Champions League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 6, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Young Boys
Shakhtar 		46.0%
28.1%		25.9%
+310
-109
+300
+100
1.49
1.10		2.59
o2½-131
u2¾-115
o2½-125
u2½+120
Aston Villa
Club Brugge 		41.3%
31.5%		27.2%
+122
+230
+120
+225
1.33
1.12		2.45
o2½-115
u2½+102
o2½-120
u2½+105
Benfica
Bayern Munich 		11.0%
72.9%		16.1%
+850
-345
+875
-390
0.87
2.51		3.38
o3½-102
u3½-110
o3½+100
u3½+110
Volatility Bet Value Active
RB Salzburg
Feyenoord 		16.5%
64.0%		19.4%
+485
-177
+470
-180
1.03
2.20		3.23
o3-110
u3-101
o3-110
u3-105
Barcelona
Red Star 		62.1%
16.3%		21.6%
-388
+1100
-425
+1000
1.92
0.86		2.78
o3½-108
u3½-105
o3½+100
u3½-105
Arsenal
Inter 		31.8%
40.9%		27.3%
+181
+174
+181
+170
1.13
1.31		2.44
o2¼-122
u2½-121
o2½+120
u2½-125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Brest
Sparta Prague 		27.8%
47.3%		24.9%
+210
+145
+209
+140
1.16
1.59		2.75
o2¼-122
u2¼+105
o2½+105
u2½-110
Atletico Madrid
Paris Saint-Germain 		22.4%
52.7%		24.9%
+518
-180
+515
-170
0.96
1.61		2.57
o3-110
u3-108
o2½-150
u3-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Atalanta
VfB Stuttgart 		18.3%
61.5%		20.2%
+164
+155
+175
+147
1.08
2.14		3.22
o2¾-119
u2¾-101
o3-105
u3½-145
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Nov 5, 2024
Games for Nov 7, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Lazio
Feyenoord		34.6%
38.7%		26.7%
+330
-116
+300
-115
1
3		-0.64735-0.67197-0.94995
Shakhtar
Barcelona		4.6%
84.8%		10.6%
+1550
-555
+1500
-580
1
2		-0.20117-0.20242-0.16491
PSV Eindhoven
Lens		29.5%
45.4%		25.1%
+192
+147
+190
+145
1
1		-1.30571-1.29073-1.38159
Real Madrid
Braga		66.4%
13.9%		19.6%
-250
+670
-265
+650
2
1		-0.36374-0.36376-0.40908
FC Copenhagen
Manchester United		8.5%
76.5%		14.9%
+900
-347
+940
-355
0
1		-0.28408-0.27796-0.26732
Real Sociedad
Benfica		21.9%
53.7%		24.3%
+255
+126
+245
+120
1
0		-1.29200-1.28471-1.51750
Arsenal
Sevilla		42.8%
29.6%		27.5%
-143
+435
-150
+443
2
1		-0.56152-0.55379-0.84763
Napoli
Union Berlin		41.0%
32.1%		26.9%
+116
+258
+118
+260
1
0		-0.79773-0.79350-0.89221
RB Salzburg
Inter		11.0%
72.9%		16.1%
+1140
-379
+1160
-410
1
2		-0.25400-0.26064-0.31599
Bayern Munich
Galatasaray		77.3%
8.6%		14.1%
-190
+478
-192
+515
3
1		-0.45066-0.43919-0.25711
Manchester City
RB Leipzig		55.2%
21.9%		22.9%
-143
+425
-145
+409
3
1		-0.55399-0.55912-0.59430
Barcelona
Porto		46.9%
26.8%		26.3%
-130
+345
-118
+335
1
0		-0.60673-0.64103-0.75651
Paris Saint-Germain
Newcastle United		46.7%
27.3%		26.0%
+160
+154
+195
+137
1
4		-0.98529-0.90086-1.29806
Young Boys
Red Star		19.3%
58.2%		22.5%
+241
+114
+232
+120
2
2		-1.33869-1.31796-1.49006
Milan
Dortmund		21.9%
55.8%		22.3%
+180
+160
+180
+153
0
0		-1.27988-1.27554-1.49960
Lazio
Celtic		47.2%
27.6%		25.2%
+170
+172
+167
+175
2
1		-1.02076-1.01220-0.75067
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks95-3-1 (0.611)0-0.94785 
Sportsbooks94-4-1 (0.500)0-0.95431 
DRatings94-4-1 (0.500)0-1.11954
-0.17169
-0.16523

Predictions Methodology

The UEFA Champions League game predictions do not account for injuries, missing players or any other factors that may be cause the outcome to be different from the prediction. Even though these teams generally bring their A-teams to Champions League games, please see my disclaimer page for more on the benefits and downfalls of these predictions: Predictions Disclaimer.