Barcelona at Benfica

Updated

Barcelona

42.0%26.7%31.3%
Barcelona WinDrawBenfica Win
1.37Projected Goals 1.14
5Final Score 4

Benfica

Last 5 Games

Barcelona
Money Line
W 3-2 at Dortmund+105
W 0-3 vs Brest-465
W 5-2 at Red Star-425
W 1-4 vs Bayern Munich+165
W 0-5 vs Young Boys-1425
Benfica
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Bologna-220
W 3-2 at Monaco+190
L 0-1 at Bayern Munich+1000
L 3-1 vs Feyenoord-215
W 0-4 vs Atletico Madrid+172

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Barcelona-105+111+115+113+108+113+115+120.6
Benfica+235+226+205+228+220+228+228+239.6
Draw+320+288+285+283+284+283+288+296.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Barcelona-110-+120+100-115+105+120+120.6
Benfica+205-+198+185+225+230+230+239.6
Draw+295-+280+270+305+285+285+296.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Barcelona: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Barcelona: 0.0%
Benfica: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Barcelona: 0.0%
Benfica: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Barcelona ML moved from +125 to +115
Benfica ML moved from +202 to +196

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Barcelona: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Barcelona: 0.0%
Benfica: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Barcelona: 0.0%
Benfica: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Barcelona ML moved from +120 to +100
Benfica ML moved from +213 to +198

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-120o3½-103o3¼-118o3½-102o3½-101o3½-102o3¼-118o3½+107
Underu3¼+100u3½-114u3¼-102u3½-118u3½-121u3½-118u3½-114u3½-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+105o3½+100o3½+105o3½+100o3½-120o3½+100o3½+105o3½+107
Underu3½-135u3½-120u3½-125u3½-120u3½-110u3½-120u3½-110u3½-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3¼-112 to o3½-109
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3½+110 to o3½-120
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.13%
Exactly 225.60%
Exactly 413.44%
Exactly 62.82%
Exactly 80.32%
 
Exactly 120.40%
Exactly 321.42%
Exactly 56.75%
Exactly 71.01%
Exact Goals Scored - Barcelona
Exactly 025.48%
Exactly 134.84%
Exactly 223.82%
Exactly 310.86%
Exactly 43.71%
Exactly 51.01%
Exactly 60.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 031.91%
Exactly 136.45%
Exactly 220.82%
Exactly 37.93%
Exactly 42.26%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.29%
Exactly 221.12%
Exactly 42.38%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.35%
Exactly 38.18%
Exactly 50.55%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Barcelona
Exactly 053.09%
Exactly 133.61%
Exactly 210.64%
Exactly 32.25%
Exactly 40.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 058.92%
Exactly 131.17%
Exactly 28.24%
Exactly 31.45%
Exactly 40.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Barcelona
Wins by 2+ goals19.55%
Wins by 3+ goals7.13%
Wins by 4+ goals2.08%
Wins by 5+ goals0.48%
Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals12.48%
Wins by 3+ goals3.82%
Wins by 4+ goals0.89%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Barcelona
Benfica
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Barcelona
Wins by 1 goal22.38%
Wins by 2 goals12.41%
Wins by 3 goals5.05%
Wins by 4 goals1.60%
Wins by 5 goals0.41%
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal18.69%
Wins by 2 goals8.66%
Wins by 3 goals2.93%
Wins by 4 goals0.76%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.87%8.13%
1.571.47%28.53%
2.545.87%54.13%
3.524.45%75.55%
4.511.01%88.99%
5.54.27%95.73%
6.51.45%98.55%

Total Goals Barcelona Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.52%25.48%
1.539.69%60.31%
2.515.87%84.13%
3.55.01%94.99%
4.51.30%98.70%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.09%31.91%
1.531.65%68.35%
2.510.83%89.17%
3.52.90%97.10%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.71%31.29%
1.532.36%67.64%
2.511.24%88.76%
3.53.06%96.94%

Score Props

Correct Score

Barcelona
Benfica
Score012345
0
8.13%
9.29%
5.30%
2.02%
0.58%
0.13%
1
11.12%
12.70%
7.25%
2.76%
0.79%
0.18%
2
7.60%
8.68%
4.96%
1.89%
0.54%
0.12%
3
3.46%
3.96%
2.26%
0.86%
0.25%
0.06%
4
1.18%
1.35%
0.77%
0.29%
0.08%
0.02%
5
0.32%
0.37%
0.21%
0.08%
0.02%
0.01%
Barcelona
1-011.12%
2-07.60%
2-18.68%
3-03.46%
3-13.96%
3-22.26%
4-01.18%
4-11.35%
4-20.77%
4-30.29%
5-00.32%
5-10.37%
5-20.21%
Draw
0-08.13%
1-112.70%
2-24.96%
3-30.86%
Benfica
0-19.29%
0-25.30%
1-27.25%
0-32.02%
1-32.76%
2-31.89%
0-40.58%
1-40.79%
2-40.54%
3-40.25%
0-50.13%
1-50.18%
2-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Barcelona
Benfica
Score01234
0
31.29%
16.55%
4.38%
0.77%
0.10%
1
19.81%
10.48%
2.77%
0.49%
0.06%
2
6.27%
3.32%
0.88%
0.15%
0.02%
3
1.32%
0.70%
0.19%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.21%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Barcelona
1-019.81%
2-06.27%
2-13.32%
3-01.32%
3-10.70%
3-20.19%
4-00.21%
4-10.11%
Draw
0-031.29%
1-110.48%
2-20.88%
Benfica
0-116.55%
0-24.38%
1-22.77%
0-30.77%
1-30.49%
2-30.15%
0-40.10%