Champions League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 6, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Young Boys
Shakhtar 		46.0%
28.1%		25.9%
+310
-109
+302
+100
1.49
1.10		2.59
o2½-131
u2¾-115
o2½-125
u2½+120
Aston Villa
Club Brugge 		41.3%
31.5%		27.2%
+122
+236
+120
+225
1.33
1.12		2.45
o2½-117
u2½+106
o2½-120
u2½+105
Benfica
Bayern Munich 		11.0%
72.9%		16.1%
+900
-345
+877
-390
0.87
2.51		3.38
o3½-101
u3½-110
o3½+105
u3½+110
Volatility Bet Value Active
RB Salzburg
Feyenoord 		16.5%
64.0%		19.4%
+520
-188
+490
-180
1.03
2.20		3.23
o3-110
u3+103
o3-110
u3-105
Barcelona
Red Star 		62.1%
16.3%		21.6%
-397
+1075
-425
+1020
1.92
0.86		2.78
o3½-108
u3½-105
o3½+100
u3½-105
Arsenal
Inter 		31.8%
40.9%		27.3%
+187
+169
+181
+170
1.13
1.31		2.44
o2¼-123
u2½-121
o2½+115
u2½-130
Volatility Bet Value Active
Brest
Sparta Prague 		27.8%
47.3%		24.9%
+210
+145
+209
+140
1.16
1.59		2.75
o2¼-119
u2½-125
o2½+105
u2½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Atletico Madrid
Paris Saint-Germain 		22.4%
52.7%		24.9%
+518
-180
+515
-170
0.96
1.61		2.57
o3-110
u3-108
o2½-150
u3-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Atalanta
VfB Stuttgart 		18.3%
61.5%		20.2%
+164
+155
+175
+154
1.08
2.14		3.22
o2¾-119
u2¾-101
o3+110
u3+110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Nov 5, 2024
Games for Nov 7, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Feyenoord
Atletico Madrid		10.3%
72.7%		17.0%
+475
-157
+475
-165
2
3		-0.52113-0.51632-0.31843
Shakhtar
Antwerp		30.3%
42.8%		26.9%
+340
-117
+335
-118
3
2		-1.51768-1.51431-1.19412
Arsenal
Lens		58.9%
18.8%		22.2%
-157
+487
-160
+464
1
2		-1.80060-1.77596-1.67052
Bayern Munich
FC Copenhagen		82.4%
6.1%		11.4%
-423
+1125
-435
+1025
2
1		-0.24205-0.25176-0.19303
Galatasaray
Manchester United		8.9%
75.7%		15.4%
+600
-204
+565
-225
3
2		-1.95970-1.93954-2.42137
Benfica
Inter		20.8%
55.9%		23.3%
+475
-174
+463
-150
0
1		-0.48477-0.51316-0.58220
Real Madrid
Napoli		34.4%
37.9%		27.7%
+158
+172
+158
+165
3
2		-0.97657-0.98964-1.06735
Sevilla
PSV Eindhoven		35.7%
36.7%		27.6%
+319
-123
+318
-120
2
2		-1.44456-1.41469-1.28612
Braga
Union Berlin		15.5%
64.1%		20.4%
+303
+101
+285
+100
3
2		-1.41174-1.38490-1.86478
Real Sociedad
RB Salzburg		36.1%
36.8%		27.1%
+172
+193
+165
+187
2
0		-1.01713-1.01214-1.01935
Napoli
Braga		49.3%
25.7%		25.0%
-139
+410
-145
+380
2
1		-0.55932-0.55937-0.70680
PSV Eindhoven
Arsenal		8.7%
77.1%		14.1%
+725
-265
+700
-275
0
4		-0.34817-0.35275-0.26013
Inter
Real Sociedad		33.1%
38.6%		28.3%
+165
+195
+165
+200
1
1		-1.19591-1.17073-1.26266
RB Salzburg
Benfica		16.5%
64.0%		19.5%
+545
-202
+575
-225
2
0		-1.89579-1.95115-1.80478
Manchester United
Bayern Munich		10.1%
74.5%		15.4%
+525
-207
+535
-220
3
4		-0.42217-0.41275-0.29429
Lens
Sevilla		16.1%
62.1%		21.8%
+267
+115
+280
+110
1
1		-1.25917-1.24824-1.52175
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks95-3-1 (0.611)0-0.94785 
Sportsbooks94-4-1 (0.500)0-0.95431 
DRatings94-4-1 (0.500)0-1.11954
-0.17169
-0.16523

Predictions Methodology

The UEFA Champions League game predictions do not account for injuries, missing players or any other factors that may be cause the outcome to be different from the prediction. Even though these teams generally bring their A-teams to Champions League games, please see my disclaimer page for more on the benefits and downfalls of these predictions: Predictions Disclaimer.