Libertad at Alianza Lima

Updated

Libertad

48.2%26.3%25.5%
Libertad WinDrawAlianza Lima Win
1.47Projected Goals 0.99
2Final Score 1

Alianza Lima

Last 5 Games

Libertad
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Athletico Paranaense+110
L 2-1 vs Alianza Lima-245
W 1-0 at Atletico Mineiro+650
T 1-1 vs Athletico Paranaense+100
L 1-2 at Athletico Paranaense+375
Alianza Lima
Money Line
L 0-2 at Atletico Mineiro+945
W 2-1 at Libertad+745
T 0-0 vs Athletico Paranaense+230
L 1-8 at River Plate
L 2-0 vs Fortaleza

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Libertad+185+154+150+150+152+150+154+162.6
Alianza Lima+164+204+200+205+213+205+213+220.4
Draw+222+215+200+210+217+210+217+225.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Libertad+150---+130+160+160+162.6
Alianza Lima+190---+170+180+180+220.4
Draw+225---+210+225+225+225.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Libertad: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Alianza Lima: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Libertad: 30.0%
Alianza Lima: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Libertad: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Libertad: 0.0%
Alianza Lima: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Libertad ML
No Steam Moves On Alianza Lima ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Libertad: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Alianza Lima: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Libertad: 30.0%
Alianza Lima: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Libertad: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Libertad: 0.0%
Alianza Lima: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Libertad ML
No Steam Moves On Alianza Lima ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+118o2-139o2¼-102o2¼+108o2½+144o2¼+108o2¼+108o2¼+117
Underu2½-140u2+117u2¼-128u2¼-128u2½-164u2¼-128u2+117u2¼-117
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+117
Under-----u2¼-117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.3%
 
No51.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.57%
Exactly 225.87%
Exactly 413.01%
Exactly 62.62%
Exactly 80.28%
 
Exactly 121.06%
Exactly 321.18%
Exactly 56.39%
Exactly 70.92%
Exact Goals Scored - Libertad
Exactly 023.05%
Exactly 133.82%
Exactly 224.82%
Exactly 312.14%
Exactly 44.46%
Exactly 51.31%
Exactly 60.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Alianza Lima
Exactly 037.19%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.19%
Exactly 36.00%
Exactly 41.48%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.06%
Exactly 220.74%
Exactly 42.24%
 
Exactly 136.47%
Exactly 37.86%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Libertad
Exactly 050.69%
Exactly 134.44%
Exactly 211.70%
Exactly 32.65%
Exactly 40.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Alianza Lima
Exactly 063.26%
Exactly 128.97%
Exactly 26.63%
Exactly 31.01%
Exactly 40.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Libertad
Wins by 2+ goals23.92%
Wins by 3+ goals9.33%
Wins by 4+ goals2.92%
Wins by 5+ goals0.72%
Alianza Lima
Wins by 2+ goals9.09%
Wins by 3+ goals2.47%
Wins by 4+ goals0.51%

Exact Winning Margin

Libertad
Alianza Lima
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Libertad
Wins by 1 goal24.21%
Wins by 2 goals14.59%
Wins by 3 goals6.41%
Wins by 4 goals2.20%
Wins by 5 goals0.60%
Alianza Lima
Wins by 1 goal16.31%
Wins by 2 goals6.62%
Wins by 3 goals1.96%
Wins by 4 goals0.44%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.43%8.57%
1.570.37%29.63%
2.544.50%55.50%
3.523.32%76.68%
4.510.31%89.69%
5.53.92%96.08%
6.51.30%98.70%

Total Goals Libertad Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.95%23.05%
1.543.13%56.87%
2.518.31%81.69%
3.56.17%93.83%
4.51.71%98.29%

Total Goals Alianza Lima Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.81%37.19%
1.526.02%73.98%
2.57.83%92.17%
3.51.83%98.17%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.94%32.06%
1.531.47%68.53%
2.510.72%89.28%
3.52.86%97.14%

Score Props

Correct Score

Libertad
Alianza Lima
Score01234
0
8.57%
8.48%
4.19%
1.38%
0.34%
1
12.58%
12.44%
6.15%
2.03%
0.50%
2
9.23%
9.13%
4.52%
1.49%
0.37%
3
4.52%
4.47%
2.21%
0.73%
0.18%
4
1.66%
1.64%
0.81%
0.27%
0.07%
5
0.49%
0.48%
0.24%
0.08%
0.02%
Libertad
1-012.58%
2-09.23%
2-19.13%
3-04.52%
3-14.47%
3-22.21%
4-01.66%
4-11.64%
4-20.81%
4-30.27%
5-00.49%
5-10.48%
5-20.24%
Draw
0-08.57%
1-112.44%
2-24.52%
3-30.73%
Alianza Lima
0-18.48%
0-24.19%
1-26.15%
0-31.38%
1-32.03%
2-31.49%
0-40.34%
1-40.50%
2-40.37%
3-40.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Libertad
Alianza Lima
Score0123
0
32.06%
14.68%
3.36%
0.51%
1
21.79%
9.98%
2.28%
0.35%
2
7.40%
3.39%
0.78%
0.12%
3
1.68%
0.77%
0.18%
0.03%
4
0.28%
0.13%
0.03%
0.00%
Libertad
1-021.79%
2-07.40%
2-13.39%
3-01.68%
3-10.77%
3-20.18%
4-00.28%
4-10.13%
Draw
0-032.06%
1-19.98%
2-20.78%
Alianza Lima
0-114.68%
0-23.36%
1-22.28%
0-30.51%
1-30.35%
2-30.12%
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