Milan at Real Madrid

Updated

Milan

11.1%17.3%71.6%
WinDrawReal Madrid Win
0.79Projected Goals 2.32

Real Madrid

Last 5 Games

Milan
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Club Brugge-261
L 0-1 at Bayer 04 Leverkusen+390
L 3-1 vs Liverpool+280
W 2-1 at Newcastle United+285
L 3-1 vs Dortmund+105
Real Madrid
Money Line
W 2-5 vs Dortmund-225
L 0-1 at Lille-115
W 1-3 vs VfB Stuttgart-320
W 0-2 vs Dortmund-140
W 1-2 vs Bayern Munich-102

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan+467+548+500+600+561+600+600+624.3
Real Madrid-182-217-225-230-233-230-217-206.3
Draw+358+397+400+413+402+413+413+430.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan+475-+530+475+505+550+550+624.3
Real Madrid-235--230-235-250-230-230-206.3
Draw+375-+395+375+380+400+400+430.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 20.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from +525 to +500
Real Madrid ML moved from -214 to -221

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Milan ML
Real Madrid ML moved from -235 to -245

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-127o3½+108o3¼-108o3¼-113o3¼-112o3¼-113o3¼-108o3¼-103
Underu3+108u3½-127u3¼-112u3¼-107u3¼-108u3¼-107u3½-127u3¼+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-135o3½+125o3½+125o3-135o3-135o3-130o3-130o3¼-103
Underu3+105u3½-145u3½-145u3+115u3+105u3+110u3½-145u3¼+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.3%
 
No50.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.46%
Exactly 221.57%
Exactly 417.39%
Exactly 65.61%
Exactly 80.97%
Exactly 100.10%
 
Exactly 113.87%
Exactly 322.36%
Exactly 510.82%
Exactly 72.49%
Exactly 90.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 045.30%
Exactly 135.87%
Exactly 214.20%
Exactly 33.75%
Exactly 40.74%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 09.84%
Exactly 122.82%
Exactly 226.45%
Exactly 320.44%
Exactly 411.85%
Exactly 55.49%
Exactly 62.12%
Exactly 70.70%
Exactly 80.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.69%
Exactly 224.57%
Exactly 44.25%
Exactly 60.29%
 
Exactly 134.12%
Exactly 311.79%
Exactly 51.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 069.30%
Exactly 125.41%
Exactly 24.66%
Exactly 30.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 034.19%
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 219.69%
Exactly 37.05%
Exactly 41.89%
Exactly 50.41%

Alternate Props

Spread

Milan
Wins by 2+ goals3.16%
Wins by 3+ goals0.68%
Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals48.35%
Wins by 3+ goals27.12%
Wins by 4+ goals12.75%
Wins by 5+ goals5.08%
Wins by 6+ goals1.73%
Wins by 7+ goals0.48%

Exact Winning Margin

Milan
Real Madrid
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Milan
Wins by 1 goal7.93%
Wins by 2 goals2.47%
Wins by 3 goals0.57%
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal23.22%
Wins by 2 goals21.22%
Wins by 3 goals14.37%
Wins by 4 goals7.67%
Wins by 5 goals3.36%
Wins by 6 goals1.24%
Wins by 7 goals0.39%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.54%4.46%
1.581.67%18.33%
2.560.10%39.90%
3.537.75%62.25%
4.520.36%79.64%
5.59.54%90.46%
6.53.94%96.06%
7.51.45%98.55%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.70%45.30%
1.518.83%81.17%
2.54.63%95.37%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.16%9.84%
1.567.33%32.67%
2.540.88%59.12%
3.520.44%79.56%
4.58.59%91.41%
5.53.10%96.90%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.31%23.69%
1.542.19%57.81%
2.517.63%82.37%
3.55.83%94.17%
4.51.59%98.41%

Score Props

Correct Score

Milan
Real Madrid
Score012345
0
4.46%
10.34%
11.98%
9.26%
5.37%
2.49%
1
3.53%
8.19%
9.49%
7.33%
4.25%
1.97%
2
1.40%
3.24%
3.76%
2.90%
1.68%
0.78%
3
0.37%
0.86%
0.99%
0.77%
0.44%
0.21%
Milan
1-03.53%
2-01.40%
2-13.24%
3-00.37%
3-10.86%
3-20.99%
Draw
0-04.46%
1-18.19%
2-23.76%
3-30.77%
Real Madrid
0-110.34%
0-211.98%
1-29.49%
0-39.26%
1-37.33%
2-32.90%
0-45.37%
1-44.25%
2-41.68%
3-40.44%
0-52.49%
1-51.97%
2-50.78%
3-50.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Milan
Real Madrid
Score012345
0
23.69%
25.43%
13.65%
4.88%
1.31%
0.28%
1
8.69%
9.32%
5.00%
1.79%
0.48%
0.10%
2
1.59%
1.71%
0.92%
0.33%
0.09%
0.02%
3
0.19%
0.21%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Milan
1-08.69%
2-01.59%
2-11.71%
3-00.19%
3-10.21%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-023.69%
1-19.32%
2-20.92%
Real Madrid
0-125.43%
0-213.65%
1-25.00%
0-34.88%
1-31.79%
2-30.33%
0-41.31%
1-40.48%
0-50.28%
1-50.10%