Chelsea at Real Madrid

Updated

Chelsea

17.5%22.1%60.4%
WinDrawReal Madrid Win
0.90Projected Goals 1.88
0Final Score 2

Real Madrid

Last 5 Games

Chelsea
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Dortmund-140
L 0-1 at Dortmund+220
W 1-2 vs Dinamo Zagreb-485
W 2-1 at RB Salzburg-136
W 2-0 at Milan+130
Real Madrid
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Liverpool+133
W 5-2 at Liverpool+213
W 1-5 vs Celtic-440
L 2-3 at RB Leipzig+200
T 1-1 at Shakhtar-220

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea+413+445+400+445+431+445+445+464.1
Real Madrid-140-147-150-145-133-145-133-133.5
Draw+282+283+265+285+276+285+285+298.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea+415-+427-+475+430+475+464.1
Real Madrid-145--154--205-150-150-133.5
Draw+280-+298-+300+295+300+298.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from +440 to +400
Real Madrid ML moved from -151 to -157

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 30.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from +445 to +430
Real Madrid ML moved from -190 to -200

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-106o2½+106o2¼-120o2½+111o2½+114o2½+111o2¼-120o2½+120
Underu2½-110u2½-126u2¼+100u2½-131u2½-129u2½-131u2½-126u2½-120
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½+105o2½+110-o2½-110o2½+105o2½+110o2½+120
Underu2½-115u2½-125u2½-130-u2½-120u2½-125u2½-120u2½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.4%
 
No49.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.18%
Exactly 223.95%
Exactly 415.46%
Exactly 63.99%
Exactly 80.55%
 
Exactly 117.21%
Exactly 322.22%
Exactly 58.61%
Exactly 71.59%
Exactly 90.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 040.60%
Exactly 136.60%
Exactly 216.49%
Exactly 34.96%
Exactly 41.12%
Exactly 50.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 015.23%
Exactly 128.66%
Exactly 226.97%
Exactly 316.92%
Exactly 47.96%
Exactly 53.00%
Exactly 60.94%
Exactly 70.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.56%
Exactly 222.89%
Exactly 43.17%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.52%
Exactly 39.83%
Exactly 50.82%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 065.88%
Exactly 127.49%
Exactly 25.74%
Exactly 30.80%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 041.84%
Exactly 136.46%
Exactly 215.88%
Exactly 34.61%
Exactly 41.01%
Exactly 50.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals5.65%
Wins by 3+ goals1.39%
Wins by 4+ goals0.26%
Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals35.62%
Wins by 3+ goals17.00%
Wins by 4+ goals6.68%
Wins by 5+ goals2.18%
Wins by 6+ goals0.58%
Wins by 7+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Chelsea
Real Madrid
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal11.84%
Wins by 2 goals4.27%
Wins by 3 goals1.13%
Wins by 4 goals0.23%
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal24.73%
Wins by 2 goals18.61%
Wins by 3 goals10.33%
Wins by 4 goals4.50%
Wins by 5 goals1.60%
Wins by 6 goals0.47%
Wins by 7 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.82%6.18%
1.576.61%23.39%
2.552.66%47.34%
3.530.44%69.56%
4.514.98%85.02%
5.56.37%93.63%
6.52.37%97.63%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.40%40.60%
1.522.80%77.20%
2.56.31%93.69%
3.51.35%98.65%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.77%15.23%
1.556.11%43.89%
2.529.14%70.86%
3.512.23%87.77%
4.54.26%95.74%
5.51.27%98.73%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.44%27.56%
1.536.92%63.08%
2.514.03%85.97%
3.54.20%95.80%
4.51.03%98.97%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chelsea
Real Madrid
Score012345
0
6.18%
11.64%
10.95%
6.87%
3.23%
1.22%
1
5.57%
10.49%
9.87%
6.19%
2.91%
1.10%
2
2.51%
4.73%
4.45%
2.79%
1.31%
0.49%
3
0.75%
1.42%
1.34%
0.84%
0.39%
0.15%
4
0.17%
0.32%
0.30%
0.19%
0.09%
0.03%
Chelsea
1-05.57%
2-02.51%
2-14.73%
3-00.75%
3-11.42%
3-21.34%
4-00.17%
4-10.32%
4-20.30%
4-30.19%
Draw
0-06.18%
1-110.49%
2-24.45%
3-30.84%
Real Madrid
0-111.64%
0-210.95%
1-29.87%
0-36.87%
1-36.19%
2-32.79%
0-43.23%
1-42.91%
2-41.31%
3-40.39%
0-51.22%
1-51.10%
2-50.49%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Chelsea
Real Madrid
Score012345
0
27.56%
24.02%
10.46%
3.04%
0.66%
0.12%
1
11.50%
10.02%
4.37%
1.27%
0.28%
0.05%
2
2.40%
2.09%
0.91%
0.26%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.33%
0.29%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Chelsea
1-011.50%
2-02.40%
2-12.09%
3-00.33%
3-10.29%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-027.56%
1-110.02%
2-20.91%
Real Madrid
0-124.02%
0-210.46%
1-24.37%
0-33.04%
1-31.27%
2-30.26%
0-40.66%
1-40.28%
0-50.12%