Champions League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 6, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Benfica
Bayern Munich 		11.0%
72.9%		16.1%
+1160
-412
+1000
-375
0.87
2.51		3.38
o3½-107
u3½-106
o3½+100
u3½-105
RB Salzburg
Feyenoord 		16.5%
64.0%		19.4%
+560
-197
+570
-195
1.03
2.20		3.23
o3-114
u3+105
o3-115
u3+105
Barcelona
Red Star 		62.1%
16.3%		21.6%
-376
+1030
-425
+1000
1.92
0.86		2.78
o3½-128
u3¾-118
o3½-115
u3½+105
Arsenal
Inter 		31.8%
40.9%		27.3%
+185
+170
+190
+172
1.13
1.31		2.44
o2¼-120
u2½-123
o2½+115
u2½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
Brest
Sparta Prague 		27.8%
47.3%		24.9%
+180
+180
+200
+177
1.16
1.59		2.75
o2-129
u2¼-126
o2-135
u2½-130
Volatility Bet Value Active
Atletico Madrid
Paris Saint-Germain 		22.4%
52.7%		24.9%
+570
-200
+580
-180
0.96
1.61		2.57
o3-117
u3-103
o3-115
u3+110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Atalanta
VfB Stuttgart 		18.3%
61.5%		20.2%
+151
+168
+170
+160
1.08
2.14		3.22
o2¾-119
u2¾-101
o3+115
u3-120
Games for Nov 5, 2024
Games for Nov 7, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Young Boys
Shakhtar 		46.0%
28.1%		25.9%
+362
-127
+335
-105
2.59
o2¾-112
u3-133
o2½-130
u2½+125
2nd H
90:00		1
2
Aston Villa
Club Brugge 		41.3%
31.5%		27.2%
+105
+270
+115
+244
2.45
o2½-122
u2¾-122
o2½-115
u2½+110
2nd H
90:00		0
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Liverpool
Real Madrid		28.0%
45.6%		26.3%
+186
+135
+180
+133
0
1		-0.87275-0.88276-0.78441
Eintracht Frankfurt
Napoli		19.6%
59.4%		21.0%
+792
-242
+725
-250
0
3		-0.36346-0.38021-0.52072
Inter
Porto		35.8%
36.0%		28.3%
+154
+217
+150
+200
0
0		-1.22704-1.22967-1.26330
RB Leipzig
Manchester City		8.1%
78.3%		13.7%
+895
-274
+800
-300
0
7		-0.32792-0.33294-0.24504
Milan
Tottenham		20.2%
57.5%		22.2%
+400
-121
+360
-130
0
0		-1.33777-1.40503-1.50404
Paris Saint-Germain
Bayern Munich		22.7%
54.5%		22.8%

+310
-135
0
2		-0.58066-0.60691
Dortmund
Chelsea		23.8%
53.1%		23.1%
+406
-136
+385
-140
0
2		-0.56310-0.57716-0.63207
Club Brugge
Benfica		8.6%
76.2%		15.2%
+750
-252
+780
-288
1
5		-0.35278-0.34339-0.27193
Manchester City
RB Leipzig		62.7%
16.9%		20.4%
+101
+310
-110
+335
1
1		-1.31000-1.31189-1.58934
Porto
Inter		24.3%
50.5%		25.1%
+426
-124
+415
-130
0
1		-0.60886-0.61622-0.68260
Real Madrid
Liverpool		29.6%
43.5%		26.9%
+225
+128
+213
+127
5
2		-1.20244-1.18189-1.21689
Napoli
Eintracht Frankfurt		38.5%
35.5%		25.9%
+122
+250
+118
+245
2
0		-0.82237-0.82114-0.95399
Chelsea
Dortmund		32.7%
41.5%		25.8%
+223
+138
+220
+130
0
1		-0.88902-0.87101-0.87940
Benfica
Club Brugge		53.2%
22.5%		24.3%
-116
+389
-120
+360
2
0		-0.63856-0.64596-0.63055
Bayern Munich
Paris Saint-Germain		30.7%
43.9%		25.4%
+186
+137
+140
+185
1
0		-1.08836-0.91257-1.18146
Tottenham
Milan		33.3%
40.0%		26.6%
+222
+150
+205
+145
0
1		-0.92978-0.93889-0.91507
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks73-3-1 (0.500)0-1.03870 
Sportsbooks72-4-1 (0.357)0-1.04458 
DRatings72-4-1 (0.357)0-1.27952
-0.24082
-0.23494

Predictions Methodology

The UEFA Champions League game predictions do not account for injuries, missing players or any other factors that may be cause the outcome to be different from the prediction. Even though these teams generally bring their A-teams to Champions League games, please see my disclaimer page for more on the benefits and downfalls of these predictions: Predictions Disclaimer.