Flamengo at Velez Sarsf

Updated

Flamengo

45.4%26.9%27.7%
Flamengo WinDrawVelez Sarsf Win
1.39Projected Goals 1.03
4Final Score 0

Velez Sarsf

Last 5 Games

Flamengo
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Corinthians-240
W 2-0 at Corinthians+130
W 1-7 vs Tolima-275
W 1-0 at Tolima+135
W 1-2 vs Sporting Cristal
Velez Sarsf
Money Line
W 1-0 at CC Cordoba+245
W 2-3 vs CC Cordoba-110
T 0-0 at River Plate+530
W 0-1 vs River Plate+260
W 0-4 vs Estudiantes

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Flamengo+100-+125+125+110+118+125+124.9
Velez Sarsf+285-+250+254+290+280+290+308.6
Draw+220-+215+215+206+205+215+221.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Flamengo-115----+125+125+124.9
Velez Sarsf+375----+260+260+308.6
Draw+230----+205+205+221.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Flamengo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Velez Sarsf: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Flamengo: 0.0%
Velez Sarsf: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Flamengo: 10.0%
Velez Sarsf: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Flamengo ML
No Steam Moves On Velez Sarsf ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Flamengo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Velez Sarsf: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Flamengo: 0.0%
Velez Sarsf: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Flamengo: 10.0%
Velez Sarsf: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Flamengo ML
No Steam Moves On Velez Sarsf ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-108-o2¼+112o2¼+110-o2¼+110o2¼+112o2-103
Underu2¼-122-u2¼-126u2¼-130-u2¼-130u2¼-126u2+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-135----o2-120o2-120o2-103
Underu2+115----u2+100u2+100u2+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.3%
 
No51.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.89%
Exactly 226.03%
Exactly 412.71%
Exactly 62.48%
Exactly 80.26%
 
Exactly 121.51%
Exactly 321.01%
Exactly 56.16%
Exactly 70.86%
Exact Goals Scored - Flamengo
Exactly 024.80%
Exactly 134.58%
Exactly 224.11%
Exactly 311.21%
Exactly 43.91%
Exactly 51.09%
Exactly 60.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Velez Sarsf
Exactly 035.83%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.87%
Exactly 36.46%
Exactly 41.66%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.60%
Exactly 220.48%
Exactly 42.14%
 
Exactly 136.54%
Exactly 37.65%
Exactly 50.48%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Flamengo
Exactly 052.43%
Exactly 133.85%
Exactly 210.93%
Exactly 32.35%
Exactly 40.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Velez Sarsf
Exactly 062.18%
Exactly 129.55%
Exactly 27.02%
Exactly 31.11%
Exactly 40.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Flamengo
Wins by 2+ goals21.67%
Wins by 3+ goals8.10%
Wins by 4+ goals2.42%
Wins by 5+ goals0.57%
Velez Sarsf
Wins by 2+ goals10.22%
Wins by 3+ goals2.87%
Wins by 4+ goals0.61%

Exact Winning Margin

Flamengo
Velez Sarsf
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Flamengo
Wins by 1 goal23.64%
Wins by 2 goals13.57%
Wins by 3 goals5.67%
Wins by 4 goals1.85%
Wins by 5 goals0.48%
Velez Sarsf
Wins by 1 goal17.40%
Wins by 2 goals7.35%
Wins by 3 goals2.26%
Wins by 4 goals0.53%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.11%8.89%
1.569.60%30.40%
2.543.57%56.43%
3.522.56%77.44%
4.59.85%90.15%
5.53.69%96.31%
6.51.21%98.79%

Total Goals Flamengo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.20%24.80%
1.540.62%59.38%
2.516.52%83.48%
3.55.31%94.69%
4.51.40%98.60%

Total Goals Velez Sarsf Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.17%35.83%
1.527.39%72.61%
2.58.52%91.48%
3.52.06%97.94%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.40%32.60%
1.530.86%69.14%
2.510.38%89.62%
3.52.73%97.27%

Score Props

Correct Score

Flamengo
Velez Sarsf
Score01234
0
8.89%
9.12%
4.68%
1.60%
0.41%
1
12.39%
12.72%
6.53%
2.23%
0.57%
2
8.64%
8.87%
4.55%
1.56%
0.40%
3
4.02%
4.12%
2.11%
0.72%
0.19%
4
1.40%
1.44%
0.74%
0.25%
0.06%
5
0.39%
0.40%
0.21%
0.07%
0.02%
Flamengo
1-012.39%
2-08.64%
2-18.87%
3-04.02%
3-14.12%
3-22.11%
4-01.40%
4-11.44%
4-20.74%
4-30.25%
5-00.39%
5-10.40%
5-20.21%
Draw
0-08.89%
1-112.72%
2-24.55%
3-30.72%
Velez Sarsf
0-19.12%
0-24.68%
1-26.53%
0-31.60%
1-32.23%
2-31.56%
0-40.41%
1-40.57%
2-40.40%
3-40.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Flamengo
Velez Sarsf
Score0123
0
32.60%
15.49%
3.68%
0.58%
1
21.05%
10.00%
2.38%
0.38%
2
6.79%
3.23%
0.77%
0.12%
3
1.46%
0.69%
0.17%
0.03%
4
0.24%
0.11%
0.03%
0.00%
Flamengo
1-021.05%
2-06.79%
2-13.23%
3-01.46%
3-10.69%
3-20.17%
4-00.24%
4-10.11%
Draw
0-032.60%
1-110.00%
2-20.77%
Velez Sarsf
0-115.49%
0-23.68%
1-22.38%
0-30.58%
1-30.38%
2-30.12%