Copa Libertadores Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 12, 2025

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TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Melgar
Cerro Porteno 		11.7%
69.5%		18.8%


0.75
2.13		2.88


Barcelona SC
Corinthians 		9.6%
71.8%		18.5%


0.61
2.09		2.70


Games for Mar 11, 2025
Games for Mar 13, 2025

Completed Games

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TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Corinthians
Barcelona SC		46.9%
24.9%		28.3%
+161
+196
+105
+215
0
3		-1.12387-1.26769-1.39199
Cerro Porteno
Melgar		42.4%
29.6%		27.9%
+410
-119
+300
-125
1
0		-1.65978-1.50688-0.85722
Tolima
Melgar		39.1%
31.3%		29.6%
+256
+120
+255
-105
0
1		-0.84985-0.78880-1.16296
Monagas
Cerro Porteno		10.6%
70.3%		19.1%
+785
-265

1
3		-0.35503-0.35274
Alianza Lima
Boca Juniors		7.0%
76.8%		16.2%
+825
-250

5
4		-2.25790-2.66040
Melgar
Tolima		13.0%
66.2%		20.8%
+416
-112

1
0		-1.70024-2.04361
Cerro Porteno
Monagas		44.5%
26.9%		28.7%
+115
+310

4
0		-0.78675-0.81018
Boca Juniors
Alianza Lima		55.2%
18.6%		26.1%
+174
+198

0
1		-1.13066-1.68067
Botafogo RJ
Atletico Mineiro		30.1%
40.6%		29.3%
-103
+365
-135
+330
3
1		-0.70816-0.67617-1.20081
Botafogo RJ
Penarol		36.2%
32.7%		31.1%
+217
+149
+165
+145
1
3		-0.94719-1.01344-1.11893
Atletico Mineiro
River Plate		19.8%
56.0%		24.1%
+525
-185
+440
-200
0
0		-1.49946-1.41325-1.42159
Penarol
Botafogo RJ		14.2%
63.1%		22.7%
+905
-238
+730
-315
0
5		-0.35441-0.39750-0.46053
River Plate
Atletico Mineiro		29.2%
43.0%		27.8%
+279
+145
+245
+125
0
3		-0.92986-0.93001-0.84455
Flamengo
Penarol		53.5%
21.7%		24.8%
+115
+290
+110
+215
0
0		-1.15884-1.21817-1.39276
Botafogo RJ
Sao Paulo		24.1%
48.0%		27.9%
+181
+205
+175
+150
5
4		-1.05906-1.13140-1.42109
Fluminense
Atletico Mineiro		23.7%
49.8%		26.5%
+490
-139
+320
-140
0
2		-0.56456-0.66045-0.69778
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Season Prediction Results

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 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks20-2-0 (0.000)0-1.39182 
Sportsbooks20-2-0 (0.000)0-1.38728 
DRatings21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.12460
0.26722
0.26268

Predictions Methodology

The Copa Libertadores is the top-flight club tournament for teams in the CONMEBOL federation. The Predictor is used to predict future Copa Libertadores soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.