Milan at Newcastle Utd

Updated

Milan

23.0%24.6%52.4%
Milan WinDrawNewcastle Utd Win
0.99Projected Goals 1.64
2Final Score 1

Newcastle United

Last 5 Games

Milan
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Dortmund+105
W 1-2 vs Paris Saint-Germain+205
L 0-3 at Paris Saint-Germain+390
T 0-0 at Dortmund+180
T 0-0 vs Newcastle United+170
Newcastle United
Money Line
T 1-1 at Paris Saint-Germain+405
L 0-2 at Dortmund+164
L 1-0 vs Dortmund-180
W 1-4 vs Paris Saint-Germain+137
T 0-0 at Milan+180

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan+347+287+275-+298-+298-
Newcastle Utd-126-113-115--118--113-
Draw+287+297+295-+312-+312-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan+300-+285-+265+280+285-
Newcastle Utd-120--115--135-115-115-
Draw+290-+310-+280+295+310-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from +298 to +291
No Steam Moves On Newcastle Utd ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from +280 to +250
Newcastle Utd ML moved from -125 to -135

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-121o3+101o3+102-o3+104-o3+104-
Underu2½+103u3-119u3-122-u3-120-u3-119-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-125o3+110o3+105-o3+105o3+110o3+110-
Underu2½+105u3-130u3-125-u3-135u3-130u3-125-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.8%
 
No49.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.19%
Exactly 224.91%
Exactly 414.39%
Exactly 63.33%
Exactly 80.41%
 
Exactly 118.92%
Exactly 321.86%
Exactly 57.58%
Exactly 71.25%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 036.97%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.30%
Exactly 36.07%
Exactly 41.51%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 019.44%
Exactly 131.84%
Exactly 226.07%
Exactly 314.24%
Exactly 45.83%
Exactly 51.91%
Exactly 60.52%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.55%
Exactly 221.96%
Exactly 42.72%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.02%
Exactly 38.92%
Exactly 50.66%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 063.08%
Exactly 129.06%
Exactly 26.69%
Exactly 31.03%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 046.84%
Exactly 135.52%
Exactly 213.47%
Exactly 33.41%
Exactly 40.65%

Alternate Props

Spread

Milan
Wins by 2+ goals8.11%
Wins by 3+ goals2.19%
Wins by 4+ goals0.45%
Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals28.02%
Wins by 3+ goals11.95%
Wins by 4+ goals4.16%
Wins by 5+ goals1.20%
Wins by 6+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Milan
Newcastle United
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Milan
Wins by 1 goal14.79%
Wins by 2 goals5.93%
Wins by 3 goals1.74%
Wins by 4 goals0.39%
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal24.35%
Wins by 2 goals16.07%
Wins by 3 goals7.79%
Wins by 4 goals2.96%
Wins by 5 goals0.92%
Wins by 6 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.81%7.19%
1.573.89%26.11%
2.548.98%51.02%
3.527.12%72.88%
4.512.73%87.27%
5.55.15%94.85%
6.51.82%98.18%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.03%36.97%
1.526.24%73.76%
2.57.94%92.06%
3.51.87%98.13%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.56%19.44%
1.548.72%51.28%
2.522.65%77.35%
3.58.41%91.59%
4.52.58%97.42%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.45%29.55%
1.534.43%65.57%
2.512.47%87.53%
3.53.54%96.46%

Score Props

Correct Score

Milan
Newcastle United
Score012345
0
7.19%
11.77%
9.64%
5.26%
2.16%
0.71%
1
7.15%
11.71%
9.59%
5.24%
2.14%
0.70%
2
3.56%
5.83%
4.77%
2.61%
1.07%
0.35%
3
1.18%
1.93%
1.58%
0.86%
0.35%
0.12%
4
0.29%
0.48%
0.39%
0.21%
0.09%
0.03%
Milan
1-07.15%
2-03.56%
2-15.83%
3-01.18%
3-11.93%
3-21.58%
4-00.29%
4-10.48%
4-20.39%
4-30.21%
Draw
0-07.19%
1-111.71%
2-24.77%
3-30.86%
Newcastle United
0-111.77%
0-29.64%
1-29.59%
0-35.26%
1-35.24%
2-32.61%
0-42.16%
1-42.14%
2-41.07%
3-40.35%
0-50.71%
1-50.70%
2-50.35%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Milan
Newcastle United
Score01234
0
29.55%
22.41%
8.50%
2.15%
0.41%
1
13.61%
10.32%
3.91%
0.99%
0.19%
2
3.14%
2.38%
0.90%
0.23%
0.04%
3
0.48%
0.37%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
Milan
1-013.61%
2-03.14%
2-12.38%
3-00.48%
3-10.37%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-029.55%
1-110.32%
2-20.90%
Newcastle United
0-122.41%
0-28.50%
1-23.91%
0-32.15%
1-30.99%
2-30.23%
0-40.41%
1-40.19%