Dortmund at Paris S-G

Updated

Dortmund

15.3%18.8%65.9%
WinDrawParis S-G Win
1.00Projected Goals 2.27
1Final Score 0

Paris Saint-Germain

Last 5 Games

Dortmund
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Paris Saint-Germain+192
W 2-4 vs Atletico Madrid+125
L 1-2 at Atletico Madrid+355
W 0-2 vs PSV Eindhoven+115
T 1-1 at PSV Eindhoven+254
Paris Saint-Germain
Money Line
L 0-1 at Dortmund+130
W 4-1 at Barcelona+210
L 3-2 vs Barcelona+110
W 2-1 at Real Sociedad+237
W 0-2 vs Real Sociedad-130

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dortmund+500--+470+466+470+470+489.9
Paris S-G-195---192-200-192-192-174.2
Draw+350--+395+408+395+408+412.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dortmund+485-+515+475+475+475+515+489.9
Paris S-G-200--210-220-215-210-210-174.2
Draw+370-+383+375+360+400+400+412.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Paris S-G: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Dortmund: 0.0%
Paris S-G: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Dortmund: 0.0%
Paris S-G: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Dortmund ML moved from +480 to +466
Paris S-G ML moved from -203 to -209

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Paris S-G: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Dortmund: 0.0%
Paris S-G: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Dortmund: 20.0%
Paris S-G: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Dortmund ML moved from +500 to +475
Paris S-G ML moved from -210 to -220

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-113--o3½-104o3½+105o3½-104o3½+105o3½+105
Underu3-107--u3½-116u3½-121u3½-116u3½-116u3½-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-125o3½-110o3½-110o3½-105o3-140o3½-105o3-140o3½+105
Underu3+105u3½-110u3½-110u3½-115u3+110u3½-115u3½-110u3½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3¼-118 to o3½-110
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-135 to o3½-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes56.8%
 
No43.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.79%
Exactly 220.29%
Exactly 418.12%
Exactly 66.47%
Exactly 81.24%
Exactly 100.15%
 
Exactly 112.40%
Exactly 322.14%
Exactly 511.87%
Exactly 73.03%
Exactly 90.45%
Exact Goals Scored - Dortmund
Exactly 036.69%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.44%
Exactly 36.16%
Exactly 41.54%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Paris Saint-Germain
Exactly 010.32%
Exactly 123.44%
Exactly 226.61%
Exactly 320.15%
Exactly 411.44%
Exactly 55.20%
Exactly 61.97%
Exactly 70.64%
Exactly 80.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.96%
Exactly 225.23%
Exactly 44.83%
Exactly 60.37%
 
Exactly 133.29%
Exactly 312.75%
Exactly 51.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Dortmund
Exactly 062.86%
Exactly 129.18%
Exactly 26.77%
Exactly 31.05%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Paris Saint-Germain
Exactly 034.94%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 219.32%
Exactly 36.77%
Exactly 41.78%
Exactly 50.37%

Alternate Props

Spread

Dortmund
Wins by 2+ goals5.17%
Wins by 3+ goals1.34%
Wins by 4+ goals0.26%
Paris Saint-Germain
Wins by 2+ goals42.96%
Wins by 3+ goals23.32%
Wins by 4+ goals10.63%
Wins by 5+ goals4.12%
Wins by 6+ goals1.36%
Wins by 7+ goals0.37%

Exact Winning Margin

Dortmund
Paris Saint-Germain
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Dortmund
Wins by 1 goal10.11%
Wins by 2 goals3.82%
Wins by 3 goals1.08%
Wins by 4 goals0.23%
Paris Saint-Germain
Wins by 1 goal22.90%
Wins by 2 goals19.64%
Wins by 3 goals12.69%
Wins by 4 goals6.51%
Wins by 5 goals2.76%
Wins by 6 goals0.99%
Wins by 7 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.21%3.79%
1.583.82%16.18%
2.563.53%36.47%
3.541.38%58.62%
4.523.26%76.74%
5.511.40%88.60%
6.54.92%95.08%
7.51.90%98.10%

Total Goals Dortmund Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.31%36.69%
1.526.52%73.48%
2.58.08%91.92%
3.51.92%98.08%

Total Goals Paris Saint-Germain Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.68%10.32%
1.566.24%33.76%
2.539.63%60.37%
3.519.48%80.52%
4.58.04%91.96%
5.52.84%97.16%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.04%21.96%
1.544.74%55.26%
2.519.51%80.49%
3.56.76%93.24%
4.51.93%98.07%

Score Props

Correct Score

Dortmund
Paris Saint-Germain
Score012345
0
3.79%
8.60%
9.77%
7.39%
4.20%
1.91%
1
3.80%
8.62%
9.79%
7.41%
4.21%
1.91%
2
1.90%
4.32%
4.91%
3.72%
2.11%
0.96%
3
0.64%
1.44%
1.64%
1.24%
0.71%
0.32%
4
0.16%
0.36%
0.41%
0.31%
0.18%
0.08%
Dortmund
1-03.80%
2-01.90%
2-14.32%
3-00.64%
3-11.44%
3-21.64%
4-00.16%
4-10.36%
4-20.41%
4-30.31%
Draw
0-03.79%
1-18.62%
2-24.91%
3-31.24%
4-40.18%
Paris Saint-Germain
0-18.60%
0-29.77%
1-29.79%
0-37.39%
1-37.41%
2-33.72%
0-44.20%
1-44.21%
2-42.11%
3-40.71%
0-51.91%
1-51.91%
2-50.96%
3-50.32%

Correct Score - First Half

Dortmund
Paris Saint-Germain
Score012345
0
21.96%
23.10%
12.14%
4.26%
1.12%
0.24%
1
10.20%
10.72%
5.64%
1.98%
0.52%
0.11%
2
2.37%
2.49%
1.31%
0.46%
0.12%
0.03%
3
0.37%
0.39%
0.20%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Dortmund
1-010.20%
2-02.37%
2-12.49%
3-00.37%
3-10.39%
3-20.20%
Draw
0-021.96%
1-110.72%
2-21.31%
Paris Saint-Germain
0-123.10%
0-212.14%
1-25.64%
0-34.26%
1-31.98%
2-30.46%
0-41.12%
1-40.52%
2-40.12%
0-50.24%
1-50.11%