Porto at Atletico Madrid

Updated

Porto

24.3%24.5%51.2%
Porto WinDrawAtletico Madrid Win
0.77Projected Goals 1.64
0Final Score 0

Atletico Madrid

Last Games

Porto
Money Line
W 1-0 at Chelsea+375
L 2-0 vs Chelsea+440
L 2-3 at Juventus+550
Atletico Madrid
Money Line
L 0-2 at Chelsea+241

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Porto+550+400+580+516+509+500+516-
Atletico Madrid-170-140-165-144-164-145-140-
Draw+275+270+275+268+264+260+270-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Porto+525-+530-+475+500+530-
Atletico Madrid-195--163--185-155-155-
Draw+225-+258-+225+260+260-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Porto: 30.0%
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Porto: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Porto: 0.0%
Atletico Madrid: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Porto ML moved from +425 to +400
Atletico Madrid ML moved from -153 to -160

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Porto: 30.0%
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Porto: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Porto: 0.0%
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Porto ML moved from +525 to +500
Atletico Madrid ML moved from -175 to -185

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-110o2¼-125o2¼-121o2¼-118-o2¼-121o2¼-118-
Underu2¼-110u2¼+105u2¼+101u2¼+107-u2¼+101u2¼+107-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+125o2½+115o2½+115-o2½+115o2½+110o2½+115-
Underu2½-145u2½-135u2½-135-u2½-145u2½-130u2½-130-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.5%
 
No56.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.95%
Exactly 226.07%
Exactly 412.65%
Exactly 62.46%
Exactly 80.26%
 
Exactly 121.60%
Exactly 320.97%
Exactly 56.11%
Exactly 70.85%
Exact Goals Scored - Porto
Exactly 046.03%
Exactly 135.71%
Exactly 213.85%
Exactly 33.58%
Exactly 40.69%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 019.45%
Exactly 131.84%
Exactly 226.07%
Exactly 314.23%
Exactly 45.83%
Exactly 51.91%
Exactly 60.52%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.71%
Exactly 220.42%
Exactly 42.12%
 
Exactly 136.55%
Exactly 37.61%
Exactly 50.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Porto
Exactly 069.82%
Exactly 125.08%
Exactly 24.50%
Exactly 30.54%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 046.85%
Exactly 135.52%
Exactly 213.47%
Exactly 33.40%
Exactly 40.64%

Alternate Props

Spread

Porto
Wins by 2+ goals5.17%
Wins by 3+ goals1.14%
Wins by 4+ goals0.19%
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals31.74%
Wins by 3+ goals13.77%
Wins by 4+ goals4.86%
Wins by 5+ goals1.42%
Wins by 6+ goals0.34%

Exact Winning Margin

Porto
Atletico Madrid
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Porto
Wins by 1 goal12.40%
Wins by 2 goals4.03%
Wins by 3 goals0.95%
Wins by 4 goals0.17%
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 1 goal26.16%
Wins by 2 goals17.96%
Wins by 3 goals8.91%
Wins by 4 goals3.44%
Wins by 5 goals1.08%
Wins by 6 goals0.28%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.05%8.95%
1.569.44%30.56%
2.543.38%56.62%
3.522.41%77.59%
4.59.75%90.25%
5.53.65%96.35%
6.51.19%98.81%

Total Goals Porto Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.97%46.03%
1.518.25%81.75%
2.54.40%95.60%

Total Goals Atletico Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.55%19.45%
1.548.71%51.29%
2.522.64%77.36%
3.58.41%91.59%
4.52.58%97.42%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.29%32.71%
1.530.73%69.27%
2.510.31%89.69%
3.52.70%97.30%

Score Props

Correct Score

Porto
Atletico Madrid
Score012345
0
8.95%
14.66%
12.00%
6.55%
2.68%
0.88%
1
6.95%
11.37%
9.31%
5.08%
2.08%
0.68%
2
2.69%
4.41%
3.61%
1.97%
0.81%
0.26%
3
0.70%
1.14%
0.93%
0.51%
0.21%
0.07%
4
0.14%
0.22%
0.18%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
Porto
1-06.95%
2-02.69%
2-14.41%
3-00.70%
3-11.14%
3-20.93%
4-00.14%
4-10.22%
4-20.18%
Draw
0-08.95%
1-111.37%
2-23.61%
3-30.51%
Atletico Madrid
0-114.66%
0-212.00%
1-29.31%
0-36.55%
1-35.08%
2-31.97%
0-42.68%
1-42.08%
2-40.81%
3-40.21%
0-50.88%
1-50.68%
2-50.26%

Correct Score - First Half

Porto
Atletico Madrid
Score01234
0
32.72%
24.80%
9.40%
2.38%
0.45%
1
11.75%
8.91%
3.38%
0.85%
0.16%
2
2.11%
1.60%
0.61%
0.15%
0.03%
3
0.25%
0.19%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Porto
1-011.75%
2-02.11%
2-11.60%
3-00.25%
3-10.19%
Draw
0-032.72%
1-18.91%
2-20.61%
Atletico Madrid
0-124.80%
0-29.40%
1-23.38%
0-32.38%
1-30.85%
2-30.15%
0-40.45%
1-40.16%
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