Atletico Madrid at Sparta Prague

Updated

Atletico Madrid

65.1%19.9%14.9%
Atletico Madrid WinDrawWin
2.09Projected Goals 0.89

Sparta Prague

Last 5 Games

Atletico Madrid
Money Line
W 2-1 at Paris Saint-Germain+590
L 3-1 vs Lille-225
L 0-4 at Benfica+170
W 1-2 vs RB Leipzig-135
L 2-4 at Dortmund+210
Sparta Prague
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Brest+177
L 0-5 at Manchester City+2250
T 1-1 at VfB Stuttgart+625
W 0-3 vs RB Salzburg+125
W 0-2 vs Malmo-110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Madrid-149-149-155-155-150-155-149-137.4
Sparta Prague+421+421+420+425+401+425+425+451.4
Draw+299+299+300+297+293+297+300+316.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Madrid------137.4
Sparta Prague-----+451.4
Draw-----+316.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sparta Prague: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Madrid: 20.0%
Sparta Prague: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Sparta Prague: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico Madrid ML
No Steam Moves On Sparta Prague ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-121o2½-121o2½-112o2½-118o2½-114o2½-118o2½-112o2½-107
Underu2½+103u2½+103u2½-108u2½-102u2½-106u2½-102u2½+103u2½+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-107
Under-----u2½+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.5%
 
No48.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.10%
Exactly 222.59%
Exactly 416.66%
Exactly 64.92%
Exactly 80.78%
 
Exactly 115.19%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.91%
Exactly 72.09%
Exactly 90.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 012.39%
Exactly 125.87%
Exactly 227.02%
Exactly 318.81%
Exactly 49.82%
Exactly 54.10%
Exactly 61.43%
Exactly 70.43%
Exactly 80.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Sparta Prague
Exactly 041.21%
Exactly 136.53%
Exactly 216.19%
Exactly 34.79%
Exactly 41.06%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.22%
Exactly 223.93%
Exactly 43.78%
Exactly 60.24%
 
Exactly 134.74%
Exactly 310.99%
Exactly 51.04%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 038.02%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.78%
Exactly 35.73%
Exactly 41.39%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sparta Prague
Exactly 066.33%
Exactly 127.23%
Exactly 25.59%
Exactly 30.76%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals40.99%
Wins by 3+ goals21.18%
Wins by 4+ goals9.11%
Wins by 5+ goals3.31%
Sparta Prague
Wins by 2+ goals4.69%
Wins by 3+ goals1.12%
Wins by 4+ goals0.20%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Madrid
Sparta Prague
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 1 goal24.09%
Wins by 2 goals19.81%
Wins by 3 goals12.07%
Wins by 4 goals5.80%
Wins by 5 goals2.29%
Sparta Prague
Wins by 1 goal10.23%
Wins by 2 goals3.57%
Wins by 3 goals0.92%
Wins by 4 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.90%5.10%
1.579.71%20.29%
2.557.12%42.88%
3.534.72%65.28%
4.518.06%81.94%
5.58.14%91.86%
6.53.23%96.77%
7.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals Atletico Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.61%12.39%
1.561.74%38.26%
2.534.73%65.27%
3.515.92%84.08%
4.56.10%93.90%
5.52.00%98.00%

Total Goals Sparta Prague Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.79%41.21%
1.522.26%77.74%
2.56.07%93.93%
3.51.28%98.72%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.78%25.22%
1.540.04%59.96%
2.516.11%83.89%
3.55.12%94.88%
4.51.34%98.66%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Madrid
Sparta Prague
Score01234
0
5.10%
4.53%
2.01%
0.59%
0.13%
1
10.66%
9.45%
4.19%
1.24%
0.27%
2
11.13%
9.87%
4.38%
1.29%
0.29%
3
7.75%
6.87%
3.05%
0.90%
0.20%
4
4.05%
3.59%
1.59%
0.47%
0.10%
5
1.69%
1.50%
0.66%
0.20%
0.04%
Atletico Madrid
1-010.66%
2-011.13%
2-19.87%
3-07.75%
3-16.87%
3-23.05%
4-04.05%
4-13.59%
4-21.59%
4-30.47%
5-01.69%
5-11.50%
5-20.66%
5-30.20%
Draw
0-05.10%
1-19.45%
2-24.38%
3-30.90%
4-40.10%
Sparta Prague
0-14.53%
0-22.01%
1-24.19%
0-30.59%
1-31.24%
2-31.29%
0-40.13%
1-40.27%
2-40.29%
3-40.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Madrid
Sparta Prague
Score0123
0
25.22%
10.35%
2.12%
0.29%
1
24.39%
10.01%
2.05%
0.28%
2
11.79%
4.84%
0.99%
0.14%
3
3.80%
1.56%
0.32%
0.04%
4
0.92%
0.38%
0.08%
0.01%
5
0.18%
0.07%
0.01%
0.00%
Atletico Madrid
1-024.39%
2-011.79%
2-14.84%
3-03.80%
3-11.56%
3-20.32%
4-00.92%
4-10.38%
5-00.18%
Draw
0-025.22%
1-110.01%
2-20.99%
Sparta Prague
0-110.35%
0-22.12%
1-22.05%
0-30.29%
1-30.28%
2-30.14%