Dortmund at Milan

Updated

Dortmund

32.9%25.7%41.4%
Dortmund WinDrawMilan Win
1.26Projected Goals 1.44
3Final Score 1

Milan

Last 5 Games

Dortmund
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Newcastle United+170
W 1-0 at Newcastle United+475
T 0-0 vs Milan+153
L 0-2 at Paris Saint-Germain+330
L 0-2 at Chelsea+385
Milan
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Paris Saint-Germain+205
L 0-3 at Paris Saint-Germain+390
T 0-0 at Dortmund+180
T 0-0 vs Newcastle United+170
L 0-1 at Inter+220

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dortmund+268+262+260+273+273+273+273+286.0
Milan+103+105+100+100+100+100+105+107.0
Draw+263+260+265+275+275+275+275+288.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dortmund+270-+265-+240+250+265+286.0
Milan-120-+100--110+105+105+107.0
Draw+235-+265-+240+260+265+288.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Dortmund: 30.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Dortmund: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Dortmund ML moved from +250 to +240
Milan ML moved from +115 to +105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Dortmund: 30.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Dortmund: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Dortmund ML moved from +265 to +240
Milan ML moved from +108 to +100

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-116o2½-140o2¾-102o2¾-102o2¾-102o2¾-102o2¾-102o2¾+107
Underu2½-102u2½+118u2¾-118u2¾-118u2¾-118u2¾-118u2½+118u2¾-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120o2½-125o2½-125-o2½-130o2½-125o2½-125o2¾+107
Underu2½-110u2½+105u2½+105-u2½+100u2½+105u2½+105u2¾-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.7%
 
No45.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.70%
Exactly 224.48%
Exactly 414.90%
Exactly 63.63%
Exactly 80.47%
 
Exactly 118.12%
Exactly 322.05%
Exactly 58.05%
Exactly 71.40%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Dortmund
Exactly 028.40%
Exactly 135.75%
Exactly 222.50%
Exactly 39.44%
Exactly 42.97%
Exactly 50.75%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 023.60%
Exactly 134.08%
Exactly 224.60%
Exactly 311.84%
Exactly 44.27%
Exactly 51.23%
Exactly 60.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.62%
Exactly 222.40%
Exactly 42.92%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.80%
Exactly 39.34%
Exactly 50.73%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Dortmund
Exactly 055.84%
Exactly 132.54%
Exactly 29.48%
Exactly 31.84%
Exactly 40.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 051.25%
Exactly 134.26%
Exactly 211.45%
Exactly 32.55%
Exactly 40.43%

Alternate Props

Spread

Dortmund
Wins by 2+ goals14.06%
Wins by 3+ goals4.70%
Wins by 4+ goals1.26%
Wins by 5+ goals0.27%
Milan
Wins by 2+ goals19.77%
Wins by 3+ goals7.46%
Wins by 4+ goals2.26%
Wins by 5+ goals0.54%

Exact Winning Margin

Dortmund
Milan
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Dortmund
Wins by 1 goal18.81%
Wins by 2 goals9.35%
Wins by 3 goals3.44%
Wins by 4 goals0.99%
Wins by 5 goals0.23%
Milan
Wins by 1 goal21.58%
Wins by 2 goals12.31%
Wins by 3 goals5.20%
Wins by 4 goals1.72%
Wins by 5 goals0.46%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.30%6.70%
1.575.18%24.82%
2.550.70%49.30%
3.528.64%71.36%
4.513.75%86.25%
5.55.69%94.31%
6.52.07%97.93%

Total Goals Dortmund Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.60%28.40%
1.535.84%64.16%
2.513.35%86.65%
3.53.91%96.09%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.40%23.60%
1.542.32%57.68%
2.517.72%82.28%
3.55.88%94.12%
4.51.61%98.39%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.38%28.62%
1.535.58%64.42%
2.513.18%86.82%
3.53.84%96.16%

Score Props

Correct Score

Dortmund
Milan
Score012345
0
6.70%
9.68%
6.99%
3.36%
1.21%
0.35%
1
8.44%
12.18%
8.80%
4.23%
1.53%
0.44%
2
5.31%
7.67%
5.53%
2.66%
0.96%
0.28%
3
2.23%
3.22%
2.32%
1.12%
0.40%
0.12%
4
0.70%
1.01%
0.73%
0.35%
0.13%
0.04%
5
0.18%
0.25%
0.18%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
Dortmund
1-08.44%
2-05.31%
2-17.67%
3-02.23%
3-13.22%
3-22.32%
4-00.70%
4-11.01%
4-20.73%
4-30.35%
5-00.18%
5-10.25%
5-20.18%
Draw
0-06.70%
1-112.18%
2-25.53%
3-31.12%
4-40.13%
Milan
0-19.68%
0-26.99%
1-28.80%
0-33.36%
1-34.23%
2-32.66%
0-41.21%
1-41.53%
2-40.96%
3-40.40%
0-50.35%
1-50.44%
2-50.28%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Dortmund
Milan
Score01234
0
28.62%
19.13%
6.39%
1.42%
0.24%
1
16.68%
11.15%
3.73%
0.83%
0.14%
2
4.86%
3.25%
1.09%
0.24%
0.04%
3
0.94%
0.63%
0.21%
0.05%
0.01%
4
0.14%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Dortmund
1-016.68%
2-04.86%
2-13.25%
3-00.94%
3-10.63%
3-20.21%
4-00.14%
Draw
0-028.62%
1-111.15%
2-21.09%
Milan
0-119.13%
0-26.39%
1-23.73%
0-31.42%
1-30.83%
2-30.24%
0-40.24%
1-40.14%