Porto at Milan

Updated

Porto

24.2%21.2%54.7%
Porto WinDrawMilan Win
0.87Projected Goals 1.96
1Final Score 1

Milan

Last Games

Porto
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Milan+135
L 5-1 vs Liverpool+350
T 0-0 at Atletico Madrid+530
W 1-0 at Chelsea+375
L 2-0 vs Chelsea+440
Milan
Money Line
L 0-1 at Porto+235
L 2-1 vs Atletico Madrid+170
L 2-3 at Liverpool+575

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Porto+244+260+290+280+272+285+285+288.6
Milan+109+100-105+105-110-102+105+109.7
Draw+243+270+275+268+275+270+275+276.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Porto+260-+272-+265+275+280+288.6
Milan+105--103--125-105-103+109.7
Draw+250-+261-+240+265+265+276.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Porto: 0.0%
Milan: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Porto: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Porto ML moved from +295 to +285
Milan ML moved from +100 to -100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Porto: 0.0%
Milan: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Porto: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Porto ML moved from +283 to +275
Milan ML moved from +100 to -102

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-125o2¾-108o2¾-108o2¾-101-o2¾-108o2¾-101o2¾+104
Underu2¼+105u2¾-112u2¾-112u2¾-109-u2¾-112u2¾-109u2¾-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+105o2½-135o2½-132-o2½-140o2½-135o2½-132o2¾+104
Underu2½-125u2½+115u2½+112-u2½+110u2½+115u2½+115u2¾-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-129 to o2½-112
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.8%
 
No50.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.92%
Exactly 223.66%
Exactly 415.75%
Exactly 64.19%
Exactly 80.60%
 
Exactly 116.74%
Exactly 322.29%
Exactly 58.90%
Exactly 71.69%
Exactly 90.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Porto
Exactly 042.01%
Exactly 136.43%
Exactly 215.80%
Exactly 34.57%
Exactly 40.99%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 014.10%
Exactly 127.62%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 317.67%
Exactly 48.65%
Exactly 53.39%
Exactly 61.11%
Exactly 70.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.02%
Exactly 223.13%
Exactly 43.30%
Exactly 60.19%
 
Exactly 135.36%
Exactly 310.09%
Exactly 50.86%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Porto
Exactly 066.93%
Exactly 126.87%
Exactly 25.40%
Exactly 30.72%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 040.37%
Exactly 136.62%
Exactly 216.61%
Exactly 35.02%
Exactly 41.14%
Exactly 50.21%

Alternate Props

Spread

Porto
Wins by 2+ goals4.96%
Wins by 3+ goals1.17%
Wins by 4+ goals0.21%
Milan
Wins by 2+ goals38.15%
Wins by 3+ goals18.81%
Wins by 4+ goals7.65%
Wins by 5+ goals2.59%
Wins by 6+ goals0.71%
Wins by 7+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Porto
Milan
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Porto
Wins by 1 goal10.92%
Wins by 2 goals3.79%
Wins by 3 goals0.96%
Wins by 4 goals0.19%
Milan
Wins by 1 goal24.68%
Wins by 2 goals19.34%
Wins by 3 goals11.17%
Wins by 4 goals5.06%
Wins by 5 goals1.88%
Wins by 6 goals0.58%
Wins by 7 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.08%5.92%
1.577.34%22.66%
2.553.68%46.32%
3.531.39%68.61%
4.515.64%84.36%
5.56.74%93.26%
6.52.55%97.45%

Total Goals Porto Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.99%42.01%
1.521.55%78.45%
2.55.76%94.24%
3.51.19%98.81%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.90%14.10%
1.558.28%41.72%
2.531.23%68.77%
3.513.56%86.44%
4.54.90%95.10%
5.51.51%98.49%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.98%27.02%
1.537.62%62.38%
2.514.49%85.51%
3.54.40%95.60%
4.51.09%98.91%

Score Props

Correct Score

Porto
Milan
Score012345
0
5.92%
11.60%
11.37%
7.42%
3.64%
1.42%
1
5.14%
10.06%
9.86%
6.44%
3.15%
1.24%
2
2.23%
4.36%
4.27%
2.79%
1.37%
0.54%
3
0.64%
1.26%
1.24%
0.81%
0.40%
0.15%
4
0.14%
0.27%
0.27%
0.17%
0.09%
0.03%
Porto
1-05.14%
2-02.23%
2-14.36%
3-00.64%
3-11.26%
3-21.24%
4-00.14%
4-10.27%
4-20.27%
4-30.17%
Draw
0-05.92%
1-110.06%
2-24.27%
3-30.81%
Milan
0-111.60%
0-211.37%
1-29.86%
0-37.42%
1-36.44%
2-32.79%
0-43.64%
1-43.15%
2-41.37%
3-40.40%
0-51.42%
1-51.24%
2-50.54%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Porto
Milan
Score012345
0
27.02%
24.51%
11.12%
3.36%
0.76%
0.14%
1
10.85%
9.84%
4.46%
1.35%
0.31%
0.06%
2
2.18%
1.98%
0.90%
0.27%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.29%
0.26%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Porto
1-010.85%
2-02.18%
2-11.98%
3-00.29%
3-10.26%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-027.02%
1-19.84%
2-20.90%
Milan
0-124.51%
0-211.12%
1-24.46%
0-33.36%
1-31.35%
2-30.27%
0-40.76%
1-40.31%
0-50.14%