Atletico Mineiro at Sao Paulo

Updated 1155 days ago

12:00 AM • Sep 26, 2021

Atletico Mineiro

28.5%26.1%45.4%

Atletico Mineiro WinDrawSao Paulo Win

0.94Projected Goals 1.50

0Final Score 0

Sao Paulo

Last 5 Games

Atletico Mineiro		Money Line
W 0-3	9/18 vs Sport Recife	-400
W 2-0	9/12 at Fortaleza	+135
T 1-1	8/29 at Bragantino	+110
T 1-1	8/23 at Fluminense	-110
W 0-2	8/14 vs Palmeiras	+110

Sao Paulo		Money Line
T 0-0	9/22 vs America (MG)	+100
W 1-2	9/19 vs Atletico Goianiense	-175
L 1-2	9/12 at Fluminense	+145
T 1-1	8/29 at Juventude	+105
W 1-0	8/22 at Sport Recife	-120

Money Line Analysis

:3.3%:5.1%

	Open Line	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro	+230	+135	+129	+139	-	+129	+139	+146.8
Sao Paulo	+135	+245	+220	+248	-	+220	+248	+259.3
Draw	+220	+205	+200	+206	-	+200	+206	+216.0

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro	+210	-	-	-	-	+135	+135	+146.8
Sao Paulo	+145	-	-	-	-	+225	+225	+259.3
Draw	+210	-	-	-	-	+215	+215	+216.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Sao Paulo: 20.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Sao Paulo: 50.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Atletico Mineiro: 30.0%

Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML

No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Sao Paulo: 30.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Sao Paulo: 50.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Atletico Mineiro: 20.0%

Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML

No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML

Over/Under Analysis

:3.4%

	Open Line	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2¼+105	o2-112	o2-106	o2-100	-	o2-106	o2-106	o2+107
Under	u2¼-125	u2-108	u2-114	u2-114	-	u2-114	u2-108	u2-107

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2+107
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 20.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	47.4%


No	52.6%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	8.70%
Exactly 2	25.94%
Exactly 4	12.89%
Exactly 6	2.56%
Exactly 8	0.27%


Exactly 1	21.25%
Exactly 3	21.11%
Exactly 5	6.29%
Exactly 7	0.89%

Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 0	38.99%
Exactly 1	36.72%
Exactly 2	17.30%
Exactly 3	5.43%
Exactly 4	1.28%
Exactly 5	0.24%

Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 0	22.32%
Exactly 1	33.47%
Exactly 2	25.10%
Exactly 3	12.55%
Exactly 4	4.70%
Exactly 5	1.41%
Exactly 6	0.35%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	32.29%
Exactly 2	20.63%
Exactly 4	2.20%


Exactly 1	36.50%
Exactly 3	7.77%
Exactly 5	0.50%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 0	64.65%
Exactly 1	28.20%
Exactly 2	6.15%
Exactly 3	0.89%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 0	49.94%
Exactly 1	34.68%
Exactly 2	12.04%
Exactly 3	2.79%
Exactly 4	0.48%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 2+ goals	8.15%
Wins by 3+ goals	2.12%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.42%

Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals	25.40%
Wins by 3+ goals	10.11%
Wins by 4+ goals	3.23%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.82%
Wins by 6+ goals	0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Mineiro

Sao Paulo

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 1 goal	15.52%
Wins by 2 goals	6.03%
Wins by 3 goals	1.70%
Wins by 4 goals	0.37%

Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal	24.71%
Wins by 2 goals	15.29%
Wins by 3 goals	6.88%
Wins by 4 goals	2.41%
Wins by 5 goals	0.68%
Wins by 6 goals	0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	91.30%	8.70%
1.5	70.05%	29.95%
2.5	44.11%	55.89%
3.5	23.00%	77.00%
4.5	10.12%	89.88%
5.5	3.82%	96.18%
6.5	1.26%	98.74%

Total Goals Atletico Mineiro Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	61.01%	38.99%
1.5	24.29%	75.71%
2.5	6.99%	93.01%
3.5	1.56%	98.44%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	77.68%	22.32%
1.5	44.21%	55.79%
2.5	19.11%	80.89%
3.5	6.56%	93.44%
4.5	1.86%	98.14%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	67.71%	32.29%
1.5	31.21%	68.79%
2.5	10.58%	89.42%
3.5	2.81%	97.19%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Mineiro

Sao Paulo

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8.70%	13.05%	9.79%	4.89%	1.83%	0.55%
1	8.20%	12.29%	9.22%	4.61%	1.73%	0.52%
2	3.86%	5.79%	4.34%	2.17%	0.81%	0.24%
3	1.21%	1.82%	1.36%	0.68%	0.26%	0.08%
4	0.29%	0.43%	0.32%	0.16%	0.06%	0.02%

Atletico Mineiro
1-0	8.20%
2-0	3.86%
2-1	5.79%
3-0	1.21%
3-1	1.82%
3-2	1.36%
4-0	0.29%
4-1	0.43%
4-2	0.32%
4-3	0.16%

Draw
0-0	8.70%
1-1	12.29%
2-2	4.34%
3-3	0.68%

Sao Paulo
0-1	13.05%
0-2	9.79%
1-2	9.22%
0-3	4.89%
1-3	4.61%
2-3	2.17%
0-4	1.83%
1-4	1.73%
2-4	0.81%
3-4	0.26%
0-5	0.55%
1-5	0.52%
2-5	0.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Mineiro

Sao Paulo

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	32.29%	22.42%	7.78%	1.80%	0.31%
1	14.08%	9.78%	3.39%	0.79%	0.14%
2	3.07%	2.13%	0.74%	0.17%	0.03%
3	0.45%	0.31%	0.11%	0.02%	0.00%

Atletico Mineiro
1-0	14.08%
2-0	3.07%
2-1	2.13%
3-0	0.45%
3-1	0.31%
3-2	0.11%

Draw
0-0	32.29%
1-1	9.78%
2-2	0.74%

Sao Paulo
0-1	22.42%
0-2	7.78%
1-2	3.39%
0-3	1.80%
1-3	0.79%
2-3	0.17%
0-4	0.31%
1-4	0.14%

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Atletico Mineiro at Sao Paulo