Porto at Atletico Madrid

Updated

Porto

13.6%20.6%65.8%
WinDrawAtletico Madrid Win
0.76Projected Goals 1.97
1Final Score 2

Atletico Madrid

Last 5 Games

Porto
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Atletico Madrid+170
L 0-2 at Liverpool+382
T 1-1 at Milan+280
W 0-1 vs Milan+135
L 5-1 vs Liverpool+350
Atletico Madrid
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Manchester City+410
L 0-1 at Manchester City+1100
W 1-0 at Manchester United+275
T 1-1 vs Manchester United+186
W 3-1 at Porto+160

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Porto+370-+350+370+354+370+370+373.1
Atletico Madrid-125--115-116-120-116-115-104.2
Draw+240-+230+252+242+252+252+259.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Porto+375-+348-+345+350+350+373.1
Atletico Madrid-120--115--145-115-115-104.2
Draw+240-+233-+220+240+240+259.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Porto: 0.0%
Atletico Madrid: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Porto: 0.0%
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Porto ML moved from +350 to +340
Atletico Madrid ML moved from -110 to -116

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Porto: 0.0%
Atletico Madrid: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Porto: 0.0%
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Porto ML moved from +360 to +345
No Steam Moves On Atletico Madrid ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-108-o2¼-110o2¼-108-o2¼-108o2¼-108o2½+134
Underu2¼-112-u2¼-110u2¼-112-u2¼-112u2¼-110u2½-134
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-145o2-150o2-150-o2½+110o2-150o2-150o2½+134
Underu2+125u2+130u2+130-u2½-140u2+130u2½-140u2½-134

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2-150 to o2½+110
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.8%
 
No54.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.54%
Exactly 224.32%
Exactly 415.07%
Exactly 63.74%
Exactly 80.50%
 
Exactly 117.84%
Exactly 322.11%
Exactly 58.22%
Exactly 71.46%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Porto
Exactly 046.81%
Exactly 135.53%
Exactly 213.49%
Exactly 33.41%
Exactly 40.65%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 013.98%
Exactly 127.50%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 317.75%
Exactly 48.73%
Exactly 53.44%
Exactly 61.13%
Exactly 70.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.30%
Exactly 222.55%
Exactly 43.00%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.72%
Exactly 39.49%
Exactly 50.76%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Porto
Exactly 070.37%
Exactly 124.73%
Exactly 24.35%
Exactly 30.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 040.21%
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 216.69%
Exactly 35.07%
Exactly 41.15%
Exactly 50.21%

Alternate Props

Spread

Porto
Wins by 2+ goals3.74%
Wins by 3+ goals0.75%
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals40.50%
Wins by 3+ goals20.22%
Wins by 4+ goals8.31%
Wins by 5+ goals2.84%
Wins by 6+ goals0.79%
Wins by 7+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Porto
Atletico Madrid
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Porto
Wins by 1 goal9.71%
Wins by 2 goals3.00%
Wins by 3 goals0.66%
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 1 goal25.20%
Wins by 2 goals20.28%
Wins by 3 goals11.91%
Wins by 4 goals5.47%
Wins by 5 goals2.05%
Wins by 6 goals0.64%
Wins by 7 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.46%6.54%
1.575.62%24.38%
2.551.29%48.71%
3.529.18%70.82%
4.514.11%85.89%
5.55.89%94.11%
6.52.16%97.84%

Total Goals Porto Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.19%46.81%
1.517.66%82.34%
2.54.17%95.83%

Total Goals Atletico Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.02%13.98%
1.558.52%41.48%
2.531.46%68.54%
3.513.71%86.29%
4.54.98%95.02%
5.51.54%98.46%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.70%28.30%
1.535.98%64.02%
2.513.43%86.57%
3.53.94%96.06%

Score Props

Correct Score

Porto
Atletico Madrid
Score012345
0
6.54%
12.88%
12.67%
8.31%
4.09%
1.61%
1
4.97%
9.77%
9.61%
6.31%
3.10%
1.22%
2
1.88%
3.71%
3.65%
2.39%
1.18%
0.46%
3
0.48%
0.94%
0.92%
0.61%
0.30%
0.12%
Porto
1-04.97%
2-01.88%
2-13.71%
3-00.48%
3-10.94%
3-20.92%
Draw
0-06.54%
1-19.77%
2-23.65%
3-30.61%
Atletico Madrid
0-112.88%
0-212.67%
1-29.61%
0-38.31%
1-36.31%
2-32.39%
0-44.09%
1-43.10%
2-41.18%
3-40.30%
0-51.61%
1-51.22%
2-50.46%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Porto
Atletico Madrid
Score012345
0
28.30%
25.78%
11.74%
3.57%
0.81%
0.15%
1
9.94%
9.06%
4.13%
1.25%
0.29%
0.05%
2
1.75%
1.59%
0.73%
0.22%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.20%
0.19%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Porto
1-09.94%
2-01.75%
2-11.59%
3-00.20%
3-10.19%
Draw
0-028.30%
1-19.06%
2-20.73%
Atletico Madrid
0-125.78%
0-211.74%
1-24.13%
0-33.57%
1-31.25%
2-30.22%
0-40.81%
1-40.29%
0-50.15%