Libertad at Nacional

Updated

Libertad

44.0%26.8%29.2%
Libertad WinDrawNacional Win
1.38Projected Goals 1.08
0Final Score 2

Nacional

Last 5 Games

Libertad
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Atletico Mineiro+200
L 0-1 at Athletico Paranaense+400
W 2-1 at Alianza Lima+160
L 2-1 vs Athletico Paranaense+110
L 2-1 vs Alianza Lima-245
Nacional
Money Line
W 4-5 vs Always Ready
L 0-1 at Always Ready+460
L 2-4 at Boca Juniors+585
T 0-0 vs Boca Juniors+200
W 0-1 vs Metropolitanos-850

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Libertad+240-+205+219+222+219+222+234.9
Nacional+120-+130+128+122+128+130+139.3
Draw+215-+240+236+229+236+236+252.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Libertad-----+234.9
Nacional-----+139.3
Draw-----+252.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Libertad: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Libertad: 40.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Libertad: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Libertad ML
No Steam Moves On Nacional ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-128-o2¼-122o2¼-122o2¼-113o2¼-122o2¼-113o2¼-111
Underu2¼-102-u2¼-108u2¼+102u2¼-107u2¼+102u2¼+102u2¼+111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-111
Under-----u2¼+111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.4%
 
No50.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.52%
Exactly 225.84%
Exactly 413.06%
Exactly 62.64%
Exactly 80.29%
 
Exactly 120.99%
Exactly 321.21%
Exactly 56.43%
Exactly 70.93%
Exact Goals Scored - Libertad
Exactly 024.99%
Exactly 134.65%
Exactly 224.03%
Exactly 311.11%
Exactly 43.85%
Exactly 51.07%
Exactly 60.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 034.11%
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 219.73%
Exactly 37.08%
Exactly 41.90%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.98%
Exactly 220.78%
Exactly 42.25%
 
Exactly 136.46%
Exactly 37.90%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Libertad
Exactly 052.62%
Exactly 133.78%
Exactly 210.84%
Exactly 32.32%
Exactly 40.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 060.77%
Exactly 130.27%
Exactly 27.54%
Exactly 31.25%
Exactly 40.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Libertad
Wins by 2+ goals20.83%
Wins by 3+ goals7.72%
Wins by 4+ goals2.29%
Wins by 5+ goals0.54%
Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals11.13%
Wins by 3+ goals3.25%
Wins by 4+ goals0.72%
Wins by 5+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Libertad
Nacional
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Libertad
Wins by 1 goal23.12%
Wins by 2 goals13.11%
Wins by 3 goals5.43%
Wins by 4 goals1.75%
Wins by 5 goals0.45%
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal17.93%
Wins by 2 goals7.89%
Wins by 3 goals2.53%
Wins by 4 goals0.62%
Wins by 5 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.48%8.52%
1.570.49%29.51%
2.544.65%55.35%
3.523.44%76.56%
4.510.38%89.62%
5.53.96%96.04%
6.51.32%98.68%

Total Goals Libertad Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.01%24.99%
1.540.35%59.65%
2.516.33%83.67%
3.55.22%94.78%
4.51.37%98.63%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.89%34.11%
1.529.21%70.79%
2.59.47%90.53%
3.52.40%97.60%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.02%31.98%
1.531.56%68.44%
2.510.78%89.22%
3.52.88%97.12%

Score Props

Correct Score

Libertad
Nacional
Score012345
0
8.52%
9.17%
4.93%
1.77%
0.48%
0.10%
1
11.82%
12.71%
6.84%
2.45%
0.66%
0.14%
2
8.19%
8.81%
4.74%
1.70%
0.46%
0.10%
3
3.79%
4.07%
2.19%
0.79%
0.21%
0.05%
4
1.31%
1.41%
0.76%
0.27%
0.07%
0.02%
5
0.36%
0.39%
0.21%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Libertad
1-011.82%
2-08.19%
2-18.81%
3-03.79%
3-14.07%
3-22.19%
4-01.31%
4-11.41%
4-20.76%
4-30.27%
5-00.36%
5-10.39%
5-20.21%
Draw
0-08.52%
1-112.71%
2-24.74%
3-30.79%
Nacional
0-19.17%
0-24.93%
1-26.84%
0-31.77%
1-32.45%
2-31.70%
0-40.48%
1-40.66%
2-40.46%
3-40.21%
0-50.10%
1-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Libertad
Nacional
Score0123
0
31.98%
15.93%
3.97%
0.66%
1
20.53%
10.23%
2.55%
0.42%
2
6.59%
3.28%
0.82%
0.14%
3
1.41%
0.70%
0.17%
0.03%
4
0.23%
0.11%
0.03%
0.00%
Libertad
1-020.53%
2-06.59%
2-13.28%
3-01.41%
3-10.70%
3-20.17%
4-00.23%
4-10.11%
Draw
0-031.98%
1-110.23%
2-20.82%
Nacional
0-115.93%
0-23.97%
1-22.55%
0-30.66%
1-30.42%
2-30.14%