Sao Paulo at Nacional

Updated

Sao Paulo

43.8%28.0%28.2%
Sao Paulo WinDrawNacional Win
1.30Projected Goals 0.98
0Final Score 0

Nacional

Last 5 Games

Sao Paulo
Money Line
W 0-2 vs CC Cordoba-185
T 0-0 vs Barcelona SC-350
W 3-1 at Cobresal-215
W 2-0 at Barcelona SC+110
W 0-2 vs Cobresal
Nacional
Money Line
L 1-2 at Libertad+160
W 1-0 at Deportivo Tachira-125
T 2-2 vs River Plate+260
W 1-2 vs Deportivo Tachira-365
L 0-2 at River Plate+700

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
11.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo+151-+190+185+185+185+190+199.0
Nacional+205-+175+190+190+190+190+204.2
Draw+191-+170+183+183+183+183+196.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo+130---+160-+160+199.0
Nacional+200---+165-+165+204.2
Draw+180---+175-+175+196.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sao Paulo: 20.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML
No Steam Moves On Nacional ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sao Paulo: 30.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML
No Steam Moves On Nacional ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
6.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-121-o1¾-118o1¾-123o1¾-123o1¾-123o1¾-118o1¾-112
Underu2+101-u1¾-112u1¾+103u1¾+103u1¾+103u1¾+103u1¾+112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-125---o2+100-o2+100o1¾-112
Underu2-105---u2-130-u2-130u1¾+112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.6%
 
No54.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.18%
Exactly 226.57%
Exactly 411.56%
Exactly 62.01%
Exactly 80.19%
 
Exactly 123.26%
Exactly 320.24%
Exactly 55.28%
Exactly 70.66%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 027.25%
Exactly 135.43%
Exactly 223.03%
Exactly 39.98%
Exactly 43.24%
Exactly 50.84%
Exactly 60.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 037.35%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.11%
Exactly 35.95%
Exactly 41.46%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.72%
Exactly 219.43%
Exactly 41.81%
 
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 36.85%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 054.77%
Exactly 132.97%
Exactly 29.92%
Exactly 31.99%
Exactly 40.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 063.38%
Exactly 128.90%
Exactly 26.59%
Exactly 31.00%
Exactly 40.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals20.00%
Wins by 3+ goals7.09%
Wins by 4+ goals2.01%
Wins by 5+ goals0.45%
Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals10.19%
Wins by 3+ goals2.79%
Wins by 4+ goals0.58%

Exact Winning Margin

Sao Paulo
Nacional
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal23.72%
Wins by 2 goals12.91%
Wins by 3 goals5.08%
Wins by 4 goals1.55%
Wins by 5 goals0.38%
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal17.97%
Wins by 2 goals7.41%
Wins by 3 goals2.21%
Wins by 4 goals0.50%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.82%10.18%
1.566.57%33.43%
2.540.00%60.00%
3.519.76%80.24%
4.58.20%91.80%
5.52.92%97.08%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.75%27.25%
1.537.32%62.68%
2.514.29%85.71%
3.54.31%95.69%
4.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.65%37.35%
1.525.87%74.13%
2.57.75%92.25%
3.51.81%98.19%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.28%34.72%
1.528.55%71.45%
2.59.13%90.87%
3.52.27%97.73%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sao Paulo
Nacional
Score01234
0
10.18%
10.02%
4.94%
1.62%
0.40%
1
13.23%
13.03%
6.42%
2.11%
0.52%
2
8.60%
8.47%
4.17%
1.37%
0.34%
3
3.73%
3.67%
1.81%
0.59%
0.15%
4
1.21%
1.19%
0.59%
0.19%
0.05%
5
0.32%
0.31%
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
Sao Paulo
1-013.23%
2-08.60%
2-18.47%
3-03.73%
3-13.67%
3-21.81%
4-01.21%
4-11.19%
4-20.59%
4-30.19%
5-00.32%
5-10.31%
5-20.15%
Draw
0-010.18%
1-113.03%
2-24.17%
3-30.59%
Nacional
0-110.02%
0-24.94%
1-26.42%
0-31.62%
1-32.11%
2-31.37%
0-40.40%
1-40.52%
2-40.34%
3-40.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Sao Paulo
Nacional
Score0123
0
34.72%
15.83%
3.61%
0.55%
1
20.90%
9.53%
2.17%
0.33%
2
6.29%
2.87%
0.65%
0.10%
3
1.26%
0.58%
0.13%
0.02%
4
0.19%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Sao Paulo
1-020.90%
2-06.29%
2-12.87%
3-01.26%
3-10.58%
3-20.13%
4-00.19%
Draw
0-034.72%
1-19.53%
2-20.65%
Nacional
0-115.83%
0-23.61%
1-22.17%
0-30.55%
1-30.33%