Benfica at Ajax

Updated

Benfica

7.9%13.9%78.2%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.74Projected Goals 2.66
1Final Score 0

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Benfica
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Ajax+390
W 0-2 vs Dynamo Kyiv-290
T 0-0 at Barcelona+450
L 2-5 at Bayern Munich+1800
L 4-0 vs Bayern Munich+515
Ajax
Money Line
T 2-2 at Benfica-150
W 2-4 vs Sporting CP-415
W 2-1 at Besiktas-247
W 3-1 at Dortmund+130
W 0-4 vs Dortmund+118

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica+500+700+725+780+760+725+780+795.5
Ajax-220-295-285-292-317-285-285-258.8
Draw+380+450+480+486+461+480+486+498.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica+590-+745-+600+800+800+795.5
Ajax-240--310--325-325-310-258.8
Draw+400-+440-+360+475+475+498.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 0.0%
Ajax: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from +805 to +780
Ajax ML moved from -274 to -286

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 0.0%
Ajax: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 10.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from +715 to +692
Ajax ML moved from -300 to -310

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-115o3¼-118o3½+111--o3½+111o3¼-118o3½+109
Underu3¼-105u3¼-102u3½-127--u3½-127u3½-127u3½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+110o3½+110o3½+105-o3½-115o3½+105o3½+110o3½+109
Underu3½-130u3½-130u3½-125-u3½-115u3½-125u3½-115u3½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3½+106 to o3½-115
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3½+110 to o3½-115
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.5%
 
No51.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.35%
Exactly 219.32%
Exactly 418.57%
Exactly 67.14%
Exactly 81.47%
Exactly 100.19%
 
Exactly 111.38%
Exactly 321.87%
Exactly 512.61%
Exactly 73.46%
Exactly 90.55%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 047.88%
Exactly 135.26%
Exactly 212.99%
Exactly 33.19%
Exactly 40.59%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 07.00%
Exactly 118.61%
Exactly 224.75%
Exactly 321.94%
Exactly 414.59%
Exactly 57.76%
Exactly 63.44%
Exactly 71.31%
Exactly 80.43%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.75%
Exactly 225.66%
Exactly 45.29%
Exactly 60.44%
 
Exactly 132.63%
Exactly 313.45%
Exactly 51.66%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 071.10%
Exactly 124.25%
Exactly 24.13%
Exactly 30.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 029.19%
Exactly 135.94%
Exactly 222.13%
Exactly 39.08%
Exactly 42.80%
Exactly 50.69%
Exactly 60.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals2.02%
Wins by 3+ goals0.37%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals57.13%
Wins by 3+ goals35.38%
Wins by 4+ goals18.60%
Wins by 5+ goals8.39%
Wins by 6+ goals3.28%
Wins by 7+ goals1.11%
Wins by 8+ goals0.31%

Exact Winning Margin

Benfica
Ajax
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal5.80%
Wins by 2 goals1.65%
Wins by 3 goals0.33%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal21.00%
Wins by 2 goals21.75%
Wins by 3 goals16.77%
Wins by 4 goals10.21%
Wins by 5 goals5.11%
Wins by 6 goals2.17%
Wins by 7 goals0.80%
Wins by 8 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.65%3.35%
1.585.27%14.73%
2.565.95%34.05%
3.544.08%55.92%
4.525.51%74.49%
5.512.90%87.10%
6.55.76%94.24%
7.52.29%97.71%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.552.12%47.88%
1.516.86%83.14%
2.53.87%96.13%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.00%7.00%
1.574.39%25.61%
2.549.64%50.36%
3.527.70%72.30%
4.513.12%86.88%
5.55.35%94.65%
6.51.91%98.09%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.25%20.75%
1.546.61%53.39%
2.520.95%79.05%
3.57.51%92.49%
4.52.22%97.78%

Score Props

Correct Score

Benfica
Ajax
Score012345
0
3.35%
8.91%
11.85%
10.50%
6.98%
3.72%
1
2.47%
6.56%
8.73%
7.74%
5.14%
2.74%
2
0.91%
2.42%
3.21%
2.85%
1.89%
1.01%
3
0.22%
0.59%
0.79%
0.70%
0.47%
0.25%
Benfica
1-02.47%
2-00.91%
2-12.42%
3-00.22%
3-10.59%
3-20.79%
Draw
0-03.35%
1-16.56%
2-23.21%
3-30.70%
Ajax
0-18.91%
0-211.85%
1-28.73%
0-310.50%
1-37.74%
2-32.85%
0-46.98%
1-45.14%
2-41.89%
3-40.47%
0-53.72%
1-52.74%
2-51.01%
3-50.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Benfica
Ajax
Score0123456
0
20.75%
25.56%
15.74%
6.46%
1.99%
0.49%
0.10%
1
7.08%
8.72%
5.37%
2.20%
0.68%
0.17%
0.03%
2
1.21%
1.49%
0.91%
0.38%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
3
0.14%
0.17%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
0.00%
Benfica
1-07.08%
2-01.21%
2-11.49%
3-00.14%
3-10.17%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-020.75%
1-18.72%
2-20.91%
Ajax
0-125.56%
0-215.74%
1-25.37%
0-36.46%
1-32.20%
2-30.38%
0-41.99%
1-40.68%
2-40.12%
0-50.49%
1-50.17%
0-60.10%