Milan at Dortmund

Updated

Milan

21.9%22.3%55.8%
Milan WinDrawDortmund Win
1.11Projected Goals 1.89
0Final Score 0

Dortmund

Last 5 Games

Milan
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Newcastle United+170
L 0-1 at Inter+220
L 2-0 vs Inter+235
T 1-1 at Napoli+350
W 0-1 vs Napoli+172
Dortmund
Money Line
L 0-2 at Paris Saint-Germain+330
L 0-2 at Chelsea+385
W 0-1 vs Chelsea+130
T 1-1 at FC Copenhagen-140
T 0-0 vs Manchester City+380

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan+193+180+180+176+176+176+180+185.7
Dortmund+139+155+150+160+160+160+160+169.1
Draw+256+243+250+247+247+247+250+259.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan+170-+177-+170+180+180+185.7
Dortmund+125-+153-+125+150+153+169.1
Draw+235-+243-+235+240+243+259.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
Dortmund: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Dortmund: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from +186 to +180
Dortmund ML moved from +155 to +148

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
Dortmund: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Dortmund: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from +190 to +180
No Steam Moves On Dortmund ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-138o2½-120o2½-120o2½-115o2½-114o2½-115o2½-114o2½-104
Underu2½+116u2½+102u2½+100u2½-105u2½-106u2½-105u2½+102u2½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120o2½-120o2½-117-o2½-125o2½-125o2½-117o2½-104
Underu2½-110u2½+100u2½-103-u2½-105u2½+105u2½+105u2½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes56.8%
 
No43.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.98%
Exactly 222.41%
Exactly 416.80%
Exactly 65.04%
Exactly 80.81%
 
Exactly 114.94%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.08%
Exactly 72.16%
Exactly 90.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 033.10%
Exactly 136.60%
Exactly 220.23%
Exactly 37.46%
Exactly 42.06%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - Dortmund
Exactly 015.05%
Exactly 128.50%
Exactly 226.99%
Exactly 317.04%
Exactly 48.07%
Exactly 53.06%
Exactly 60.96%
Exactly 70.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.94%
Exactly 224.05%
Exactly 43.87%
Exactly 60.25%
 
Exactly 134.63%
Exactly 311.13%
Exactly 51.07%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 059.93%
Exactly 130.68%
Exactly 27.85%
Exactly 31.34%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Dortmund
Exactly 041.61%
Exactly 136.49%
Exactly 216.00%
Exactly 34.68%
Exactly 41.03%
Exactly 50.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Milan
Wins by 2+ goals8.14%
Wins by 3+ goals2.34%
Wins by 4+ goals0.51%
Dortmund
Wins by 2+ goals32.26%
Wins by 3+ goals15.21%
Wins by 4+ goals5.92%
Wins by 5+ goals1.92%
Wins by 6+ goals0.50%

Exact Winning Margin

Milan
Dortmund
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Milan
Wins by 1 goal13.67%
Wins by 2 goals5.80%
Wins by 3 goals1.83%
Wins by 4 goals0.44%
Dortmund
Wins by 1 goal23.43%
Wins by 2 goals17.05%
Wins by 3 goals9.29%
Wins by 4 goals4.00%
Wins by 5 goals1.42%
Wins by 6 goals0.41%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.02%4.98%
1.580.08%19.92%
2.557.67%42.33%
3.535.27%64.73%
4.518.47%81.53%
5.58.39%91.61%
6.53.35%96.65%
7.51.19%98.81%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.90%33.10%
1.530.31%69.69%
2.510.07%89.93%
3.52.62%97.38%

Total Goals Dortmund Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.95%15.05%
1.556.45%43.55%
2.529.46%70.54%
3.512.43%87.57%
4.54.36%95.64%
5.51.30%98.70%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.06%24.94%
1.540.43%59.57%
2.516.38%83.62%
3.55.25%94.75%
4.51.38%98.62%

Score Props

Correct Score

Milan
Dortmund
Score012345
0
4.98%
9.43%
8.93%
5.64%
2.67%
1.01%
1
5.51%
10.43%
9.88%
6.24%
2.95%
1.12%
2
3.04%
5.77%
5.46%
3.45%
1.63%
0.62%
3
1.12%
2.13%
2.01%
1.27%
0.60%
0.23%
4
0.31%
0.59%
0.56%
0.35%
0.17%
0.06%
Milan
1-05.51%
2-03.04%
2-15.77%
3-01.12%
3-12.13%
3-22.01%
4-00.31%
4-10.59%
4-20.56%
4-30.35%
Draw
0-04.98%
1-110.43%
2-25.46%
3-31.27%
4-40.17%
Dortmund
0-19.43%
0-28.93%
1-29.88%
0-35.64%
1-36.24%
2-33.45%
0-42.67%
1-42.95%
2-41.63%
3-40.60%
0-51.01%
1-51.12%
2-50.62%
3-50.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Milan
Dortmund
Score012345
0
24.94%
21.87%
9.59%
2.80%
0.61%
0.11%
1
12.77%
11.19%
4.91%
1.43%
0.31%
0.06%
2
3.27%
2.87%
1.26%
0.37%
0.08%
0.01%
3
0.56%
0.49%
0.21%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Milan
1-012.77%
2-03.27%
2-12.87%
3-00.56%
3-10.49%
3-20.21%
Draw
0-024.94%
1-111.19%
2-21.26%
Dortmund
0-121.87%
0-29.59%
1-24.91%
0-32.80%
1-31.43%
2-30.37%
0-40.61%
1-40.31%
0-50.11%