Milan at Leverkusen

Updated

Milan

15.2%19.3%65.5%
WinDrawLeverkusen Win
0.95Projected Goals 2.19
0Final Score 1

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Last 5 Games

Milan
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Liverpool+280
W 2-1 at Newcastle United+285
L 3-1 vs Dortmund+105
W 1-2 vs Paris Saint-Germain+205
L 0-3 at Paris Saint-Germain+390
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Money Line
W 4-0 at Feyenoord-145
T 0-0 vs Club Brugge-180
T 2-2 at Atletico Madrid+490
L 3-0 vs Porto+113
L 0-2 at Porto+235

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan+404+376+360+395+381+395+395+412.1
Leverkusen-155-151-155-150-154-150-150-138.1
Draw+327+338+340+330+341+330+341+344.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan+351-+390-+370+375+390+412.1
Leverkusen-147--165--170-155-155-138.1
Draw+315-+343-+305+335+343+344.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leverkusen: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
Leverkusen: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Leverkusen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from +397 to +390
Leverkusen ML moved from -149 to -160

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leverkusen: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
Leverkusen: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Leverkusen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from +405 to +390
Leverkusen ML moved from -145 to -160

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-123o3½+112o3¼-110o3¼-105o3¼-105o3¼-105o3¼-105o3¼+104
Underu3+105u3½-132u3¼-110u3¼-115u3¼-109u3¼-115u3½-132u3¼-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-120o3½+115o3-140-o3-140o3½+115o3-140o3¼+104
Underu3+100u3½-135u3+120-u3+110u3½-135u3½-135u3¼-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-120 to o3-140
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.6%
 
No45.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.31%
Exactly 221.31%
Exactly 417.55%
Exactly 65.78%
Exactly 81.02%
Exactly 100.11%
 
Exactly 113.56%
Exactly 322.33%
Exactly 511.03%
Exactly 72.60%
Exactly 90.36%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 038.53%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.52%
Exactly 35.57%
Exactly 41.33%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Exactly 011.19%
Exactly 124.51%
Exactly 226.84%
Exactly 319.59%
Exactly 410.73%
Exactly 54.70%
Exactly 61.71%
Exactly 70.54%
Exactly 80.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.33%
Exactly 224.71%
Exactly 44.36%
Exactly 60.31%
 
Exactly 133.95%
Exactly 311.99%
Exactly 51.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 064.31%
Exactly 128.39%
Exactly 26.27%
Exactly 30.92%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Exactly 036.28%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.65%
Exactly 36.30%
Exactly 41.60%
Exactly 50.32%

Alternate Props

Spread

Milan
Wins by 2+ goals4.99%
Wins by 3+ goals1.26%
Wins by 4+ goals0.24%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Wins by 2+ goals42.06%
Wins by 3+ goals22.35%
Wins by 4+ goals9.93%
Wins by 5+ goals3.74%
Wins by 6+ goals1.20%
Wins by 7+ goals0.32%

Exact Winning Margin

Milan
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Milan
Wins by 1 goal10.19%
Wins by 2 goals3.73%
Wins by 3 goals1.02%
Wins by 4 goals0.21%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Wins by 1 goal23.40%
Wins by 2 goals19.71%
Wins by 3 goals12.42%
Wins by 4 goals6.19%
Wins by 5 goals2.54%
Wins by 6 goals0.88%
Wins by 7 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.69%4.31%
1.582.13%17.87%
2.560.82%39.18%
3.538.49%61.51%
4.520.94%79.06%
5.59.91%90.09%
6.54.13%95.87%
7.51.53%98.47%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.47%38.53%
1.524.72%75.28%
2.57.20%92.80%
3.51.63%98.37%

Total Goals Bayer 04 Leverkusen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.81%11.19%
1.564.30%35.70%
2.537.46%62.54%
3.517.87%82.13%
4.57.14%92.86%
5.52.44%97.56%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.67%23.33%
1.542.72%57.28%
2.518.01%81.99%
3.56.02%93.98%
4.51.66%98.34%

Score Props

Correct Score

Milan
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Score012345
0
4.31%
9.44%
10.34%
7.55%
4.13%
1.81%
1
4.11%
9.01%
9.86%
7.20%
3.94%
1.73%
2
1.96%
4.29%
4.70%
3.43%
1.88%
0.82%
3
0.62%
1.37%
1.49%
1.09%
0.60%
0.26%
4
0.15%
0.33%
0.36%
0.26%
0.14%
0.06%
Milan
1-04.11%
2-01.96%
2-14.29%
3-00.62%
3-11.37%
3-21.49%
4-00.15%
4-10.33%
4-20.36%
4-30.26%
Draw
0-04.31%
1-19.01%
2-24.70%
3-31.09%
4-40.14%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-19.44%
0-210.34%
1-29.86%
0-37.55%
1-37.20%
2-33.43%
0-44.13%
1-43.94%
2-41.88%
3-40.60%
0-51.81%
1-51.73%
2-50.82%
3-50.26%

Correct Score - First Half

Milan
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Score012345
0
23.33%
23.65%
11.99%
4.05%
1.03%
0.21%
1
10.30%
10.44%
5.29%
1.79%
0.45%
0.09%
2
2.27%
2.31%
1.17%
0.40%
0.10%
0.02%
3
0.33%
0.34%
0.17%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Milan
1-010.30%
2-02.27%
2-12.31%
3-00.33%
3-10.34%
3-20.17%
Draw
0-023.33%
1-110.44%
2-21.17%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-123.65%
0-211.99%
1-25.29%
0-34.05%
1-31.79%
2-30.40%
0-41.03%
1-40.45%
2-40.10%
0-50.21%