Copa Libertadores Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 11, 2025

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Games for Apr 10, 2025
Games for Apr 12, 2025

Completed Games

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TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Alianza Lima
Sao Paulo		7.3%
77.2%		15.5%
+1300
-271

2
2		-1.50144-1.86627
Nacional
Internacional		9.5%
73.5%		17.0%
+625
-190

0
3		-0.45635-0.30843
Deportivo Tachira
LDU de Quito		6.8%
81.6%		11.6%
+975
-330

0
2		-0.31438-0.20378
Sporting Cristal
Bolivar		22.9%
51.1%		26.0%
+902
-370

0
3		-0.27839-0.67139
Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras		8.0%
76.4%		15.6%
+1100
-336

0
1		-0.29256-0.26897
Velez Sarsf
Olimpia		27.0%
46.3%		26.7%
+177
+195

4
0		-1.06383-1.31093
Universitario
Independiente		16.3%
63.2%		20.5%
+710
-204

0
1		-0.44857-0.45880
U Chile
Estudiantes		7.7%
77.0%		15.3%
+450
-153

2
1		-1.75325-2.56369
Barcelona SC
River Plate		7.4%
77.6%		14.9%
+878
-295

0
0		-1.72009-1.90113
CC Cordoba
Libertad		12.0%
69.4%		18.6%
+227
+143

0
2		-0.94598-0.36569
Flamengo
Deportivo Tachira		71.9%
11.8%		16.3%
-228
+775

1
0		-0.39481-0.32931
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal		67.8%
13.2%		19.1%
-151
+460

3
2		-0.52628-0.38896
Nacional
Nacional		18.4%
58.8%		22.7%
+473
-160

0
3		-0.53079-0.53026
Sao Paulo
CC Cordoba		41.9%
29.4%		28.7%
+249
+139

1
0		-1.30774-0.87098
Botafogo RJ
U Chile		61.8%
15.4%		22.8%
+165
+188

0
1		-1.09706-1.87301
River Plate
Universitario		54.8%
21.4%		23.7%
-120
+445
-107
+325
1
0		-0.64211-0.37513-0.60079
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Season Prediction Results

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 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.97890 
Sportsbooks20-0-1 (0.750)2 
DRatings21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.08735
-0.10846

Predictions Methodology

The Copa Libertadores is the top-flight club tournament for teams in the CONMEBOL federation. The Predictor is used to predict future Copa Libertadores soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.