Real Madrid at Manchester City

Updated

Real Madrid

22.5%24.0%53.5%
Real Madrid WinDrawManchester City Win
1.01Projected Goals 1.71
3Final Score 2

Manchester City

Last 5 Games

Real Madrid
Money Line
W 3-0 at Brest-268
W 1-5 vs RB Salzburg-1725
W 3-2 at Atalanta+165
L 0-2 at Liverpool+300
L 3-1 vs Milan-235
Manchester City
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Club Brugge-460
L 2-4 at Paris Saint-Germain+175
L 0-2 at Juventus-110
T 3-3 vs Feyenoord-640
L 1-4 at Sporting CP+110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid+198+249+245+253+223+253+253+265.6
Manchester City+130+100-105-101+103-101+103+106.1
Draw+271+296+300+300+281+300+300+314.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid+180-+255+230+240+235+255+265.6
Manchester City+135--105-105-110+100+100+106.1
Draw+275-+295+270+270+300+300+314.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Manchester City: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from +230 to +218
Manchester City ML moved from +101 to -101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Manchester City: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from +245 to +235
Manchester City ML moved from +100 to -105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-108o3-123o3-120o3-122o3-122o3-122o3-120o3-111
Underu3-109u3+104u3+100u3+102u3+100u3+102u3+104u3+111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-135o3-120o3-120o3-125o3-130o3-120o3-120o3-111
Underu3+115u3+100u3+100u3+105u3+100u3+100u3+105u3+111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-112 to o3¼-102
The Under moved from u3¼-118 to u3-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3½+110 to o3½-120
The Under moved from u3½-140 to u3-110

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.56%
Exactly 224.34%
Exactly 415.05%
Exactly 63.72%
Exactly 80.49%
 
Exactly 117.87%
Exactly 322.10%
Exactly 58.20%
Exactly 71.45%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 036.13%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.72%
Exactly 36.35%
Exactly 41.62%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 018.16%
Exactly 130.98%
Exactly 226.43%
Exactly 315.03%
Exactly 46.41%
Exactly 52.19%
Exactly 60.62%
Exactly 70.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.33%
Exactly 222.53%
Exactly 42.99%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.73%
Exactly 39.47%
Exactly 50.75%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 062.42%
Exactly 129.42%
Exactly 26.93%
Exactly 31.09%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 045.39%
Exactly 135.85%
Exactly 214.16%
Exactly 33.73%
Exactly 40.74%
Exactly 50.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals8.04%
Wins by 3+ goals2.20%
Wins by 4+ goals0.46%
Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals29.29%
Wins by 3+ goals12.87%
Wins by 4+ goals4.63%
Wins by 5+ goals1.38%
Wins by 6+ goals0.34%

Exact Winning Margin

Real Madrid
Manchester City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal14.42%
Wins by 2 goals5.84%
Wins by 3 goals1.74%
Wins by 4 goals0.40%
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal24.17%
Wins by 2 goals16.43%
Wins by 3 goals8.24%
Wins by 4 goals3.25%
Wins by 5 goals1.05%
Wins by 6 goals0.28%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.44%6.56%
1.575.57%24.43%
2.551.23%48.77%
3.529.12%70.88%
4.514.07%85.93%
5.55.87%94.13%
6.52.15%97.85%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.87%36.13%
1.527.08%72.92%
2.58.36%91.64%
3.52.01%97.99%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.84%18.16%
1.550.86%49.14%
2.524.44%75.56%
3.59.41%90.59%
4.53.00%97.00%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.67%28.33%
1.535.94%64.06%
2.513.41%86.59%
3.53.93%96.07%

Score Props

Correct Score

Real Madrid
Manchester City
Score012345
0
6.56%
11.19%
9.55%
5.43%
2.32%
0.79%
1
6.68%
11.39%
9.72%
5.53%
2.36%
0.80%
2
3.40%
5.80%
4.95%
2.81%
1.20%
0.41%
3
1.15%
1.97%
1.68%
0.95%
0.41%
0.14%
4
0.29%
0.50%
0.43%
0.24%
0.10%
0.04%
Real Madrid
1-06.68%
2-03.40%
2-15.80%
3-01.15%
3-11.97%
3-21.68%
4-00.29%
4-10.50%
4-20.43%
4-30.24%
Draw
0-06.56%
1-111.39%
2-24.95%
3-30.95%
4-40.10%
Manchester City
0-111.19%
0-29.55%
1-29.72%
0-35.43%
1-35.53%
2-32.81%
0-42.32%
1-42.36%
2-41.20%
3-40.41%
0-50.79%
1-50.80%
2-50.41%
3-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Real Madrid
Manchester City
Score01234
0
28.33%
22.38%
8.84%
2.33%
0.46%
1
13.35%
10.55%
4.17%
1.10%
0.22%
2
3.15%
2.49%
0.98%
0.26%
0.05%
3
0.49%
0.39%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
Real Madrid
1-013.35%
2-03.15%
2-12.49%
3-00.49%
3-10.39%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-028.33%
1-110.55%
2-20.98%
Manchester City
0-122.38%
0-28.84%
1-24.17%
0-32.33%
1-31.10%
2-30.26%
0-40.46%
1-40.22%