Champions League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 6, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Young Boys
Shakhtar 		46.0%
28.1%		25.9%
+310
-109
+313
+100
1.49
1.10		2.59
o2½-135
u2¾-115
o2½-125
u2½+120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Aston Villa
Club Brugge 		41.3%
31.5%		27.2%
+122
+236
+120
+230
1.33
1.12		2.45
o2½-112
u2½+101
o2½-115
u2½+105
Benfica
Bayern Munich 		11.0%
72.9%		16.1%
+900
-349
+900
-390
0.87
2.51		3.38
o3½+102
u3½-113
o3½+100
u3½+110
Volatility Bet Value Active
RB Salzburg
Feyenoord 		16.5%
64.0%		19.4%
+520
-188
+500
-195
1.03
2.20		3.23
o3-110
u3+103
o3-115
u3-105
Barcelona
Red Star 		62.1%
16.3%		21.6%
-397
+1100
-460
+1100
1.92
0.86		2.78
o3½-112
u3½-102
o3½-115
u3½-105
Arsenal
Inter 		31.8%
40.9%		27.3%
+185
+169
+181
+170
1.13
1.31		2.44
o2¼-127
u2½-118
o2½+115
u2½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Brest
Sparta Prague 		27.8%
47.3%		24.9%
+206
+147
+200
+140
1.16
1.59		2.75
o2¼-119
u2¼+105
o2½+105
u2½-115
Atletico Madrid
Paris Saint-Germain 		22.4%
52.7%		24.9%
+575
-200
+585
-175
0.96
1.61		2.57
o3¼+107
u3¼-121
o2½-150
u3+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Atalanta
VfB Stuttgart 		18.3%
61.5%		20.2%
+160
+156
+170
+155
1.08
2.14		3.22
o3+100
u3-122
o3+105
u3-120
Games for Nov 5, 2024
Games for Nov 7, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
FC Copenhagen
Galatasaray		21.7%
54.4%		23.9%
+425
-143
+400
-150
2
2		-1.44469-1.44075-1.42924
Union Berlin
Real Madrid		9.0%
75.3%		15.6%
+720
-245
+725
-265
0
1		-0.37196-0.36258-0.28365
Porto
Shakhtar		50.0%
24.3%		25.7%
-146
+432
-150
+438
3
1		-0.55271-0.55542-0.69409
Red Star
Manchester City		3.1%
88.8%		8.1%
+3500
-1253
+2900
-1425
1
3		-0.09889-0.11447-0.11908
Dortmund
Paris Saint-Germain		21.6%
56.4%		21.9%
+340
-137
+330
-143
0
2		-0.58166-0.57496-0.57189
Celtic
Feyenoord		19.2%
59.1%		21.7%
+465
-180
+460
-185
0
2		-0.47393-0.47400-0.52641
Antwerp
Barcelona		3.9%
87.0%		9.1%
+1600
-650
+1400
-625
0
5		-0.17729-0.19350-0.13961
Atletico Madrid
Lazio		41.7%
30.6%		27.7%
+155
+203
+150
+200
1
1		-1.20808-1.21888-1.28518
RB Leipzig
Young Boys		68.3%
13.7%		18.0%
-133
+370
-139
+390
3
1		-0.59193-0.56828-0.38167
Newcastle United
Milan		23.5%
51.7%		24.8%
+190
+167
+180
+170
0
0		-1.19452-1.22401-1.39602
Antwerp
AEK Athens		28.3%
45.3%		26.4%
+420
-140
+425
-150
2
1		-1.68341-1.70722-1.26372
Rangers
PSV Eindhoven		20.1%
57.5%		22.4%
+535
-200
+475
-200
1
5		-0.43956-0.45531-0.55335
Rakow
FC Copenhagen		16.5%
62.4%		21.1%
+425
-145
+425
-150
1
1		-1.41812-1.39707-1.55599
Braga
Panathinaikos		33.3%
36.4%		30.2%
+186
+149
+175
+155
1
0		-1.08246-1.06031-1.09823
Molde
Galatasaray		29.4%
45.4%		25.2%
+515
-183
+475
-200
1
2		-0.45555-0.45531-0.78937
Galatasaray
Molde		23.8%
52.9%		23.3%
+144
+210
+155
+180
3
2		-0.92073-0.98709-1.43616
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks95-3-1 (0.611)0-0.94785 
Sportsbooks94-4-1 (0.500)0-0.95431 
DRatings94-4-1 (0.500)0-1.11954
-0.17169
-0.16523

Predictions Methodology

The UEFA Champions League game predictions do not account for injuries, missing players or any other factors that may be cause the outcome to be different from the prediction. Even though these teams generally bring their A-teams to Champions League games, please see my disclaimer page for more on the benefits and downfalls of these predictions: Predictions Disclaimer.