Liverpool at Milan

Updated

Liverpool

51.8%24.3%23.8%
Liverpool WinDrawMilan Win
1.66Projected Goals 1.05
3Final Score 1

Milan

Last 5 Games

Liverpool
Money Line
L 0-1 at Real Madrid+180
L 5-2 vs Real Madrid+127
W 0-2 vs Napoli-110
W 3-0 at Ajax-110
W 7-1 at Rangers-210
Milan
Money Line
W 2-1 at Newcastle United+285
L 3-1 vs Dortmund+105
W 1-2 vs Paris Saint-Germain+205
L 0-3 at Paris Saint-Germain+390
T 0-0 at Dortmund+180

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Liverpool-101-101-105-104-102-104-101+103.1
Milan+265+265+255+275+269+275+275+288.3
Draw+280+279+285+286+279+286+286+299.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Liverpool-115--110-115-120+100+100+103.1
Milan+292-+268+270+280+260+280+288.3
Draw+273-+272+250+260+265+272+299.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Liverpool: 20.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Liverpool: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Liverpool ML moved from +100 to -104
Milan ML moved from +265 to +255

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Liverpool: 10.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Liverpool: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Liverpool ML moved from +105 to -105
Milan ML moved from +270 to +250

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+102o3-118o3-110o3-117o3-111o3-117o3-110o3-106
Underu3-120u3+100u3-110u3-103u3-103u3-103u3+100u3+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-108o3-120o3-104o3-120o3-120o3-110o3-104o3-106
Underu3-112u3+100u3-116u3+100u3-110u3-110u3+100u3+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3+105 to o3-120
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.6%
 
No47.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.63%
Exactly 224.41%
Exactly 414.98%
Exactly 63.67%
Exactly 80.48%
 
Exactly 118.00%
Exactly 322.08%
Exactly 58.13%
Exactly 71.42%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool
Exactly 018.90%
Exactly 131.49%
Exactly 226.23%
Exactly 314.56%
Exactly 46.06%
Exactly 52.02%
Exactly 60.56%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 035.09%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 219.24%
Exactly 36.72%
Exactly 41.76%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.47%
Exactly 222.47%
Exactly 42.95%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.77%
Exactly 39.41%
Exactly 50.74%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool
Exactly 046.24%
Exactly 135.67%
Exactly 213.75%
Exactly 33.54%
Exactly 40.68%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 061.58%
Exactly 129.86%
Exactly 27.24%
Exactly 31.17%
Exactly 40.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Liverpool
Wins by 2+ goals27.86%
Wins by 3+ goals11.99%
Wins by 4+ goals4.22%
Wins by 5+ goals1.23%
Milan
Wins by 2+ goals8.71%
Wins by 3+ goals2.44%
Wins by 4+ goals0.52%

Exact Winning Margin

Liverpool
Milan
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Liverpool
Wins by 1 goal23.94%
Wins by 2 goals15.87%
Wins by 3 goals7.77%
Wins by 4 goals2.99%
Wins by 5 goals0.94%
Milan
Wins by 1 goal15.05%
Wins by 2 goals6.27%
Wins by 3 goals1.92%
Wins by 4 goals0.45%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.37%6.63%
1.575.37%24.63%
2.550.96%49.04%
3.528.88%71.12%
4.513.90%86.10%
5.55.78%94.22%
6.52.10%97.90%

Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.10%18.90%
1.549.60%50.40%
2.523.38%76.62%
3.58.81%91.19%
4.52.75%97.25%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.91%35.09%
1.528.16%71.84%
2.58.92%91.08%
3.52.20%97.80%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.53%28.47%
1.535.76%64.24%
2.513.29%86.71%
3.53.88%96.12%

Score Props

Correct Score

Liverpool
Milan
Score01234
0
6.63%
6.95%
3.64%
1.27%
0.33%
1
11.05%
11.57%
6.06%
2.12%
0.55%
2
9.20%
9.64%
5.05%
1.76%
0.46%
3
5.11%
5.35%
2.80%
0.98%
0.26%
4
2.13%
2.23%
1.17%
0.41%
0.11%
5
0.71%
0.74%
0.39%
0.14%
0.04%
Liverpool
1-011.05%
2-09.20%
2-19.64%
3-05.11%
3-15.35%
3-22.80%
4-02.13%
4-12.23%
4-21.17%
4-30.41%
5-00.71%
5-10.74%
5-20.39%
5-30.14%
Draw
0-06.63%
1-111.57%
2-25.05%
3-30.98%
4-40.11%
Milan
0-16.95%
0-23.64%
1-26.06%
0-31.27%
1-32.12%
2-31.76%
0-40.33%
1-40.55%
2-40.46%
3-40.26%

Correct Score - First Half

Liverpool
Milan
Score0123
0
28.47%
13.81%
3.35%
0.54%
1
21.96%
10.65%
2.58%
0.42%
2
8.47%
4.11%
1.00%
0.16%
3
2.18%
1.06%
0.26%
0.04%
4
0.42%
0.20%
0.05%
0.01%
Liverpool
1-021.96%
2-08.47%
2-14.11%
3-02.18%
3-11.06%
3-20.26%
4-00.42%
4-10.20%
Draw
0-028.47%
1-110.65%
2-21.00%
Milan
0-113.81%
0-23.35%
1-22.58%
0-30.54%
1-30.42%
2-30.16%