Atletico Mineiro at Sao Paulo

Updated

Atletico Mineiro

28.5%26.1%45.4%
Atletico Mineiro WinDrawSao Paulo Win
0.94Projected Goals 1.50
0Final Score 0

Sao Paulo

Last 5 Games

Atletico Mineiro
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Sport Recife-400
W 2-0 at Fortaleza+135
T 1-1 at Bragantino+110
T 1-1 at Fluminense-110
W 0-2 vs Palmeiras+110
Sao Paulo
Money Line
T 0-0 vs America (MG)+100
W 1-2 vs Atletico Goianiense-175
L 1-2 at Fluminense+145
T 1-1 at Juventude+105
W 1-0 at Sport Recife-120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro+230+135+129+139-+129+139+146.8
Sao Paulo+135+245+220+248-+220+248+259.3
Draw+220+205+200+206-+200+206+216.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro+210----+135+135+146.8
Sao Paulo+145----+225+225+259.3
Draw+210----+215+215+216.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%
Sao Paulo: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML
No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%
Sao Paulo: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML
No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+105o2-112o2-106o2-100-o2-106o2-106o2+107
Underu2¼-125u2-108u2-114u2-114-u2-114u2-108u2-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+107
Under-----u2-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.4%
 
No52.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.70%
Exactly 225.94%
Exactly 412.89%
Exactly 62.56%
Exactly 80.27%
 
Exactly 121.25%
Exactly 321.11%
Exactly 56.29%
Exactly 70.89%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 038.99%
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 217.30%
Exactly 35.43%
Exactly 41.28%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 022.32%
Exactly 133.47%
Exactly 225.10%
Exactly 312.55%
Exactly 44.70%
Exactly 51.41%
Exactly 60.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.29%
Exactly 220.63%
Exactly 42.20%
 
Exactly 136.50%
Exactly 37.77%
Exactly 50.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 064.65%
Exactly 128.20%
Exactly 26.15%
Exactly 30.89%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 049.94%
Exactly 134.68%
Exactly 212.04%
Exactly 32.79%
Exactly 40.48%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 2+ goals8.15%
Wins by 3+ goals2.12%
Wins by 4+ goals0.42%
Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals25.40%
Wins by 3+ goals10.11%
Wins by 4+ goals3.23%
Wins by 5+ goals0.82%
Wins by 6+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Mineiro
Sao Paulo
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 1 goal15.52%
Wins by 2 goals6.03%
Wins by 3 goals1.70%
Wins by 4 goals0.37%
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal24.71%
Wins by 2 goals15.29%
Wins by 3 goals6.88%
Wins by 4 goals2.41%
Wins by 5 goals0.68%
Wins by 6 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.30%8.70%
1.570.05%29.95%
2.544.11%55.89%
3.523.00%77.00%
4.510.12%89.88%
5.53.82%96.18%
6.51.26%98.74%

Total Goals Atletico Mineiro Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.01%38.99%
1.524.29%75.71%
2.56.99%93.01%
3.51.56%98.44%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.68%22.32%
1.544.21%55.79%
2.519.11%80.89%
3.56.56%93.44%
4.51.86%98.14%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.71%32.29%
1.531.21%68.79%
2.510.58%89.42%
3.52.81%97.19%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Mineiro
Sao Paulo
Score012345
0
8.70%
13.05%
9.79%
4.89%
1.83%
0.55%
1
8.20%
12.29%
9.22%
4.61%
1.73%
0.52%
2
3.86%
5.79%
4.34%
2.17%
0.81%
0.24%
3
1.21%
1.82%
1.36%
0.68%
0.26%
0.08%
4
0.29%
0.43%
0.32%
0.16%
0.06%
0.02%
Atletico Mineiro
1-08.20%
2-03.86%
2-15.79%
3-01.21%
3-11.82%
3-21.36%
4-00.29%
4-10.43%
4-20.32%
4-30.16%
Draw
0-08.70%
1-112.29%
2-24.34%
3-30.68%
Sao Paulo
0-113.05%
0-29.79%
1-29.22%
0-34.89%
1-34.61%
2-32.17%
0-41.83%
1-41.73%
2-40.81%
3-40.26%
0-50.55%
1-50.52%
2-50.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Mineiro
Sao Paulo
Score01234
0
32.29%
22.42%
7.78%
1.80%
0.31%
1
14.08%
9.78%
3.39%
0.79%
0.14%
2
3.07%
2.13%
0.74%
0.17%
0.03%
3
0.45%
0.31%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Atletico Mineiro
1-014.08%
2-03.07%
2-12.13%
3-00.45%
3-10.31%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-032.29%
1-19.78%
2-20.74%
Sao Paulo
0-122.42%
0-27.78%
1-23.39%
0-31.80%
1-30.79%
2-30.17%
0-40.31%
1-40.14%