Copa Libertadores Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 12, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Melgar
Cerro Porteno
11.7%
69.5%
18.8%


0.75
2.13
2.88


Barcelona SC
Corinthians
9.6%
71.8%
18.5%


0.61
2.09
2.70


Games for Mar 11, 2025
Games for Mar 13, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Corinthians
Barcelona SC
46.9%
24.9%
28.3%
+161
+196
+105
+215
0
3
-1.12387-1.26769-1.39199
Cerro Porteno
Melgar
42.4%
29.6%
27.9%
+410
-119
+300
-125
1
0
-1.65978-1.50688-0.85722
Tolima
Melgar
39.1%
31.3%
29.6%
+256
+120
+255
-105
0
1
-0.84985-0.78880-1.16296
Monagas
Cerro Porteno
10.6%
70.3%
19.1%
+785
-265

1
3
-0.35503-0.35274
Alianza Lima
Boca Juniors
7.0%
76.8%
16.2%
+825
-250

5
4
-2.25790-2.66040
Melgar
Tolima
13.0%
66.2%
20.8%
+416
-112

1
0
-1.70024-2.04361
Cerro Porteno
Monagas
44.5%
26.9%
28.7%
+115
+310

4
0
-0.78675-0.81018
Boca Juniors
Alianza Lima
55.2%
18.6%
26.1%
+174
+198

0
1
-1.13066-1.68067
Botafogo RJ
Atletico Mineiro
30.1%
40.6%
29.3%
-103
+365
-135
+330
3
1
-0.70816-0.67617-1.20081
Botafogo RJ
Penarol
36.2%
32.7%
31.1%
+217
+149
+165
+145
1
3
-0.94719-1.01344-1.11893
Atletico Mineiro
River Plate
19.8%
56.0%
24.1%
+525
-185
+440
-200
0
0
-1.49946-1.41325-1.42159
Penarol
Botafogo RJ
14.2%
63.1%
22.7%
+905
-238
+730
-315
0
5
-0.35441-0.39750-0.46053
River Plate
Atletico Mineiro
29.2%
43.0%
27.8%
+279
+145
+245
+125
0
3
-0.92986-0.93001-0.84455
Flamengo
Penarol
53.5%
21.7%
24.8%
+115
+290
+110
+215
0
0
-1.15884-1.21817-1.39276
Botafogo RJ
Sao Paulo
24.1%
48.0%
27.9%
+181
+205
+175
+150
5
4
-1.05906-1.13140-1.42109
Fluminense
Atletico Mineiro
23.7%
49.8%
26.5%
+490
-139
+320
-140
0
2
-0.56456-0.66045-0.69778
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks20-2-0 (0.000)0-1.39182 
Sportsbooks20-2-0 (0.000)0-1.38728 
DRatings21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.12460
0.26722
0.26268

Predictions Methodology

The Copa Libertadores is the top-flight club tournament for teams in the CONMEBOL federation. The Predictor is used to predict future Copa Libertadores soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.