Dortmund at Atletico Madrid

Updated

Dortmund

26.5%24.9%48.6%
Dortmund WinDrawAtletico Madrid Win
1.11Projected Goals 1.60
1Final Score 2

Atletico Madrid

Last 5 Games

Dortmund
Money Line
W 0-2 vs PSV Eindhoven+115
T 1-1 at PSV Eindhoven+254
T 1-1 vs Paris Saint-Germain+280
W 3-1 at Milan+265
W 0-2 vs Newcastle United+170
Atletico Madrid
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Inter+200
L 0-1 at Inter+500
W 0-2 vs Lazio-160
W 3-1 at Feyenoord+185
W 0-6 vs Celtic-275

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dortmund+330+337+360+370+351+370+370+386.3
Atletico Madrid-120-119-125-123-121-123-119-114.2
Draw+255+274+265+270+276+270+276+282.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dortmund+355-+343+350+355+350+355+386.3
Atletico Madrid-125--125-130-135-130-125-114.2
Draw+265-+276+260+260+280+280+282.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Dortmund: 20.0%
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Dortmund: 20.0%
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Dortmund ML moved from +336 to +327
Atletico Madrid ML moved from -120 to -128

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Dortmund: 20.0%
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Dortmund: 10.0%
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Dortmund ML moved from +345 to +328
Atletico Madrid ML moved from -125 to -135

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110o2½-127o2½-120o2¾+108o2½-117o2¾+108o2½-117o2¾+117
Underu2½-110u2½+107u2½+100u2¾-128u2½+101u2¾-128u2½+107u2¾-117
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2½-130o2½-120o2½-120o2½-125o2½-125o2½-120o2¾+117
Underu2½-120u2½+110u2½+100u2½+100u2½-105u2½+105u2½+110u2¾-117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½+100 to o2½-130
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.5%
 
No46.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.66%
Exactly 224.43%
Exactly 414.95%
Exactly 63.66%
Exactly 80.48%
 
Exactly 118.03%
Exactly 322.07%
Exactly 58.10%
Exactly 71.42%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Dortmund
Exactly 032.86%
Exactly 136.57%
Exactly 220.35%
Exactly 37.55%
Exactly 42.10%
Exactly 50.47%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 020.25%
Exactly 132.34%
Exactly 225.82%
Exactly 313.74%
Exactly 45.49%
Exactly 51.75%
Exactly 60.47%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.52%
Exactly 222.44%
Exactly 42.94%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.78%
Exactly 39.39%
Exactly 50.74%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Dortmund
Exactly 059.73%
Exactly 130.78%
Exactly 27.93%
Exactly 31.36%
Exactly 40.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 047.74%
Exactly 135.30%
Exactly 213.05%
Exactly 33.22%
Exactly 40.59%

Alternate Props

Spread

Dortmund
Wins by 2+ goals10.17%
Wins by 3+ goals3.00%
Wins by 4+ goals0.67%
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals25.23%
Wins by 3+ goals10.46%
Wins by 4+ goals3.54%
Wins by 5+ goals0.99%
Wins by 6+ goals0.23%

Exact Winning Margin

Dortmund
Atletico Madrid
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Dortmund
Wins by 1 goal16.25%
Wins by 2 goals7.17%
Wins by 3 goals2.33%
Wins by 4 goals0.58%
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 1 goal23.32%
Wins by 2 goals14.77%
Wins by 3 goals6.92%
Wins by 4 goals2.55%
Wins by 5 goals0.77%
Wins by 6 goals0.19%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.34%6.66%
1.575.31%24.69%
2.550.88%49.12%
3.528.81%71.19%
4.513.85%86.15%
5.55.75%94.25%
6.52.09%97.91%

Total Goals Dortmund Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.14%32.86%
1.530.57%69.43%
2.510.22%89.78%
3.52.67%97.33%

Total Goals Atletico Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.75%20.25%
1.547.40%52.60%
2.521.58%78.42%
3.57.84%92.16%
4.52.35%97.65%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.48%28.52%
1.535.70%64.30%
2.513.26%86.74%
3.53.87%96.13%

Score Props

Correct Score

Dortmund
Atletico Madrid
Score012345
0
6.66%
10.63%
8.48%
4.52%
1.80%
0.58%
1
7.41%
11.83%
9.44%
5.03%
2.01%
0.64%
2
4.12%
6.58%
5.25%
2.80%
1.12%
0.36%
3
1.53%
2.44%
1.95%
1.04%
0.41%
0.13%
4
0.43%
0.68%
0.54%
0.29%
0.12%
0.04%
Dortmund
1-07.41%
2-04.12%
2-16.58%
3-01.53%
3-12.44%
3-21.95%
4-00.43%
4-10.68%
4-20.54%
4-30.29%
Draw
0-06.66%
1-111.83%
2-25.25%
3-31.04%
4-40.12%
Atletico Madrid
0-110.63%
0-28.48%
1-29.44%
0-34.52%
1-35.03%
2-32.80%
0-41.80%
1-42.01%
2-41.12%
3-40.41%
0-50.58%
1-50.64%
2-50.36%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Dortmund
Atletico Madrid
Score01234
0
28.52%
21.08%
7.79%
1.92%
0.35%
1
14.70%
10.86%
4.02%
0.99%
0.18%
2
3.79%
2.80%
1.03%
0.25%
0.05%
3
0.65%
0.48%
0.18%
0.04%
0.01%
Dortmund
1-014.70%
2-03.79%
2-12.80%
3-00.65%
3-10.48%
3-20.18%
Draw
0-028.52%
1-110.86%
2-21.03%
Atletico Madrid
0-121.08%
0-27.79%
1-24.02%
0-31.92%
1-30.99%
2-30.25%
0-40.35%
1-40.18%