Dortmund at Lille

Updated

Dortmund

38.9%26.4%34.6%
Dortmund WinDrawLille Win
1.33Projected Goals 1.25
2Final Score 1

Lille

Last 5 Games

Dortmund
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Lille-173
T 0-0 vs Sporting CP-130
W 3-0 at Sporting CP+185
W 1-3 vs Shakhtar-280
L 1-2 at Bologna+180
Lille
Money Line
T 1-1 at Dortmund+500
W 1-6 vs Feyenoord+135
L 1-2 at Liverpool+940
W 2-3 vs Sturm Graz-210
W 2-1 at Bologna+235

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dortmund+150+169+165+170+165+170+170+179.6
Lille+175+171+170+170+167+170+171+179.6
Draw+255+235+230+239+231+239+239+251.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dortmund+160-+163+155+150+170+170+179.6
Lille+170-+171+160+155+170+170+179.6
Draw+240-+235+230+235+225+235+251.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Lille: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Dortmund: 10.0%
Lille: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Dortmund: 0.0%
Lille: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Dortmund ML moved from +170 to +160
Lille ML moved from +177 to +171

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Lille: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Dortmund: 10.0%
Lille: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Dortmund: 0.0%
Lille: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Dortmund ML moved from +165 to +155
Lille ML moved from +173 to +164

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-112o2½+106o2½+102o2½+105o2½-101o2½+105o2½+106o2½+114
Underu2½-108u2½-124u2½-122u2½-125u2½-121u2½-125u2½-121u2½-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½+100o2½+100o2½+100o2½-105o2½+100o2½+100o2½+114
Underu2½-105u2½-120u2½-120u2½-120u2½-125u2½-120u2½-120u2½-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-120 to o2½-103
The Under moved from u2½-114 to u2¼+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.54%
Exactly 225.19%
Exactly 414.03%
Exactly 63.12%
Exactly 80.37%
 
Exactly 119.49%
Exactly 321.70%
Exactly 57.25%
Exactly 71.15%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Dortmund
Exactly 026.22%
Exactly 135.10%
Exactly 223.49%
Exactly 310.48%
Exactly 43.51%
Exactly 50.94%
Exactly 60.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Lille
Exactly 028.76%
Exactly 135.84%
Exactly 222.33%
Exactly 39.27%
Exactly 42.89%
Exactly 50.72%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.22%
Exactly 221.64%
Exactly 42.58%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.16%
Exactly 38.63%
Exactly 50.62%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Dortmund
Exactly 053.80%
Exactly 133.35%
Exactly 210.33%
Exactly 32.14%
Exactly 40.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lille
Exactly 056.16%
Exactly 132.40%
Exactly 29.35%
Exactly 31.80%
Exactly 40.26%

Alternate Props

Spread

Dortmund
Wins by 2+ goals17.69%
Wins by 3+ goals6.30%
Wins by 4+ goals1.80%
Wins by 5+ goals0.41%
Lille
Wins by 2+ goals14.83%
Wins by 3+ goals4.96%
Wins by 4+ goals1.33%
Wins by 5+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Dortmund
Lille
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Dortmund
Wins by 1 goal21.21%
Wins by 2 goals11.39%
Wins by 3 goals4.50%
Wins by 4 goals1.39%
Wins by 5 goals0.35%
Lille
Wins by 1 goal19.74%
Wins by 2 goals9.87%
Wins by 3 goals3.63%
Wins by 4 goals1.05%
Wins by 5 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.46%7.54%
1.572.96%27.04%
2.547.77%52.23%
3.526.07%73.93%
4.512.04%87.96%
5.54.79%95.21%
6.51.67%98.33%

Total Goals Dortmund Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.78%26.22%
1.538.68%61.32%
2.515.19%84.81%
3.54.71%95.29%
4.51.20%98.80%

Total Goals Lille Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.24%28.76%
1.535.39%64.61%
2.513.06%86.94%
3.53.79%96.21%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.78%30.22%
1.533.62%66.38%
2.511.98%88.02%
3.53.35%96.65%

Score Props

Correct Score

Dortmund
Lille
Score012345
0
7.54%
9.40%
5.85%
2.43%
0.76%
0.19%
1
10.10%
12.58%
7.84%
3.26%
1.01%
0.25%
2
6.76%
8.42%
5.25%
2.18%
0.68%
0.17%
3
3.02%
3.76%
2.34%
0.97%
0.30%
0.08%
4
1.01%
1.26%
0.78%
0.33%
0.10%
0.03%
5
0.27%
0.34%
0.21%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
Dortmund
1-010.10%
2-06.76%
2-18.42%
3-03.02%
3-13.76%
3-22.34%
4-01.01%
4-11.26%
4-20.78%
4-30.33%
5-00.27%
5-10.34%
5-20.21%
Draw
0-07.54%
1-112.58%
2-25.25%
3-30.97%
4-40.10%
Lille
0-19.40%
0-25.85%
1-27.84%
0-32.43%
1-33.26%
2-32.18%
0-40.76%
1-41.01%
2-40.68%
3-40.30%
0-50.19%
1-50.25%
2-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Dortmund
Lille
Score01234
0
30.22%
17.43%
5.03%
0.97%
0.14%
1
18.73%
10.81%
3.12%
0.60%
0.09%
2
5.80%
3.35%
0.97%
0.19%
0.03%
3
1.20%
0.69%
0.20%
0.04%
0.01%
4
0.19%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Dortmund
1-018.73%
2-05.80%
2-13.35%
3-01.20%
3-10.69%
3-20.20%
4-00.19%
4-10.11%
Draw
0-030.22%
1-110.81%
2-20.97%
Lille
0-117.43%
0-25.03%
1-23.12%
0-30.97%
1-30.60%
2-30.19%
0-40.14%