Athletico Paranaense at Alianza Lima

Updated 627 days ago

10:00 PM • Apr 4, 2023

Athletico Paranaense

52.4%26.7%20.9%

Athletico Paranaense WinDrawAlianza Lima Win

1.45Projected Goals 0.81

0Final Score 0

Alianza Lima

Last 5 Games

Athletico Paranaense		Money Line
L 0-1	10/29 at Flamengo	+560
T 2-2	9/07 at Palmeiras	+825
W 0-1	8/31 vs Palmeiras	+240
W 1-0	8/12 at Estudiantes	+260
T 0-0	8/05 vs Estudiantes	-145

Alianza Lima		Money Line
L 1-8	5/25 at River Plate
L 2-0	5/19 vs Fortaleza
T 1-1	5/06 vs Colo-Colo
L 1-2	4/27 at Fortaleza
L 1-2	4/13 at Colo-Colo

Money Line Analysis

:3.9%:4.8%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	5Dimes	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	-102	+131	-	+127	-	+127	+131	+138.3
Alianza Lima	+315	+244	-	+245	-	+245	+245	+262.2
Draw	+241	+215	-	+213	-	+213	+215	+228.6

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	+125	-	-	-	+105	+130	+130	+138.3
Alianza Lima	+245	-	-	-	+230	+230	+230	+262.2
Draw	+215	-	-	-	+195	+220	+220	+228.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Athletico Paranaense: 20.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Alianza Lima: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 30.0%

Alianza Lima: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Alianza Lima: 10.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Alianza Lima: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

No Steam Moves On Alianza Lima ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Athletico Paranaense: 30.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Alianza Lima: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 30.0%

Alianza Lima: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Alianza Lima: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Alianza Lima: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

No Steam Moves On Alianza Lima ML

Over/Under Analysis

:1.0%:5.6%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	5Dimes	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2½+114	o2-130	-	o2¼+100	-	o2¼+100	o2-130	o2¼+109
Under	u2½-136	u2+110	-	u2¼-120	-	u2¼-120	u2¼-120	u2¼-109

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2-140	-	-	-	o2-140	-	o2-140	o2¼+109
Under	u2+110	-	-	-	u2+110	-	u2+110	u2¼-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 10.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	42.5%


No	57.5%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	10.38%
Exactly 2	26.63%
Exactly 4	11.38%
Exactly 6	1.95%
Exactly 8	0.18%


Exactly 1	23.52%
Exactly 3	20.11%
Exactly 5	5.16%
Exactly 7	0.63%

Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	23.32%
Exactly 1	33.95%
Exactly 2	24.71%
Exactly 3	11.99%
Exactly 4	4.36%
Exactly 5	1.27%
Exactly 6	0.31%

Exact Goals Scored - Alianza Lima
Exactly 0	44.53%
Exactly 1	36.03%
Exactly 2	14.57%
Exactly 3	3.93%
Exactly 4	0.79%
Exactly 5	0.13%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	35.04%
Exactly 2	19.27%
Exactly 4	1.77%


Exactly 1	36.75%
Exactly 3	6.73%
Exactly 5	0.37%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	50.97%
Exactly 1	34.35%
Exactly 2	11.58%
Exactly 3	2.60%
Exactly 4	0.44%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Alianza Lima
Exactly 0	68.76%
Exactly 1	25.76%
Exactly 2	4.82%
Exactly 3	0.60%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals	26.38%
Wins by 3+ goals	10.37%
Wins by 4+ goals	3.26%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.81%

Alianza Lima
Wins by 2+ goals	6.42%
Wins by 3+ goals	1.48%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.26%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense

Alianza Lima

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal	25.95%
Wins by 2 goals	16.01%
Wins by 3 goals	7.11%
Wins by 4 goals	2.45%
Wins by 5 goals	0.68%

Alianza Lima
Wins by 1 goal	14.42%
Wins by 2 goals	4.94%
Wins by 3 goals	1.22%
Wins by 4 goals	0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	89.62%	10.38%
1.5	66.10%	33.90%
2.5	39.46%	60.54%
3.5	19.35%	80.65%
4.5	7.97%	92.03%
5.5	2.81%	97.19%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	76.68%	23.32%
1.5	42.73%	57.27%
2.5	18.01%	81.99%
3.5	6.02%	93.98%
4.5	1.66%	98.34%

Total Goals Alianza Lima Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	55.47%	44.53%
1.5	19.45%	80.55%
2.5	4.87%	95.13%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	64.96%	35.04%
1.5	28.21%	71.79%
2.5	8.95%	91.05%
3.5	2.21%	97.79%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense

Alianza Lima

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.38%	8.40%	3.40%	0.92%	0.19%
1	15.12%	12.23%	4.95%	1.33%	0.27%
2	11.00%	8.90%	3.60%	0.97%	0.20%
3	5.34%	4.32%	1.75%	0.47%	0.10%
4	1.94%	1.57%	0.64%	0.17%	0.03%
5	0.57%	0.46%	0.19%	0.05%	0.01%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	15.12%
2-0	11.00%
2-1	8.90%
3-0	5.34%
3-1	4.32%
3-2	1.75%
4-0	1.94%
4-1	1.57%
4-2	0.64%
4-3	0.17%
5-0	0.57%
5-1	0.46%
5-2	0.19%

Draw
0-0	10.38%
1-1	12.23%
2-2	3.60%
3-3	0.47%

Alianza Lima
0-1	8.40%
0-2	3.40%
1-2	4.95%
0-3	0.92%
1-3	1.33%
2-3	0.97%
0-4	0.19%
1-4	0.27%
2-4	0.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense

Alianza Lima

Score	0	1	2	3
0	35.04%	13.13%	2.46%	0.31%
1	23.62%	8.85%	1.66%	0.21%
2	7.96%	2.98%	0.56%	0.07%
3	1.79%	0.67%	0.13%	0.02%
4	0.30%	0.11%	0.02%	0.00%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	23.62%
2-0	7.96%
2-1	2.98%
3-0	1.79%
3-1	0.67%
3-2	0.13%
4-0	0.30%
4-1	0.11%

Draw
0-0	35.04%
1-1	8.85%
2-2	0.56%

Alianza Lima
0-1	13.13%
0-2	2.46%
1-2	1.66%
0-3	0.31%
1-3	0.21%

CA Huracan at Sporting Cristal

River Plate at The Strongest

Athletico Paranaense at Alianza Lima