Athletico Paranaense at Alianza Lima

Updated

Athletico Paranaense

52.4%26.7%20.9%
Athletico Paranaense WinDrawAlianza Lima Win
1.45Projected Goals 0.81
0Final Score 0

Alianza Lima

Last 5 Games

Athletico Paranaense
Money Line
L 0-1 at Flamengo+560
T 2-2 at Palmeiras+825
W 0-1 vs Palmeiras+240
W 1-0 at Estudiantes+260
T 0-0 vs Estudiantes-145
Alianza Lima
Money Line
L 1-8 at River Plate
L 2-0 vs Fortaleza
T 1-1 vs Colo-Colo
L 1-2 at Fortaleza
L 1-2 at Colo-Colo

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense-102+131-+127-+127+131+138.3
Alianza Lima+315+244-+245-+245+245+262.2
Draw+241+215-+213-+213+215+228.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense+125---+105+130+130+138.3
Alianza Lima+245---+230+230+230+262.2
Draw+215---+195+220+220+228.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Alianza Lima: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 30.0%
Alianza Lima: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%
Alianza Lima: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML
No Steam Moves On Alianza Lima ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Alianza Lima: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 30.0%
Alianza Lima: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%
Alianza Lima: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML
No Steam Moves On Alianza Lima ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+114o2-130-o2¼+100-o2¼+100o2-130o2¼+109
Underu2½-136u2+110-u2¼-120-u2¼-120u2¼-120u2¼-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-140---o2-140-o2-140o2¼+109
Underu2+110---u2+110-u2+110u2¼-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.5%
 
No57.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.38%
Exactly 226.63%
Exactly 411.38%
Exactly 61.95%
Exactly 80.18%
 
Exactly 123.52%
Exactly 320.11%
Exactly 55.16%
Exactly 70.63%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 023.32%
Exactly 133.95%
Exactly 224.71%
Exactly 311.99%
Exactly 44.36%
Exactly 51.27%
Exactly 60.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Alianza Lima
Exactly 044.53%
Exactly 136.03%
Exactly 214.57%
Exactly 33.93%
Exactly 40.79%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.04%
Exactly 219.27%
Exactly 41.77%
 
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 36.73%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 050.97%
Exactly 134.35%
Exactly 211.58%
Exactly 32.60%
Exactly 40.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Alianza Lima
Exactly 068.76%
Exactly 125.76%
Exactly 24.82%
Exactly 30.60%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals26.38%
Wins by 3+ goals10.37%
Wins by 4+ goals3.26%
Wins by 5+ goals0.81%
Alianza Lima
Wins by 2+ goals6.42%
Wins by 3+ goals1.48%
Wins by 4+ goals0.26%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense
Alianza Lima
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal25.95%
Wins by 2 goals16.01%
Wins by 3 goals7.11%
Wins by 4 goals2.45%
Wins by 5 goals0.68%
Alianza Lima
Wins by 1 goal14.42%
Wins by 2 goals4.94%
Wins by 3 goals1.22%
Wins by 4 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.62%10.38%
1.566.10%33.90%
2.539.46%60.54%
3.519.35%80.65%
4.57.97%92.03%
5.52.81%97.19%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.68%23.32%
1.542.73%57.27%
2.518.01%81.99%
3.56.02%93.98%
4.51.66%98.34%

Total Goals Alianza Lima Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.47%44.53%
1.519.45%80.55%
2.54.87%95.13%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.96%35.04%
1.528.21%71.79%
2.58.95%91.05%
3.52.21%97.79%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense
Alianza Lima
Score01234
0
10.38%
8.40%
3.40%
0.92%
0.19%
1
15.12%
12.23%
4.95%
1.33%
0.27%
2
11.00%
8.90%
3.60%
0.97%
0.20%
3
5.34%
4.32%
1.75%
0.47%
0.10%
4
1.94%
1.57%
0.64%
0.17%
0.03%
5
0.57%
0.46%
0.19%
0.05%
0.01%
Athletico Paranaense
1-015.12%
2-011.00%
2-18.90%
3-05.34%
3-14.32%
3-21.75%
4-01.94%
4-11.57%
4-20.64%
4-30.17%
5-00.57%
5-10.46%
5-20.19%
Draw
0-010.38%
1-112.23%
2-23.60%
3-30.47%
Alianza Lima
0-18.40%
0-23.40%
1-24.95%
0-30.92%
1-31.33%
2-30.97%
0-40.19%
1-40.27%
2-40.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense
Alianza Lima
Score0123
0
35.04%
13.13%
2.46%
0.31%
1
23.62%
8.85%
1.66%
0.21%
2
7.96%
2.98%
0.56%
0.07%
3
1.79%
0.67%
0.13%
0.02%
4
0.30%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Athletico Paranaense
1-023.62%
2-07.96%
2-12.98%
3-01.79%
3-10.67%
3-20.13%
4-00.30%
4-10.11%
Draw
0-035.04%
1-18.85%
2-20.56%
Alianza Lima
0-113.13%
0-22.46%
1-21.66%
0-30.31%
1-30.21%