Ajax at Dortmund

Updated

Ajax

32.5%24.9%42.6%
Ajax WinDrawDortmund Win
1.20Projected Goals 1.58
3Final Score 1

Dortmund

Last Games

Ajax
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Dortmund+118
W 0-2 vs Besiktas-950
W 5-1 at Sporting CP+110
Dortmund
Money Line
L 0-4 at Ajax+210
W 0-1 vs Sporting CP-219
W 2-1 at Besiktas-200
L 2-1 vs Manchester City+475
L 1-2 at Manchester City+950

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax+164+130+130+135+127+130+135+140.2
Dortmund+135+190+200+201+182+200+201+207.7
Draw+292+275+275+278+277+275+278+286.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax+165-+130-+120+125+130+140.2
Dortmund+140-+190-+155+195+195+207.7
Draw+290-+266-+255+275+275+286.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 0.0%
Dortmund: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Dortmund: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from +130 to +123
Dortmund ML moved from +190 to +182

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 0.0%
Dortmund: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Dortmund: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from +140 to +125
Dortmund ML moved from +199 to +190

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-107o3-122o3-125o3-116-o3-125o3-116o3-110
Underu3¼-113u3+102u3+105u3+105-u3+105u3+105u3+110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+115o3-115o3-115-o3-115o3-120o3-115o3-110
Underu3½-135u3-105u3-105-u3-115u3+100u3+100u3+110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3½-140 to u3-105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes55.5%
 
No44.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.20%
Exactly 223.97%
Exactly 415.44%
Exactly 63.98%
Exactly 80.55%
 
Exactly 117.24%
Exactly 322.22%
Exactly 58.59%
Exactly 71.58%
Exactly 90.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 030.03%
Exactly 136.12%
Exactly 221.73%
Exactly 38.71%
Exactly 42.62%
Exactly 50.63%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Dortmund
Exactly 020.65%
Exactly 132.57%
Exactly 225.69%
Exactly 313.51%
Exactly 45.33%
Exactly 51.68%
Exactly 60.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.60%
Exactly 222.87%
Exactly 43.16%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.53%
Exactly 39.82%
Exactly 50.81%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 057.29%
Exactly 131.91%
Exactly 28.89%
Exactly 31.65%
Exactly 40.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Dortmund
Exactly 048.17%
Exactly 135.18%
Exactly 212.85%
Exactly 33.13%
Exactly 40.57%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals11.90%
Wins by 3+ goals3.81%
Wins by 4+ goals0.98%
Wins by 5+ goals0.20%
Dortmund
Wins by 2+ goals23.40%
Wins by 3+ goals9.49%
Wins by 4+ goals3.10%
Wins by 5+ goals0.80%
Wins by 6+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
Dortmund
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal17.17%
Wins by 2 goals8.09%
Wins by 3 goals2.83%
Wins by 4 goals0.78%
Wins by 5 goals0.17%
Dortmund
Wins by 1 goal22.51%
Wins by 2 goals13.91%
Wins by 3 goals6.39%
Wins by 4 goals2.30%
Wins by 5 goals0.66%
Wins by 6 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.80%6.20%
1.576.56%23.44%
2.552.59%47.41%
3.530.38%69.62%
4.514.93%85.07%
5.56.34%93.66%
6.52.36%97.64%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.97%30.03%
1.533.85%66.15%
2.512.12%87.88%
3.53.40%96.60%

Total Goals Dortmund Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.35%20.65%
1.546.78%53.22%
2.521.09%78.91%
3.57.58%92.42%
4.52.25%97.75%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.40%27.60%
1.536.87%63.13%
2.514.00%86.00%
3.54.19%95.81%
4.51.03%98.97%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
Dortmund
Score012345
0
6.20%
9.78%
7.71%
4.06%
1.60%
0.50%
1
7.46%
11.77%
9.28%
4.88%
1.93%
0.61%
2
4.49%
7.08%
5.58%
2.94%
1.16%
0.37%
3
1.80%
2.84%
2.24%
1.18%
0.46%
0.15%
4
0.54%
0.85%
0.67%
0.35%
0.14%
0.04%
5
0.13%
0.21%
0.16%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
Ajax
1-07.46%
2-04.49%
2-17.08%
3-01.80%
3-12.84%
3-22.24%
4-00.54%
4-10.85%
4-20.67%
4-30.35%
5-00.13%
5-10.21%
5-20.16%
Draw
0-06.20%
1-111.77%
2-25.58%
3-31.18%
4-40.14%
Dortmund
0-19.78%
0-27.71%
1-29.28%
0-34.06%
1-34.88%
2-32.94%
0-41.60%
1-41.93%
2-41.16%
3-40.46%
0-50.50%
1-50.61%
2-50.37%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
Dortmund
Score01234
0
27.60%
20.16%
7.36%
1.79%
0.33%
1
15.37%
11.23%
4.10%
1.00%
0.18%
2
4.28%
3.13%
1.14%
0.28%
0.05%
3
0.79%
0.58%
0.21%
0.05%
0.01%
4
0.11%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Ajax
1-015.37%
2-04.28%
2-13.13%
3-00.79%
3-10.58%
3-20.21%
4-00.11%
Draw
0-027.60%
1-111.23%
2-21.14%
Dortmund
0-120.16%
0-27.36%
1-24.10%
0-31.79%
1-31.00%
2-30.28%
0-40.33%
1-40.18%