Dortmund at Real Madrid

Updated

Dortmund

10.6%15.6%73.7%
WinDrawReal Madrid Win
0.88Projected Goals 2.56
2Final Score 5

Real Madrid

Last 5 Games

Dortmund
Money Line
W 1-7 vs Celtic-200
W 3-0 at Club Brugge+120
L 0-2 at Real Madrid+410
W 1-0 at Paris Saint-Germain+515
W 0-1 vs Paris Saint-Germain+192
Real Madrid
Money Line
L 0-1 at Lille-115
W 1-3 vs VfB Stuttgart-320
W 0-2 vs Dortmund-140
W 1-2 vs Bayern Munich-102
T 2-2 at Bayern Munich+215

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dortmund+482+580+525+625+598+625+625+649.8
Real Madrid-196-239-250-242-262-242-239-216.7
Draw+387+433+460+430+432+430+460+448.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dortmund+475-+469+465+530+540+540+649.8
Real Madrid-240--225-230-260-230-225-216.7
Draw+380-+425+380+385+410+425+448.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Dortmund: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Dortmund: 40.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Dortmund ML moved from +569 to +557
Real Madrid ML moved from -230 to -242

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Dortmund: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Dortmund: 20.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Dortmund ML moved from +475 to +465
Real Madrid ML moved from -220 to -230

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+104o3½-110o3½-112o3½-112o3½-112o3½-112o3½-110o3½-102
Underu3½-122u3½-106u3½-108u3½-108u3½-108u3½-108u3½-106u3½+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+110o3½+105o3½-110o3½-110o3½+110o3½-115o3½+110o3½-102
Underu3½-140u3½-125u3½-110u3½-110u3½-140u3½-105u3½-105u3½+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3¼-112 to o3½-102
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3½+120 to o3½+100
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.0%
 
No46.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.20%
Exactly 218.95%
Exactly 418.72%
Exactly 67.39%
Exactly 81.56%
Exactly 100.21%
 
Exactly 111.01%
Exactly 321.75%
Exactly 512.89%
Exactly 73.64%
Exactly 90.60%
Exact Goals Scored - Dortmund
Exactly 041.53%
Exactly 136.49%
Exactly 216.04%
Exactly 34.70%
Exactly 41.03%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 07.70%
Exactly 119.74%
Exactly 225.31%
Exactly 321.63%
Exactly 413.86%
Exactly 57.11%
Exactly 63.04%
Exactly 71.11%
Exactly 80.36%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.31%
Exactly 225.80%
Exactly 45.46%
Exactly 60.46%
 
Exactly 132.38%
Exactly 313.71%
Exactly 51.74%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Dortmund
Exactly 066.57%
Exactly 127.09%
Exactly 25.51%
Exactly 30.75%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 030.51%
Exactly 136.22%
Exactly 221.50%
Exactly 38.51%
Exactly 42.52%
Exactly 50.60%
Exactly 60.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Dortmund
Wins by 2+ goals3.20%
Wins by 3+ goals0.74%
Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals52.05%
Wins by 3+ goals31.05%
Wins by 4+ goals15.72%
Wins by 5+ goals6.82%
Wins by 6+ goals2.56%
Wins by 7+ goals0.84%
Wins by 8+ goals0.23%

Exact Winning Margin

Dortmund
Real Madrid
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Dortmund
Wins by 1 goal7.41%
Wins by 2 goals2.46%
Wins by 3 goals0.61%
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal21.64%
Wins by 2 goals21.00%
Wins by 3 goals15.34%
Wins by 4 goals8.89%
Wins by 5 goals4.26%
Wins by 6 goals1.73%
Wins by 7 goals0.61%
Wins by 8 goals0.19%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.80%3.20%
1.585.79%14.21%
2.566.84%33.16%
3.545.09%54.91%
4.526.38%73.62%
5.513.49%86.51%
6.56.09%93.91%
7.52.46%97.54%

Total Goals Dortmund Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.47%41.53%
1.521.98%78.02%
2.55.94%94.06%
3.51.24%98.76%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.30%7.70%
1.572.55%27.45%
2.547.24%52.76%
3.525.61%74.39%
4.511.75%88.25%
5.54.64%95.36%
6.51.60%98.40%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.69%20.31%
1.547.31%52.69%
2.521.51%78.49%
3.57.80%92.20%
4.52.33%97.67%

Score Props

Correct Score

Dortmund
Real Madrid
Score012345
0
3.20%
8.20%
10.51%
8.98%
5.76%
2.95%
1
2.81%
7.21%
9.24%
7.89%
5.06%
2.59%
2
1.23%
3.17%
4.06%
3.47%
2.22%
1.14%
3
0.36%
0.93%
1.19%
1.02%
0.65%
0.33%
Dortmund
1-02.81%
2-01.23%
2-13.17%
3-00.36%
3-10.93%
3-21.19%
Draw
0-03.20%
1-17.21%
2-24.06%
3-31.02%
4-40.14%
Real Madrid
0-18.20%
0-210.51%
1-29.24%
0-38.98%
1-37.89%
2-33.47%
0-45.76%
1-45.06%
2-42.22%
3-40.65%
0-52.95%
1-52.59%
2-51.14%
3-50.33%

Correct Score - First Half

Dortmund
Real Madrid
Score012345
0
20.31%
24.11%
14.31%
5.66%
1.68%
0.40%
1
8.27%
9.81%
5.82%
2.30%
0.68%
0.16%
2
1.68%
2.00%
1.18%
0.47%
0.14%
0.03%
3
0.23%
0.27%
0.16%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Dortmund
1-08.27%
2-01.68%
2-12.00%
3-00.23%
3-10.27%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-020.31%
1-19.81%
2-21.18%
Real Madrid
0-124.11%
0-214.31%
1-25.82%
0-35.66%
1-32.30%
2-30.47%
0-41.68%
1-40.68%
2-40.14%
0-50.40%
1-50.16%