Melgar at Nacional

Updated

Melgar

12.8%19.0%68.3%
WinDrawNacional Win
0.81Projected Goals 2.15
1Final Score 3

Nacional

Last Games

Melgar
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Olimpia+170
Nacional
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Olimpia-185
L 1-3 at Olimpia+205
L 0-2 at Univ Catolica+185
L 0-1 at Argentinos Jun+340
T 0-0 vs Nacional-150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Melgar+525-+440+450-+450+450+477.5
Nacional-185--140-140--140-140-125.0
Draw+290-+235+251-+251+251+268.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Melgar+530---+375+410+410+477.5
Nacional-180----175-140-140-125.0
Draw+300---+260+270+270+268.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Melgar: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Melgar: 0.0%
Nacional: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Melgar: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Melgar: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Melgar ML
No Steam Moves On Nacional ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Melgar: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Melgar: 0.0%
Nacional: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Melgar: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Melgar: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Melgar ML
No Steam Moves On Nacional ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-122-o2¼-115o2¼+102-o2¼+102o2¼+102o2¼+111
Underu2¼-108-u2¼-115u2¼-122-u2¼-122u2¼-115u2¼-111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+111
Under-----u2¼-111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.9%
 
No51.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.20%
Exactly 222.72%
Exactly 416.56%
Exactly 64.83%
Exactly 80.75%
 
Exactly 115.37%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.79%
Exactly 72.04%
Exactly 90.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Melgar
Exactly 044.68%
Exactly 136.00%
Exactly 214.50%
Exactly 33.89%
Exactly 40.78%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 011.63%
Exactly 125.03%
Exactly 226.92%
Exactly 319.30%
Exactly 410.38%
Exactly 54.47%
Exactly 61.60%
Exactly 70.49%
Exactly 80.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.43%
Exactly 223.84%
Exactly 43.72%
Exactly 60.23%
 
Exactly 134.82%
Exactly 310.88%
Exactly 51.02%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Melgar
Exactly 068.86%
Exactly 125.69%
Exactly 24.79%
Exactly 30.60%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 036.93%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.32%
Exactly 36.08%
Exactly 41.51%
Exactly 50.30%

Alternate Props

Spread

Melgar
Wins by 2+ goals3.72%
Wins by 3+ goals0.82%
Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals44.13%
Wins by 3+ goals23.46%
Wins by 4+ goals10.39%
Wins by 5+ goals3.89%
Wins by 6+ goals1.24%
Wins by 7+ goals0.33%

Exact Winning Margin

Melgar
Nacional
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Melgar
Wins by 1 goal9.03%
Wins by 2 goals2.90%
Wins by 3 goals0.68%
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal24.11%
Wins by 2 goals20.67%
Wins by 3 goals13.08%
Wins by 4 goals6.50%
Wins by 5 goals2.65%
Wins by 6 goals0.91%
Wins by 7 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.80%5.20%
1.579.43%20.57%
2.556.71%43.29%
3.534.31%65.69%
4.517.75%82.25%
5.57.96%92.04%
6.53.14%96.86%
7.51.10%98.90%

Total Goals Melgar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.32%44.68%
1.519.33%80.67%
2.54.82%95.18%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.37%11.63%
1.563.34%36.66%
2.536.42%63.58%
3.517.11%82.89%
4.56.73%93.27%
5.52.27%97.73%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.57%25.43%
1.539.74%60.26%
2.515.91%84.09%
3.55.03%94.97%
4.51.31%98.69%

Score Props

Correct Score

Melgar
Nacional
Score012345
0
5.20%
11.18%
12.03%
8.62%
4.64%
2.00%
1
4.19%
9.01%
9.69%
6.95%
3.74%
1.61%
2
1.69%
3.63%
3.90%
2.80%
1.51%
0.65%
3
0.45%
0.97%
1.05%
0.75%
0.40%
0.17%
Melgar
1-04.19%
2-01.69%
2-13.63%
3-00.45%
3-10.97%
3-21.05%
Draw
0-05.20%
1-19.01%
2-23.90%
3-30.75%
Nacional
0-111.18%
0-212.03%
1-29.69%
0-38.62%
1-36.95%
2-32.80%
0-44.64%
1-43.74%
2-41.51%
3-40.40%
0-52.00%
1-51.61%
2-50.65%
3-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Melgar
Nacional
Score012345
0
25.43%
25.33%
12.62%
4.19%
1.04%
0.21%
1
9.49%
9.45%
4.71%
1.56%
0.39%
0.08%
2
1.77%
1.76%
0.88%
0.29%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.22%
0.22%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Melgar
1-09.49%
2-01.77%
2-11.76%
3-00.22%
3-10.22%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-025.43%
1-19.45%
2-20.88%
Nacional
0-125.33%
0-212.62%
1-24.71%
0-34.19%
1-31.56%
2-30.29%
0-41.04%
1-40.39%
0-50.21%
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