Athletico Paranaense at Palmeiras

Updated 807 days ago

12:30 AM • Sep 7, 2022

Athletico Paranaense

11.9%20.4%67.7%

WinDrawPalmeiras Win

0.67Projected Goals 1.95

2Final Score 2

Palmeiras

Last 5 Games

Athletico Paranaense		Money Line
W 0-1	8/31 vs Palmeiras	+240
W 1-0	8/12 at Estudiantes	+260
T 0-0	8/05 vs Estudiantes	-145
T 1-1	7/06 at Libertad	+285
W 1-2	6/29 vs Libertad	-120

Palmeiras		Money Line
L 0-1	8/31 at Athletico Paranaense	+130
W 5-6	8/11 vs Atletico Mineiro	-125
T 2-2	8/04 at Atletico Mineiro	+205
W 0-5	7/06 vs Cerro Porteno	-290
W 3-0	6/29 at Cerro Porteno	-135

Money Line Analysis

:3.5%:4.9%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	+610	-	-	+845	+779	+845	+845	-
Palmeiras	-214	-	-	-260	-277	-260	-260	-
Draw	+321	-	-	+380	+373	+380	+380	-

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	+725	-	-	-	-	+825	+825	-
Palmeiras	-250	-	-	-	-	-275	-275	-
Draw	+365	-	-	-	-	+375	+375	-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Palmeiras: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 10.0%

Palmeiras: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Palmeiras: 10.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Palmeiras: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Athletico Paranaense: 10.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Palmeiras: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 20.0%

Palmeiras: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Palmeiras: 10.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Palmeiras: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML

Over/Under Analysis

:4.5%:4.5%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2½-110	-	-	o2½-105	-	o2½-105	o2½-105	-
Under	u2½-110	-	-	u2½-115	-	u2½-115	u2½-115	-

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2½-110	-	-	-	-	o2½-105	o2½-105	-
Under	u2½-110	-	-	-	-	u2½-115	u2½-115	-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 10.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 10.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	42.0%


No	58.0%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	7.25%
Exactly 2	24.96%
Exactly 4	14.33%
Exactly 6	3.29%
Exactly 8	0.40%


Exactly 1	19.02%
Exactly 3	21.84%
Exactly 5	7.52%
Exactly 7	1.23%
Exactly 9	0.12%

Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	51.07%
Exactly 1	34.32%
Exactly 2	11.53%
Exactly 3	2.58%
Exactly 4	0.43%

Exact Goals Scored - Palmeiras
Exactly 0	14.19%
Exactly 1	27.71%
Exactly 2	27.05%
Exactly 3	17.61%
Exactly 4	8.59%
Exactly 5	3.36%
Exactly 6	1.09%
Exactly 7	0.30%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	29.67%
Exactly 2	21.90%
Exactly 4	2.69%
Exactly 6	0.13%


Exactly 1	36.05%
Exactly 3	8.87%
Exactly 5	0.65%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	73.26%
Exactly 1	22.79%
Exactly 2	3.55%
Exactly 3	0.37%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Palmeiras
Exactly 0	40.49%
Exactly 1	36.61%
Exactly 2	16.55%
Exactly 3	4.99%
Exactly 4	1.13%
Exactly 5	0.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals	3.02%
Wins by 3+ goals	0.55%

Palmeiras
Wins by 2+ goals	41.91%
Wins by 3+ goals	20.97%
Wins by 4+ goals	8.62%
Wins by 5+ goals	2.94%
Wins by 6+ goals	0.82%
Wins by 7+ goals	0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense

Palmeiras

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal	8.84%
Wins by 2 goals	2.47%
Wins by 3 goals	0.49%

Palmeiras
Wins by 1 goal	25.70%
Wins by 2 goals	20.94%
Wins by 3 goals	12.36%
Wins by 4 goals	5.67%
Wins by 5 goals	2.12%
Wins by 6 goals	0.66%
Wins by 7 goals	0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	92.75%	7.25%
1.5	73.73%	26.27%
2.5	48.77%	51.23%
3.5	26.93%	73.07%
4.5	12.61%	87.39%
5.5	5.09%	94.91%
6.5	1.80%	98.20%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	48.93%	51.07%
1.5	14.61%	85.39%
2.5	3.08%	96.92%

Total Goals Palmeiras Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	85.81%	14.19%
1.5	58.10%	41.90%
2.5	31.05%	68.95%
3.5	13.44%	86.56%
4.5	4.85%	95.15%
5.5	1.49%	98.51%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	70.33%	29.67%
1.5	34.28%	65.72%
2.5	12.38%	87.62%
3.5	3.51%	96.49%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense

Palmeiras

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7.25%	14.15%	13.82%	8.99%	4.39%	1.71%
1	4.87%	9.51%	9.28%	6.04%	2.95%	1.15%
2	1.64%	3.19%	3.12%	2.03%	0.99%	0.39%
3	0.37%	0.72%	0.70%	0.45%	0.22%	0.09%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	4.87%
2-0	1.64%
2-1	3.19%
3-0	0.37%
3-1	0.72%
3-2	0.70%

Draw
0-0	7.25%
1-1	9.51%
2-2	3.12%
3-3	0.45%

Palmeiras
0-1	14.15%
0-2	13.82%
1-2	9.28%
0-3	8.99%
1-3	6.04%
2-3	2.03%
0-4	4.39%
1-4	2.95%
2-4	0.99%
3-4	0.22%
0-5	1.71%
1-5	1.15%
2-5	0.39%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense

Palmeiras

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	29.67%	26.82%	12.12%	3.65%	0.83%	0.15%
1	9.23%	8.34%	3.77%	1.14%	0.26%	0.05%
2	1.44%	1.30%	0.59%	0.18%	0.04%	0.01%
3	0.15%	0.13%	0.06%	0.02%	0.00%	0.00%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	9.23%
2-0	1.44%
2-1	1.30%
3-0	0.15%
3-1	0.13%

Draw
0-0	29.67%
1-1	8.34%
2-2	0.59%

Palmeiras
0-1	26.82%
0-2	12.12%
1-2	3.77%
0-3	3.65%
1-3	1.14%
2-3	0.18%
0-4	0.83%
1-4	0.26%
0-5	0.15%

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