7
Athletico Paranaense+120--110-115-115-115-110-104.0
Draw+245-+270+262+263+262+270+279.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortaleza-----+340.7
Athletico Paranaense------104.0
Draw-----+279.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fortaleza: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fortaleza: 10.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fortaleza: 0.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Fortaleza ML
No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+105-o2½-102o2½-103o2½-101o2½-103o2½-101o2½+106
Underu2¼-125-u2½-118u2½-117u2½-119u2½-117u2½-117u2½-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+106
Under-----u2½-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.2%
 
No56.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.65%
Exactly 226.71%
Exactly 411.17%
Exactly 61.87%
Exactly 80.17%
 
Exactly 123.85%
Exactly 319.94%
Exactly 55.00%
Exactly 70.60%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortaleza
Exactly 042.23%
Exactly 136.40%
Exactly 215.69%
Exactly 34.51%
Exactly 40.97%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 025.21%
Exactly 134.74%
Exactly 223.93%
Exactly 310.99%
Exactly 43.79%
Exactly 51.04%
Exactly 60.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.45%
Exactly 219.06%
Exactly 41.71%
 
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 36.59%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortaleza
Exactly 067.09%
Exactly 126.78%
Exactly 25.34%
Exactly 30.71%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 052.84%
Exactly 133.71%
Exactly 210.75%
Exactly 32.29%
Exactly 40.36%

Alternate Props

Spread

Fortaleza
Wins by 2+ goals7.63%
Wins by 3+ goals1.86%
Wins by 4+ goals0.35%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals23.59%
Wins by 3+ goals8.84%
Wins by 4+ goals2.64%
Wins by 5+ goals0.63%
Wins by 6+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Fortaleza
Athletico Paranaense
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Fortaleza
Wins by 1 goal15.82%
Wins by 2 goals5.77%
Wins by 3 goals1.51%
Wins by 4 goals0.30%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal25.29%
Wins by 2 goals14.75%
Wins by 3 goals6.19%
Wins by 4 goals2.02%
Wins by 5 goals0.53%
Wins by 6 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.35%10.65%
1.565.50%34.50%
2.538.80%61.20%
3.518.85%81.15%
4.57.69%92.31%
5.52.69%97.31%

Total Goals Fortaleza Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.77%42.23%
1.521.37%78.63%
2.55.68%94.32%
3.51.17%98.83%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.79%25.21%
1.540.05%59.95%
2.516.12%83.88%
3.55.13%94.87%
4.51.34%98.66%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.55%35.45%
1.527.79%72.21%
2.58.72%91.28%
3.52.13%97.87%

Score Props

Correct Score

Fortaleza
Athletico Paranaense
Score012345
0
10.65%
14.67%
10.11%
4.64%
1.60%
0.44%
1
9.18%
12.65%
8.71%
4.00%
1.38%
0.38%
2
3.96%
5.45%
3.76%
1.72%
0.59%
0.16%
3
1.14%
1.57%
1.08%
0.50%
0.17%
0.05%
4
0.25%
0.34%
0.23%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
Fortaleza
1-09.18%
2-03.96%
2-15.45%
3-01.14%
3-11.57%
3-21.08%
4-00.25%
4-10.34%
4-20.23%
4-30.11%
Draw
0-010.65%
1-112.65%
2-23.76%
3-30.50%
Athletico Paranaense
0-114.67%
0-210.11%
1-28.71%
0-34.64%
1-34.00%
2-31.72%
0-41.60%
1-41.38%
2-40.59%
3-40.17%
0-50.44%
1-50.38%
2-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Fortaleza
Athletico Paranaense
Score01234
0
35.45%
22.61%
7.21%
1.53%
0.24%
1
14.15%
9.03%
2.88%
0.61%
0.10%
2
2.82%
1.80%
0.57%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.38%
0.24%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Fortaleza
1-014.15%
2-02.82%
2-11.80%
3-00.38%
3-10.24%
Draw
0-035.45%
1-19.03%
2-20.57%
Athletico Paranaense
0-122.61%
0-27.21%
1-22.88%
0-31.53%
1-30.61%
2-30.12%
0-40.24%