Liverpool at Benfica

Updated

Liverpool

72.6%16.7%10.7%
Liverpool WinDrawWin
2.38Projected Goals 0.80
3Final Score 1

Benfica

Last 5 Games

Liverpool
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Inter-180
W 2-0 at Inter+115
W 2-1 at Milan+200
W 0-2 vs Porto-136
W 0-2 vs Atletico Madrid-162
Benfica
Money Line
W 1-0 at Ajax+800
T 2-2 vs Ajax+390
W 0-2 vs Dynamo Kyiv-290
T 0-0 at Barcelona+450
L 2-5 at Bayern Munich+1800

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Liverpool-295-235-255-234-255-255-234-218.2
Benfica+556+600+765+734+644+765+765+750.4
Draw+352+370+400+394+383+400+400+408.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Liverpool-265--255---260-255-218.2
Benfica+800-+730--+725+730+750.4
Draw+375-+378--+380+380+408.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Liverpool: 10.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Liverpool: 0.0%
Benfica: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Liverpool ML moved from -228 to -234
Benfica ML moved from +746 to +734

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Liverpool: 10.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Liverpool: 0.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Liverpool ML moved from -248 to -255
Benfica ML moved from +705 to +695

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-108o3+102o3+102o3+106-o3+102o3+106o3+114
Underu3-108u3-122u3-118u3-121-u3-118u3-118u3-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3+100o3+100-o3-115o3+105o3+105o3+114
Underu3-115u3-120u3-120-u3-115u3-125u3-115u3-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.9%
 
No50.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.14%
Exactly 221.00%
Exactly 417.74%
Exactly 65.99%
Exactly 81.08%
Exactly 100.12%
 
Exactly 113.19%
Exactly 322.28%
Exactly 511.29%
Exactly 72.73%
Exactly 90.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool
Exactly 09.20%
Exactly 121.95%
Exactly 226.19%
Exactly 320.83%
Exactly 412.42%
Exactly 55.93%
Exactly 62.36%
Exactly 70.80%
Exactly 80.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 045.03%
Exactly 135.93%
Exactly 214.33%
Exactly 33.81%
Exactly 40.76%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.90%
Exactly 224.88%
Exactly 44.51%
Exactly 60.33%
 
Exactly 133.75%
Exactly 312.22%
Exactly 51.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool
Exactly 033.13%
Exactly 136.60%
Exactly 220.22%
Exactly 37.44%
Exactly 42.06%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 069.12%
Exactly 125.53%
Exactly 24.71%
Exactly 30.58%

Alternate Props

Spread

Liverpool
Wins by 2+ goals49.77%
Wins by 3+ goals28.47%
Wins by 4+ goals13.68%
Wins by 5+ goals5.58%
Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals3.04%
Wins by 3+ goals0.66%

Exact Winning Margin

Liverpool
Benfica
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Liverpool
Wins by 1 goal22.80%
Wins by 2 goals21.30%
Wins by 3 goals14.79%
Wins by 4 goals8.10%
Wins by 5 goals3.64%
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal7.62%
Wins by 2 goals2.38%
Wins by 3 goals0.55%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.86%4.14%
1.582.67%17.33%
2.561.67%38.33%
3.539.39%60.61%
4.521.65%78.35%
5.510.36%89.64%
6.54.36%95.64%
7.51.64%98.36%

Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.80%9.20%
1.568.85%31.15%
2.542.66%57.34%
3.521.84%78.16%
4.59.41%90.59%
5.53.48%96.52%
6.51.13%98.87%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.97%45.03%
1.519.04%80.96%
2.54.71%95.29%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.10%22.90%
1.543.35%56.65%
2.518.47%81.53%
3.56.24%93.76%
4.51.74%98.26%

Score Props

Correct Score

Liverpool
Benfica
Score0123
0
4.14%
3.30%
1.32%
0.35%
1
9.89%
7.89%
3.15%
0.84%
2
11.79%
9.41%
3.75%
1.00%
3
9.38%
7.48%
2.98%
0.79%
4
5.59%
4.46%
1.78%
0.47%
5
2.67%
2.13%
0.85%
0.23%
Liverpool
1-09.89%
2-011.79%
2-19.41%
3-09.38%
3-17.48%
3-22.98%
4-05.59%
4-14.46%
4-21.78%
4-30.47%
5-02.67%
5-12.13%
5-20.85%
5-30.23%
Draw
0-04.14%
1-17.89%
2-23.75%
3-30.79%
Benfica
0-13.30%
0-21.32%
1-23.15%
0-30.35%
1-30.84%
2-31.00%

Correct Score - First Half

Liverpool
Benfica
Score0123
0
22.90%
8.46%
1.56%
0.19%
1
25.30%
9.34%
1.73%
0.21%
2
13.97%
5.16%
0.95%
0.12%
3
5.15%
1.90%
0.35%
0.04%
4
1.42%
0.52%
0.10%
0.01%
5
0.31%
0.12%
0.02%
0.00%
Liverpool
1-025.30%
2-013.97%
2-15.16%
3-05.15%
3-11.90%
3-20.35%
4-01.42%
4-10.52%
5-00.31%
5-10.12%
Draw
0-022.90%
1-19.34%
2-20.95%
Benfica
0-18.46%
0-21.56%
1-21.73%
0-30.19%
1-30.21%
2-30.12%