Alianza Lima at Sao Paulo

Updated

Alianza Lima

7.3%15.5%77.2%
WinDrawSao Paulo Win
0.57Projected Goals 2.35
2Final Score 2

Sao Paulo

Last 5 Games

Alianza Lima
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Libertad
W 5-4 at Boca Juniors
W 0-1 vs Boca Juniors
L 2-3 at Fluminense+550
T 1-1 vs Colo-Colo+165
Sao Paulo
Money Line
W 1-0 at CC Cordoba
L 5-4 vs Botafogo RJ+150
T 0-0 at Botafogo RJ+355
W 0-2 vs Nacional-180
T 0-0 at Nacional+160

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Alianza Lima+700+1157+1100+1300+1196+1300+1300+1370.4
Sao Paulo-250-271-300-290-300-290-271-242.4
Draw+330+335+310+325+330+325+335+346.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Alianza Lima-----+1370.4
Sao Paulo------242.4
Draw-----+346.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Alianza Lima: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Alianza Lima: 0.0%
Sao Paulo: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Alianza Lima: 20.0%
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Alianza Lima ML
No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2+101o2-105o2+100o2+101o2+100o2+101o2+109
Underu2½-125u2-119u2-125u2-120u2-123u2-120u2-119u2-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+109
Under-----u2-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes39.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.39%
Exactly 222.99%
Exactly 416.34%
Exactly 64.65%
Exactly 80.71%
 
Exactly 115.74%
Exactly 322.38%
Exactly 59.55%
Exactly 71.94%
Exactly 90.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Alianza Lima
Exactly 056.39%
Exactly 132.30%
Exactly 29.25%
Exactly 31.77%
Exactly 40.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 09.56%
Exactly 122.44%
Exactly 226.34%
Exactly 320.62%
Exactly 412.10%
Exactly 55.68%
Exactly 62.22%
Exactly 70.75%
Exactly 80.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.86%
Exactly 223.65%
Exactly 43.60%
Exactly 60.22%
 
Exactly 134.98%
Exactly 310.66%
Exactly 50.97%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Alianza Lima
Exactly 076.71%
Exactly 120.34%
Exactly 22.70%
Exactly 30.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 033.72%
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 219.92%
Exactly 37.22%
Exactly 41.96%
Exactly 50.43%

Alternate Props

Spread

Alianza Lima
Wins by 2+ goals1.60%
Wins by 3+ goals0.25%
Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals53.85%
Wins by 3+ goals31.11%
Wins by 4+ goals15.01%
Wins by 5+ goals6.13%
Wins by 6+ goals2.13%
Wins by 7+ goals0.61%
Wins by 8+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Alianza Lima
Sao Paulo
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Alianza Lima
Wins by 1 goal5.68%
Wins by 2 goals1.35%
Wins by 3 goals0.23%
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal23.30%
Wins by 2 goals22.74%
Wins by 3 goals16.10%
Wins by 4 goals8.88%
Wins by 5 goals4.00%
Wins by 6 goals1.52%
Wins by 7 goals0.49%
Wins by 8 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.61%5.39%
1.578.87%21.13%
2.555.88%44.12%
3.533.50%66.50%
4.517.16%82.84%
5.57.61%92.39%
6.52.97%97.03%
7.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals Alianza Lima Over/Under

OverUnder
0.543.61%56.39%
1.511.30%88.70%
2.52.05%97.95%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.44%9.56%
1.568.01%31.99%
2.541.67%58.33%
3.521.05%78.95%
4.58.95%91.05%
5.53.26%96.74%
6.51.04%98.96%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.14%25.86%
1.539.16%60.84%
2.515.51%84.49%
3.54.85%95.15%
4.51.25%98.75%

Score Props

Correct Score

Alianza Lima
Sao Paulo
Score012345
0
5.39%
12.65%
14.86%
11.63%
6.82%
3.21%
1
3.09%
7.25%
8.51%
6.66%
3.91%
1.84%
2
0.88%
2.08%
2.44%
1.91%
1.12%
0.53%
3
0.17%
0.40%
0.47%
0.36%
0.21%
0.10%
Alianza Lima
1-03.09%
2-00.88%
2-12.08%
3-00.17%
3-10.40%
3-20.47%
Draw
0-05.39%
1-17.25%
2-22.44%
3-30.36%
Sao Paulo
0-112.65%
0-214.86%
1-28.51%
0-311.63%
1-36.66%
2-31.91%
0-46.82%
1-43.91%
2-41.12%
3-40.21%
0-53.21%
1-51.84%
2-50.53%
3-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Alianza Lima
Sao Paulo
Score012345
0
25.86%
28.12%
15.28%
5.54%
1.51%
0.33%
1
6.86%
7.46%
4.05%
1.47%
0.40%
0.09%
2
0.91%
0.99%
0.54%
0.19%
0.05%
0.01%
Alianza Lima
1-06.86%
2-00.91%
2-10.99%
Draw
0-025.86%
1-17.46%
2-20.54%
Sao Paulo
0-128.12%
0-215.28%
1-24.05%
0-35.54%
1-31.47%
2-30.19%
0-41.51%
1-40.40%
0-50.33%