Sao Paulo at Atletico Goianiense

Updated

Sao Paulo

29.4%29.6%41.0%
Sao Paulo WinDrawAtletico Goianiense Win
0.94Projected Goals 1.17
3Final Score 0

Atletico Goianiense

Last 5 Games

Sao Paulo
Money Line
L 1-2 at Flamengo
L 2-1 vs Fortaleza
W 0-1 vs Flamengo
L 1-2 at Atletico Mineiro
W 1-0 at Bahia
Atletico Goianiense
Money Line
L 0-1 at Botafogo RJ
L 2-1 vs Flamengo
T 1-1 at America (MG)
T 1-1 vs Athletico Paranaense
T 1-1 at Fortaleza

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo+135+173+175+174+165+174+174+187.4
Atletico Goianiense+215+190+180+190+192+190+192+204.1
Draw+230+204+205+195+200+195+205+209.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo-----+187.4
Atletico Goianiense-----+204.1
Draw-----+209.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Goianiense: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Atletico Goianiense: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Atletico Goianiense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML
No Steam Moves On Atletico Goianiense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+105o2-114o2-108o2-108o2-111o2-108o2-108o2+102
Underu2¼-125u2-104u2-112u2-112u2-109u2-112u2-104u2-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+102
Under-----u2-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.1%
 
No57.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.08%
Exactly 226.98%
Exactly 410.04%
Exactly 61.50%
Exactly 80.12%
 
Exactly 125.53%
Exactly 319.01%
Exactly 54.25%
Exactly 70.45%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 038.92%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 217.33%
Exactly 35.45%
Exactly 41.29%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Goianiense
Exactly 031.04%
Exactly 136.31%
Exactly 221.24%
Exactly 38.28%
Exactly 42.42%
Exactly 50.57%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.58%
Exactly 218.00%
Exactly 41.44%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 35.87%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 064.60%
Exactly 128.23%
Exactly 26.17%
Exactly 30.90%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Goianiense
Exactly 058.18%
Exactly 131.51%
Exactly 28.54%
Exactly 31.54%
Exactly 40.21%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals10.42%
Wins by 3+ goals2.77%
Wins by 4+ goals0.56%
Atletico Goianiense
Wins by 2+ goals17.46%
Wins by 3+ goals5.69%
Wins by 4+ goals1.47%
Wins by 5+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Sao Paulo
Atletico Goianiense
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal18.96%
Wins by 2 goals7.65%
Wins by 3 goals2.21%
Wins by 4 goals0.49%
Atletico Goianiense
Wins by 1 goal23.51%
Wins by 2 goals11.76%
Wins by 3 goals4.22%
Wins by 4 goals1.17%
Wins by 5 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.92%12.08%
1.562.39%37.61%
2.535.40%64.60%
3.516.39%83.61%
4.56.35%93.65%
5.52.10%97.90%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.08%38.92%
1.524.35%75.65%
2.57.02%92.98%
3.51.57%98.43%

Total Goals Atletico Goianiense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.96%31.04%
1.532.65%67.35%
2.511.41%88.59%
3.53.12%96.88%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.42%37.58%
1.525.64%74.36%
2.57.64%92.36%
3.51.77%98.23%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sao Paulo
Atletico Goianiense
Score012345
0
12.08%
14.13%
8.27%
3.22%
0.94%
0.22%
1
11.40%
13.34%
7.80%
3.04%
0.89%
0.21%
2
5.38%
6.29%
3.68%
1.44%
0.42%
0.10%
3
1.69%
1.98%
1.16%
0.45%
0.13%
0.03%
4
0.40%
0.47%
0.27%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Sao Paulo
1-011.40%
2-05.38%
2-16.29%
3-01.69%
3-11.98%
3-21.16%
4-00.40%
4-10.47%
4-20.27%
4-30.11%
Draw
0-012.08%
1-113.34%
2-23.68%
3-30.45%
Atletico Goianiense
0-114.13%
0-28.27%
1-27.80%
0-33.22%
1-33.04%
2-31.44%
0-40.94%
1-40.89%
2-40.42%
3-40.13%
0-50.22%
1-50.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Sao Paulo
Atletico Goianiense
Score01234
0
37.58%
20.36%
5.51%
1.00%
0.13%
1
16.42%
8.89%
2.41%
0.43%
0.06%
2
3.59%
1.94%
0.53%
0.10%
0.01%
3
0.52%
0.28%
0.08%
0.01%
0.00%
Sao Paulo
1-016.42%
2-03.59%
2-11.94%
3-00.52%
3-10.28%
Draw
0-037.58%
1-18.89%
2-20.53%
Atletico Goianiense
0-120.36%
0-25.51%
1-22.41%
0-31.00%
1-30.43%
0-40.13%