Champions League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 6, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Young Boys
Shakhtar 		46.0%
28.1%		25.9%
+362
-127
+335
-105
1.49
1.10		2.59
o2¾-112
u3-133
o2½-130
u2½+125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Aston Villa
Club Brugge 		41.3%
31.5%		27.2%
+110
+270
+115
+244
1.33
1.12		2.45
o2½-122
u2¾-122
o2½-115
u2½+110
Benfica
Bayern Munich 		11.0%
72.9%		16.1%
+900
-349
+915
-375
0.87
2.51		3.38
o3½+102
u3½-113
o3½+110
u3½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
RB Salzburg
Feyenoord 		16.5%
64.0%		19.4%
+520
-190
+530
-195
1.03
2.20		3.23
o3-113
u3+103
o3-115
u3+105
Barcelona
Red Star 		62.1%
16.3%		21.6%
-390
+1100
-425
+1000
1.92
0.86		2.78
o3½-112
u3½+103
o3½-115
u3½-105
Arsenal
Inter 		31.8%
40.9%		27.3%
+188
+167
+180
+170
1.13
1.31		2.44
o2½-103
u2½-114
o2½+115
u2½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Brest
Sparta Prague 		27.8%
47.3%		24.9%
+206
+147
+200
+140
1.16
1.59		2.75
o2¼-115
u2¼-102
o2½+115
u2½-120
Atletico Madrid
Paris Saint-Germain 		22.4%
52.7%		24.9%
+585
-205
+550
-180
0.96
1.61		2.57
o3¼-101
u3¼-117
o3-120
u3+110
Atalanta
VfB Stuttgart 		18.3%
61.5%		20.2%
+156
+162
+170
+161
1.08
2.14		3.22
o2¾-118
u2¾-102
o3+115
u3-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Nov 5, 2024
Games for Nov 7, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
PSV Eindhoven
Rangers		33.6%
39.5%		26.8%
+140
+207
+140
+190
2
2		-1.29077-1.28844-1.31535
FC Copenhagen
Sparta Prague		34.6%
38.5%		26.9%
+209
+141
+225
+130
4
2		-1.16806-1.22762-1.06057
Sparta Prague
FC Copenhagen		19.2%
59.1%		21.7%
+250
+115
+215
+125
0
0		-1.25713-1.28884-1.52684
Inter
Manchester City		11.8%
70.6%		17.6%
+600
-184
+600
-188
0
1		-0.45037-0.44917-0.34854
Real Madrid
Manchester City		14.9%
65.0%		20.1%
+450
-169
+430
-180
0
4		-0.48962-0.48737-0.43048
Milan
Inter		18.2%
59.8%		22.0%
+223
+144
+220
+137
0
1		-0.90718-0.89106-0.51473
Inter
Milan		33.8%
38.7%		27.5%
+147
+239
+135
+235
2
0		-0.92639-0.89997-1.08583
Manchester City
Real Madrid		41.1%
31.8%		27.1%
+123
+235
+115
+230
1
1		-1.33332-1.35201-1.30678
Benfica
Inter		24.5%
50.9%		24.6%
+264
+116
+255
+110
3
3		-1.28410-1.30162-1.40238
Manchester City
Bayern Munich		37.2%
36.3%		26.6%
+140
+185
+135
+1350
1
1		-1.40177-1.06601-1.32588
Milan
Napoli		21.6%
55.0%		23.4%
+360
-109
+350
+100
1
1		-1.33709-1.28294-1.45261
Real Madrid
Chelsea		36.3%
35.3%		28.4%
+176
+172
+146
+700
2
0		-1.02605-0.68385-1.01426
Chelsea
Real Madrid		17.5%
60.4%		22.1%
+445
-133
+475
-150
0
2		-0.57464-0.53445-0.50392
Napoli
Milan		31.4%
41.8%		26.7%
+200
+175
+189
+172
0
1		-1.03094-1.03623-0.87199
Inter
Benfica		28.3%
45.7%		26.0%
+235
+139
+230
+138
2
0		-1.22871-1.22435-1.26160
Bayern Munich
Manchester City		17.5%
62.2%		20.3%
+450
-159
+452
-175
0
3		-0.50717-0.49830-0.47478
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks95-3-1 (0.611)0-0.94785 
Sportsbooks94-4-1 (0.500)0-0.95431 
DRatings94-4-1 (0.500)0-1.11954
-0.17169
-0.16523

Predictions Methodology

The UEFA Champions League game predictions do not account for injuries, missing players or any other factors that may be cause the outcome to be different from the prediction. Even though these teams generally bring their A-teams to Champions League games, please see my disclaimer page for more on the benefits and downfalls of these predictions: Predictions Disclaimer.