Nacional at Libertad

Updated

Nacional

11.2%17.8%71.0%
WinDrawLibertad Win
0.77Projected Goals 2.25
1Final Score 2

Libertad

Last 5 Games

Nacional
Money Line
W 1-0 at Deportivo Tachira-125
T 2-2 vs River Plate+260
W 1-2 vs Deportivo Tachira-365
L 0-2 at River Plate+700
W 0-2 vs Libertad
Libertad
Money Line
L 0-2 at River Plate+675
T 1-1 at Deportivo Tachira-115
L 2-1 vs River Plate+215
W 0-3 vs Deportivo Tachira-370
L 0-2 at Nacional

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
11.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nacional+260-+150+150+143+150+150+162.5
Libertad+115-+175+192+194+192+194+206.6
Draw+210-+230+225+225+225+230+241.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nacional+245---+160-+160+162.5
Libertad-110---+135-+135+206.6
Draw+220---+215-+215+241.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Libertad: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nacional: 0.0%
Libertad: 60.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nacional: 0.0%
Libertad: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Nacional ML
No Steam Moves On Libertad ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Libertad: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nacional: 0.0%
Libertad: 60.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nacional: 0.0%
Libertad: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Nacional ML
No Steam Moves On Libertad ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
6.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-122-o2½-115o2½+100o2½-102o2½+100o2½+100o2½+109
Underu2¼-108-u2½-115u2½-120u2½-118u2½-120u2½-115u2½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+105---o2½-110-o2½-110o2½+109
Underu2½-135---u2½-120-u2½-120u2½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.9%
 
No52.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.89%
Exactly 222.27%
Exactly 416.90%
Exactly 65.13%
Exactly 80.83%
 
Exactly 114.76%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.20%
Exactly 72.21%
Exactly 90.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 046.42%
Exactly 135.62%
Exactly 213.67%
Exactly 33.50%
Exactly 40.67%
Exactly 50.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Libertad
Exactly 010.54%
Exactly 123.72%
Exactly 226.68%
Exactly 320.01%
Exactly 411.25%
Exactly 55.06%
Exactly 61.90%
Exactly 70.61%
Exactly 80.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.73%
Exactly 224.14%
Exactly 43.93%
Exactly 60.26%
 
Exactly 134.55%
Exactly 311.24%
Exactly 51.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 070.09%
Exactly 124.91%
Exactly 24.42%
Exactly 30.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Libertad
Exactly 035.29%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.14%
Exactly 36.65%
Exactly 41.73%
Exactly 50.36%

Alternate Props

Spread

Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals3.13%
Wins by 3+ goals0.66%
Libertad
Wins by 2+ goals47.27%
Wins by 3+ goals26.03%
Wins by 4+ goals11.97%
Wins by 5+ goals4.66%
Wins by 6+ goals1.55%
Wins by 7+ goals0.42%

Exact Winning Margin

Nacional
Libertad
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal8.08%
Wins by 2 goals2.47%
Wins by 3 goals0.56%
Libertad
Wins by 1 goal23.68%
Wins by 2 goals21.24%
Wins by 3 goals14.06%
Wins by 4 goals7.31%
Wins by 5 goals3.12%
Wins by 6 goals1.12%
Wins by 7 goals0.34%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.11%4.89%
1.580.34%19.66%
2.558.07%41.93%
3.535.66%64.34%
4.518.76%81.24%
5.58.57%91.43%
6.53.44%96.56%
7.51.23%98.77%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.58%46.42%
1.517.96%82.04%
2.54.29%95.71%

Total Goals Libertad Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.46%10.54%
1.565.74%34.26%
2.539.06%60.94%
3.519.05%80.95%
4.57.80%92.20%
5.52.74%97.26%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.27%24.73%
1.540.71%59.29%
2.516.58%83.42%
3.55.34%94.66%
4.51.41%98.59%

Score Props

Correct Score

Nacional
Libertad
Score012345
0
4.89%
11.01%
12.38%
9.29%
5.22%
2.35%
1
3.76%
8.45%
9.50%
7.13%
4.01%
1.80%
2
1.44%
3.24%
3.65%
2.74%
1.54%
0.69%
3
0.37%
0.83%
0.93%
0.70%
0.39%
0.18%
Nacional
1-03.76%
2-01.44%
2-13.24%
3-00.37%
3-10.83%
3-20.93%
Draw
0-04.89%
1-18.45%
2-23.65%
3-30.70%
Libertad
0-111.01%
0-212.38%
1-29.50%
0-39.29%
1-37.13%
2-32.74%
0-45.22%
1-44.01%
2-41.54%
3-40.39%
0-52.35%
1-51.80%
2-50.69%
3-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Nacional
Libertad
Score012345
0
24.73%
25.76%
13.42%
4.66%
1.21%
0.25%
1
8.79%
9.15%
4.77%
1.66%
0.43%
0.09%
2
1.56%
1.63%
0.85%
0.29%
0.08%
0.02%
3
0.18%
0.19%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Nacional
1-08.79%
2-01.56%
2-11.63%
3-00.18%
3-10.19%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-024.73%
1-19.15%
2-20.85%
Libertad
0-125.76%
0-213.42%
1-24.77%
0-34.66%
1-31.66%
2-30.29%
0-41.21%
1-40.43%
0-50.25%