River Plate at Independiente

Updated

River Plate

45.5%26.5%27.9%
River Plate WinDrawIndependiente Win
1.42Projected Goals 1.06
2Final Score 2

Independiente

Last 5 Games

River Plate
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Barcelona SC
W 1-0 at Universitario-107
T 0-0 vs Atletico Mineiro-200
L 0-3 at Atletico Mineiro+245
W 0-1 vs Colo-Colo-295
Independiente
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Universitario
L 0-1 at Barcelona SC
W 1-2 vs Liverpool
L 1-2 at Palmeiras+660
L 0-2 at San Lorenzo+290

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
River Plate+205-+215+235+219+225+225+240.9
Independiente+135-+145+135+141+140+145+151.8
Draw+210-+190+208+202+208+208+223.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
River Plate-----+240.9
Independiente-----+151.8
Draw-----+223.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
River Plate: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Independiente: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

River Plate: 40.0%
Independiente: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

River Plate: 0.0%
Independiente: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On River Plate ML
No Steam Moves On Independiente ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-128-o2-112o2-108o2-103o2-108o2-103o2+102
Underu2-102-u2-118u2-112u2-117u2-112u2-112u2-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+102
Under-----u2-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.36%
Exactly 225.74%
Exactly 413.22%
Exactly 62.71%
Exactly 80.30%
 
Exactly 120.74%
Exactly 321.30%
Exactly 56.56%
Exactly 70.96%
Exact Goals Scored - River Plate
Exactly 024.01%
Exactly 134.26%
Exactly 224.44%
Exactly 311.62%
Exactly 44.14%
Exactly 51.18%
Exactly 60.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Independiente
Exactly 034.80%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 219.39%
Exactly 36.82%
Exactly 41.80%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.69%
Exactly 220.93%
Exactly 42.30%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.42%
Exactly 38.02%
Exactly 50.53%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - River Plate
Exactly 051.66%
Exactly 134.12%
Exactly 211.27%
Exactly 32.48%
Exactly 40.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Independiente
Exactly 061.34%
Exactly 129.98%
Exactly 27.33%
Exactly 31.19%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

River Plate
Wins by 2+ goals22.02%
Wins by 3+ goals8.36%
Wins by 4+ goals2.54%
Wins by 5+ goals0.61%
Independiente
Wins by 2+ goals10.48%
Wins by 3+ goals3.00%
Wins by 4+ goals0.65%

Exact Winning Margin

River Plate
Independiente
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
River Plate
Wins by 1 goal23.45%
Wins by 2 goals13.66%
Wins by 3 goals5.81%
Wins by 4 goals1.93%
Wins by 5 goals0.51%
Independiente
Wins by 1 goal17.35%
Wins by 2 goals7.48%
Wins by 3 goals2.35%
Wins by 4 goals0.56%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.64%8.36%
1.570.90%29.10%
2.545.16%54.84%
3.523.86%76.14%
4.510.65%89.35%
5.54.08%95.92%
6.51.37%98.63%

Total Goals River Plate Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.99%24.01%
1.541.73%58.27%
2.517.30%82.70%
3.55.68%94.32%
4.51.53%98.47%

Total Goals Independiente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.20%34.80%
1.528.47%71.53%
2.59.08%90.92%
3.52.26%97.74%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.31%31.69%
1.531.90%68.10%
2.510.97%89.03%
3.52.95%97.05%

Score Props

Correct Score

River Plate
Independiente
Score01234
0
8.36%
8.82%
4.66%
1.64%
0.43%
1
11.92%
12.58%
6.64%
2.34%
0.62%
2
8.50%
8.98%
4.74%
1.67%
0.44%
3
4.04%
4.27%
2.25%
0.79%
0.21%
4
1.44%
1.52%
0.80%
0.28%
0.07%
5
0.41%
0.43%
0.23%
0.08%
0.02%
River Plate
1-011.92%
2-08.50%
2-18.98%
3-04.04%
3-14.27%
3-22.25%
4-01.44%
4-11.52%
4-20.80%
4-30.28%
5-00.41%
5-10.43%
5-20.23%
Draw
0-08.36%
1-112.58%
2-24.74%
3-30.79%
Independiente
0-18.82%
0-24.66%
1-26.64%
0-31.64%
1-32.34%
2-31.67%
0-40.43%
1-40.62%
2-40.44%
3-40.21%

Correct Score - First Half

River Plate
Independiente
Score0123
0
31.69%
15.49%
3.78%
0.62%
1
20.93%
10.23%
2.50%
0.41%
2
6.91%
3.38%
0.83%
0.13%
3
1.52%
0.74%
0.18%
0.03%
4
0.25%
0.12%
0.03%
0.00%
River Plate
1-020.93%
2-06.91%
2-13.38%
3-01.52%
3-10.74%
3-20.18%
4-00.25%
4-10.12%
Draw
0-031.69%
1-110.23%
2-20.83%
Independiente
0-115.49%
0-23.78%
1-22.50%
0-30.62%
1-30.41%
2-30.13%