Nacional at River Plate

Updated

Nacional

7.1%14.2%78.7%
WinDrawRiver Plate Win
0.62Projected Goals 2.53
0Final Score 2

River Plate

Last 5 Games

Nacional
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Libertad
W 4-5 vs Always Ready
L 0-1 at Always Ready+460
L 2-4 at Boca Juniors+585
T 0-0 vs Boca Juniors+200
River Plate
Money Line
W 2-0 at Deportivo Tachira-255
L 8-9 at Internacional+200
W 1-2 vs Internacional-155
W 0-2 vs The Strongest-1600
W 0-2 vs Fluminense-150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
11.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nacional+671+680+625+800+690+800+800+845.0
River Plate-224-242-260-280-264-280-242-235.3
Draw+356+391+370+395+381+395+395+419.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nacional+760---+700-+700+845.0
River Plate-340----335--335-235.3
Draw+330---+330-+330+419.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
River Plate: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nacional: 0.0%
River Plate: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nacional: 30.0%
River Plate: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Nacional ML
No Steam Moves On River Plate ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
River Plate: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nacional: 0.0%
River Plate: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nacional: 0.0%
River Plate: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Nacional ML
No Steam Moves On River Plate ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
6.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120o3+110o2¾-122o2¾-118o2¾-117o2¾-118o2¾-117o2¾-107
Underu2½+102u3-130u2¾-108u2¾-102u2¾-103u2¾-102u3-130u2¾+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-125---o2½-120-o2½-120o2¾-107
Underu2½-105---u2½-110-u2½-110u2¾+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.8%
 
No57.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.28%
Exactly 221.25%
Exactly 417.59%
Exactly 65.82%
Exactly 81.03%
Exactly 100.11%
 
Exactly 113.49%
Exactly 322.32%
Exactly 511.08%
Exactly 72.62%
Exactly 90.36%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 053.48%
Exactly 133.47%
Exactly 210.47%
Exactly 32.19%
Exactly 40.34%
Exact Goals Scored - River Plate
Exactly 08.00%
Exactly 120.21%
Exactly 225.52%
Exactly 321.48%
Exactly 413.56%
Exactly 56.85%
Exactly 62.88%
Exactly 71.04%
Exactly 80.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.24%
Exactly 224.74%
Exactly 44.39%
Exactly 60.31%
 
Exactly 133.92%
Exactly 312.03%
Exactly 51.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 074.84%
Exactly 121.69%
Exactly 23.14%
Exactly 30.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - River Plate
Exactly 031.06%
Exactly 136.32%
Exactly 221.23%
Exactly 38.28%
Exactly 42.42%
Exactly 50.57%
Exactly 60.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals1.64%
Wins by 3+ goals0.27%
River Plate
Wins by 2+ goals56.62%
Wins by 3+ goals34.20%
Wins by 4+ goals17.39%
Wins by 5+ goals7.51%
Wins by 6+ goals2.77%
Wins by 7+ goals0.84%
Wins by 8+ goals0.18%

Exact Winning Margin

Nacional
River Plate
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal5.43%
Wins by 2 goals1.37%
Wins by 3 goals0.24%
River Plate
Wins by 1 goal21.92%
Wins by 2 goals22.42%
Wins by 3 goals16.81%
Wins by 4 goals9.87%
Wins by 5 goals4.75%
Wins by 6 goals1.93%
Wins by 7 goals0.67%
Wins by 8 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.72%4.28%
1.582.24%17.76%
2.560.99%39.01%
3.538.67%61.33%
4.521.08%78.92%
5.59.99%90.01%
6.54.17%95.83%
7.51.55%98.45%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.546.52%53.48%
1.513.05%86.95%
2.52.57%97.43%

Total Goals River Plate Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.00%8.00%
1.571.79%28.21%
2.546.27%53.73%
3.524.79%75.21%
4.511.23%88.77%
5.54.38%95.62%
6.51.49%98.51%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.76%23.24%
1.542.84%57.16%
2.518.10%81.90%
3.56.06%93.94%
4.51.67%98.33%

Score Props

Correct Score

Nacional
River Plate
Score012345
0
4.28%
10.81%
13.65%
11.49%
7.25%
3.66%
1
2.68%
6.76%
8.54%
7.19%
4.54%
2.29%
2
0.84%
2.12%
2.67%
2.25%
1.42%
0.72%
3
0.17%
0.44%
0.56%
0.47%
0.30%
0.15%
Nacional
1-02.68%
2-00.84%
2-12.12%
3-00.17%
3-10.44%
3-20.56%
Draw
0-04.28%
1-16.76%
2-22.67%
3-30.47%
River Plate
0-110.81%
0-213.65%
1-28.54%
0-311.49%
1-37.19%
2-32.25%
0-47.25%
1-44.54%
2-41.42%
3-40.30%
0-53.66%
1-52.29%
2-50.72%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Nacional
River Plate
Score012345
0
23.24%
27.18%
15.89%
6.19%
1.81%
0.42%
1
6.74%
7.88%
4.60%
1.79%
0.52%
0.12%
2
0.98%
1.14%
0.67%
0.26%
0.08%
0.02%
Nacional
1-06.74%
2-00.98%
2-11.14%
Draw
0-023.24%
1-17.88%
2-20.67%
River Plate
0-127.18%
0-215.89%
1-24.60%
0-36.19%
1-31.79%
2-30.26%
0-41.81%
1-40.52%
0-50.42%
1-50.12%