Atletico Madrid at Benfica

Updated

Atletico Madrid

33.5%28.3%38.2%
Atletico Madrid WinDrawBenfica Win
1.10Projected Goals 1.20
0Final Score 4

Benfica

Last 5 Games

Atletico Madrid
Money Line
W 1-2 vs RB Leipzig-135
L 2-4 at Dortmund+210
W 1-2 vs Dortmund-125
W 2-3 vs Inter+200
L 0-1 at Inter+500
Benfica
Money Line
W 2-1 at Red Star-120
W 3-1 at RB Salzburg-110
T 3-3 vs Inter+140
L 1-3 at Real Sociedad+370
L 1-0 vs Real Sociedad+120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Madrid+140+166+165+173+173+173+173+182.6
Benfica+200+175+160+170+168+170+175+179.5
Draw+244+232+240+235+232+235+240+246.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Madrid+140-+164-+160+170+170+182.6
Benfica+202-+172-+155+170+172+179.5
Draw+222-+227-+220+225+227+246.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Benfica: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atletico Madrid ML moved from +165 to +150
Benfica ML moved from +180 to +160

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Benfica: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atletico Madrid ML moved from +172 to +164
Benfica ML moved from +190 to +155

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-116o2½-116o2½-112o2½-115o2½-109o2½-115o2½-109o2½-104
Underu2½-101u2½-101u2½-108u2½-105u2½-105u2½-105u2½-101u2½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½-115o2½-113-o2½-120o2½-115o2½-113o2½-104
Underu2½-105u2½-105u2½-107-u2½-110u2½-105u2½-105u2½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.6%
 
No53.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.02%
Exactly 226.52%
Exactly 411.70%
Exactly 62.06%
Exactly 80.20%
 
Exactly 123.05%
Exactly 320.34%
Exactly 55.38%
Exactly 70.68%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 033.21%
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 220.18%
Exactly 37.41%
Exactly 42.04%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 030.17%
Exactly 136.15%
Exactly 221.66%
Exactly 38.65%
Exactly 42.59%
Exactly 50.62%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.46%
Exactly 219.55%
Exactly 41.85%
 
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 36.94%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 060.03%
Exactly 130.64%
Exactly 27.82%
Exactly 31.33%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 057.42%
Exactly 131.86%
Exactly 28.84%
Exactly 31.63%
Exactly 40.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals13.24%
Wins by 3+ goals3.99%
Wins by 4+ goals0.92%
Wins by 5+ goals0.14%
Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals16.30%
Wins by 3+ goals5.36%
Wins by 4+ goals1.41%
Wins by 5+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Madrid
Benfica
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 1 goal20.13%
Wins by 2 goals9.25%
Wins by 3 goals3.07%
Wins by 4 goals0.78%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal21.89%
Wins by 2 goals10.93%
Wins by 3 goals3.96%
Wins by 4 goals1.11%
Wins by 5 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.98%10.02%
1.566.93%33.07%
2.540.42%59.58%
3.520.08%79.92%
4.58.38%91.62%
5.53.00%97.00%

Total Goals Atletico Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.79%33.21%
1.530.18%69.82%
2.510.01%89.99%
3.52.59%97.41%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.83%30.17%
1.533.68%66.32%
2.512.02%87.98%
3.53.36%96.64%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.54%34.46%
1.528.82%71.18%
2.59.27%90.73%
3.52.33%97.67%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Madrid
Benfica
Score012345
0
10.02%
12.01%
7.19%
2.87%
0.86%
0.21%
1
11.04%
13.23%
7.93%
3.17%
0.95%
0.23%
2
6.09%
7.29%
4.37%
1.75%
0.52%
0.13%
3
2.24%
2.68%
1.61%
0.64%
0.19%
0.05%
4
0.62%
0.74%
0.44%
0.18%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.14%
0.16%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Atletico Madrid
1-011.04%
2-06.09%
2-17.29%
3-02.24%
3-12.68%
3-21.61%
4-00.62%
4-10.74%
4-20.44%
4-30.18%
5-00.14%
5-10.16%
Draw
0-010.02%
1-113.23%
2-24.37%
3-30.64%
Benfica
0-112.01%
0-27.19%
1-27.93%
0-32.87%
1-33.17%
2-31.75%
0-40.86%
1-40.95%
2-40.52%
3-40.19%
0-50.21%
1-50.23%
2-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Madrid
Benfica
Score01234
0
34.46%
19.12%
5.31%
0.98%
0.14%
1
17.59%
9.76%
2.71%
0.50%
0.07%
2
4.49%
2.49%
0.69%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.76%
0.42%
0.12%
0.02%
0.00%
Atletico Madrid
1-017.59%
2-04.49%
2-12.49%
3-00.76%
3-10.42%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-034.46%
1-19.76%
2-20.69%
Benfica
0-119.12%
0-25.31%
1-22.71%
0-30.98%
1-30.50%
2-30.13%
0-40.14%