Bologna at Aston Villa

Updated

Bologna

12.6%18.2%69.2%
WinDrawAston Villa Win
0.84Projected Goals 2.25
0Final Score 2

Aston Villa

Last 2 Games

Bologna
Money Line
L 0-2 at Liverpool+1600
T 0-0 vs Shakhtar-110
Aston Villa
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Bayern Munich+350
W 3-0 at Young Boys-160

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bologna+486+475+460+510+480+510+510+531.6
Aston Villa-175-156-160-162-164-162-156-148.2
Draw+328+290+295+295+283+295+295+309.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bologna+435-+460+430+435+450+450+531.6
Aston Villa-185--155-180-185-160-155-148.2
Draw+295-+323+285+295+295+295+309.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Bologna: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Bologna: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Bologna: 20.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Bologna ML moved from +445 to +434
Aston Villa ML moved from -152 to -162

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Bologna: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Bologna: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Bologna: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Bologna ML moved from +450 to +430
Aston Villa ML moved from -172 to -180

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-133o2½-111o2½-110o2½-112o2½-110o2½-112o2½-110o2½-102
Underu2½+113u2½-105u2½-110u2½-108u2½-110u2½-108u2½-105u2½+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-125o2½-105o2½-105o2½-105o2½-120o2½-105o2½-105o2½-102
Underu2½-105u2½-115u2½-115u2½-115u2½-110u2½-115u2½-110u2½+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.9%
 
No49.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.54%
Exactly 221.71%
Exactly 417.29%
Exactly 65.51%
Exactly 80.94%
 
Exactly 114.04%
Exactly 322.37%
Exactly 510.69%
Exactly 72.43%
Exactly 90.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Bologna
Exactly 043.07%
Exactly 136.28%
Exactly 215.28%
Exactly 34.29%
Exactly 40.90%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 010.54%
Exactly 123.72%
Exactly 226.68%
Exactly 320.01%
Exactly 411.25%
Exactly 55.06%
Exactly 61.90%
Exactly 70.61%
Exactly 80.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.89%
Exactly 224.48%
Exactly 44.18%
Exactly 60.29%
 
Exactly 134.20%
Exactly 311.68%
Exactly 51.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bologna
Exactly 067.71%
Exactly 126.41%
Exactly 25.15%
Exactly 30.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 035.29%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.14%
Exactly 36.65%
Exactly 41.73%
Exactly 50.36%

Alternate Props

Spread

Bologna
Wins by 2+ goals3.75%
Wins by 3+ goals0.85%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals45.70%
Wins by 3+ goals24.99%
Wins by 4+ goals11.43%
Wins by 5+ goals4.43%
Wins by 6+ goals1.46%
Wins by 7+ goals0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

Bologna
Aston Villa
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Bologna
Wins by 1 goal8.79%
Wins by 2 goals2.90%
Wins by 3 goals0.71%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal23.48%
Wins by 2 goals20.70%
Wins by 3 goals13.56%
Wins by 4 goals7.00%
Wins by 5 goals2.97%
Wins by 6 goals1.07%
Wins by 7 goals0.32%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.46%4.54%
1.581.42%18.58%
2.559.71%40.29%
3.537.34%62.66%
4.520.04%79.96%
5.59.35%90.65%
6.53.84%96.16%
7.51.40%98.60%

Total Goals Bologna Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.93%43.07%
1.520.65%79.35%
2.55.37%94.63%
3.51.08%98.92%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.46%10.54%
1.565.74%34.26%
2.539.06%60.94%
3.519.05%80.95%
4.57.80%92.20%
5.52.73%97.27%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.11%23.89%
1.541.90%58.10%
2.517.42%82.58%
3.55.74%94.26%
4.51.55%98.45%

Score Props

Correct Score

Bologna
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
4.54%
10.22%
11.49%
8.62%
4.85%
2.18%
1
3.83%
8.61%
9.68%
7.26%
4.08%
1.84%
2
1.61%
3.62%
4.08%
3.06%
1.72%
0.77%
3
0.45%
1.02%
1.14%
0.86%
0.48%
0.22%
Bologna
1-03.83%
2-01.61%
2-13.62%
3-00.45%
3-11.02%
3-21.14%
Draw
0-04.54%
1-18.61%
2-24.08%
3-30.86%
4-40.10%
Aston Villa
0-110.22%
0-211.49%
1-29.68%
0-38.62%
1-37.26%
2-33.06%
0-44.85%
1-44.08%
2-41.72%
3-40.48%
0-52.18%
1-51.84%
2-50.77%
3-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Bologna
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
23.89%
24.89%
12.96%
4.50%
1.17%
0.24%
1
9.32%
9.71%
5.05%
1.75%
0.46%
0.10%
2
1.82%
1.89%
0.99%
0.34%
0.09%
0.02%
3
0.24%
0.25%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Bologna
1-09.32%
2-01.82%
2-11.89%
3-00.24%
3-10.25%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-023.89%
1-19.71%
2-20.99%
Aston Villa
0-124.89%
0-212.96%
1-25.05%
0-34.50%
1-31.75%
2-30.34%
0-41.17%
1-40.46%
0-50.24%