Champions League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 6, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Young Boys
Shakhtar 		46.0%
28.1%		25.9%
+277
+106
+255
+100
1.49
1.10		2.59
o2½-140
u2¾-109
o2½-130
u2½+120
Aston Villa
Club Brugge 		41.3%
31.5%		27.2%
+120
+231
+115
+225
1.33
1.12		2.45
o2½-122
u2¾-122
o2½-125
u2½+105
Benfica
Bayern Munich 		11.0%
72.9%		16.1%
+860
-358
+875
-400
0.87
2.51		3.38
o3¾-109
u4-137
o3½-125
u3½+110
RB Salzburg
Feyenoord 		16.5%
64.0%		19.4%
+485
-172
+450
-175
1.03
2.20		3.23
o3-110
u3-101
o3-108
u3-105
Barcelona
Red Star 		62.1%
16.3%		21.6%
-548
+1500
-625
+1400
1.92
0.86		2.78
o3½-112
u3½+102
o3½-115
u3½-105
Arsenal
Inter 		31.8%
40.9%		27.3%
+190
+170
+181
+170
1.13
1.31		2.44
o2¼-115
u2½-131
o2½+120
u2½-140
Volatility Bet Value Active
Brest
Sparta Prague 		27.8%
47.3%		24.9%
+213
+140
+200
+140
1.16
1.59		2.75
o2½-106
u2½-111
o2½-110
u2½-110
Atletico Madrid
Paris Saint-Germain 		22.4%
52.7%		24.9%
+424
-140
+390
-145
0.96
1.61		2.57
o2¾-102
u2¾-118
o2½-120
u2½+110
Atalanta
VfB Stuttgart 		18.3%
61.5%		20.2%
+175
+136
+175
+138
1.08
2.14		3.22
o3-119
u3-101
o3-120
u3½-145
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Nov 5, 2024
Games for Nov 7, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Young Boys
RB Leipzig		5.5%
83.9%		10.5%
+975
-344
+875
-375
1
2		-0.27660-0.28239-0.17507
Manchester City
Red Star		80.1%
6.6%		13.3%
-151
+430
-158
+550
3
2		-0.53505-0.45198-0.22237
Bayern Munich
Manchester United		52.4%
24.1%		23.5%
+107
+219
+102
+220
1
0		-0.75470-0.74242-0.64674
Real Sociedad
Inter		13.2%
67.2%		19.6%
+325
-109
+330
-110
0
0		-1.32708-1.31449-1.62984
Braga
Napoli		11.5%
71.3%		17.2%
+485
-181
+495
-188
0
2		-0.46005-0.45528-0.33827
Real Madrid
Union Berlin		51.0%
24.0%		25.0%
+106
+267
+108
+260
3
2		-0.75120-0.76804-0.67370
Benfica
RB Salzburg		42.4%
32.1%		25.4%
-108
+278
-110
+267
3
1		-0.68446-0.69187-0.85717
Galatasaray
FC Copenhagen		37.3%
34.8%		27.9%
+184
+153
+180
+145
0
1		-0.94145-0.92965-1.05481
Arsenal
PSV Eindhoven		56.5%
21.3%		22.2%
+157
+178
+160
+178
1
1		-1.29496-1.30280-1.50404
Sevilla
Lens		38.4%
33.1%		28.5%
+327
-111
+333
-110
1
2		-0.67099-0.67135-1.10543
Napoli
Real Madrid		14.0%
66.5%		19.5%
+344
-130
+345
-135
2
4		-0.59869-0.59092-0.40741
Lens
Arsenal		7.8%
78.2%		14.0%
+880
-274
+800
-270
0
6		-0.33420-0.35510-0.24568
Union Berlin
Braga		40.0%
32.8%		27.2%
+281
-105
+285
+105
1
1		-1.37995-1.34565-1.30320
FC Copenhagen
Bayern Munich		2.8%
90.4%		6.8%
+1300
-460
+1200
-500
0
0		-2.05799-2.08056-2.68839
Inter
Benfica		38.8%
33.7%		27.4%
+215
+145
+214
+140
3
3		-1.25372-1.25260-1.29335
RB Salzburg
Real Sociedad		18.1%
60.7%		21.2%
+550
-179
+525
-180
0
0		-1.48620-1.48439-1.55353
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks95-3-1 (0.611)0-0.94785 
Sportsbooks94-4-1 (0.500)0-0.95431 
DRatings94-4-1 (0.500)0-1.11954
-0.17169
-0.16523

Predictions Methodology

The UEFA Champions League game predictions do not account for injuries, missing players or any other factors that may be cause the outcome to be different from the prediction. Even though these teams generally bring their A-teams to Champions League games, please see my disclaimer page for more on the benefits and downfalls of these predictions: Predictions Disclaimer.