Libertad at Nacional

Updated

Libertad

54.9%19.4%25.7%
Libertad WinDrawNacional Win
2.21Projected Goals 1.04
1Final Score 4

Nacional

Last 3 Games

Libertad
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Nacional+130
T 2-2 vs Univ Catolica-175
W 1-0 at Univ Catolica+475
Nacional
Money Line
L 0-1 at Libertad+245
W 0-3 vs Guarani-160
W 2-0 at Guarani+190

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.3%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Libertad+379+379+320+335+354+335+379-
Nacional-145-145-130-120-129-120-120-
Draw+273+273+255+260+261+260+273-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Libertad+280----+345+345-
Nacional-110-----130-130-
Draw+275----+280+280-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Libertad: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Libertad: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Libertad: 0.0%
Nacional: 40.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Libertad ML
No Steam Moves On Nacional ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Libertad: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Libertad: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Libertad: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Libertad ML
No Steam Moves On Nacional ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+115o2¼-115o2½+115o2¼-117-o2¼-117o2½+115-
Underu2½-140u2¼-110u2½-140u2¼-103-u2¼-103u2½-140-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes57.5%
 
No42.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.87%
Exactly 220.46%
Exactly 418.03%
Exactly 66.36%
Exactly 81.20%
Exactly 100.14%
 
Exactly 112.58%
Exactly 322.18%
Exactly 511.73%
Exactly 72.95%
Exactly 90.43%
Exact Goals Scored - Libertad
Exactly 010.92%
Exactly 124.18%
Exactly 226.78%
Exactly 319.77%
Exactly 410.94%
Exactly 54.85%
Exactly 61.79%
Exactly 70.57%
Exactly 80.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 035.42%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.08%
Exactly 36.60%
Exactly 41.71%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.18%
Exactly 225.15%
Exactly 44.75%
Exactly 60.36%
 
Exactly 133.40%
Exactly 312.63%
Exactly 51.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Libertad
Exactly 035.87%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.86%
Exactly 36.44%
Exactly 41.65%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 061.85%
Exactly 129.72%
Exactly 27.14%
Exactly 31.14%
Exactly 40.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Libertad
Wins by 2+ goals40.99%
Wins by 3+ goals21.80%
Wins by 4+ goals9.72%
Wins by 5+ goals3.68%
Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals5.75%
Wins by 3+ goals1.54%
Wins by 4+ goals0.31%

Exact Winning Margin

Libertad
Nacional
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Libertad
Wins by 1 goal22.99%
Wins by 2 goals19.19%
Wins by 3 goals12.08%
Wins by 4 goals6.04%
Wins by 5 goals2.49%
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal10.77%
Wins by 2 goals4.21%
Wins by 3 goals1.23%
Wins by 4 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.13%3.87%
1.583.55%16.45%
2.563.09%36.91%
3.540.91%59.09%
4.522.88%77.12%
5.511.15%88.85%
6.54.79%95.21%
7.51.83%98.17%

Total Goals Libertad Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.08%10.92%
1.564.90%35.10%
2.538.12%61.88%
3.518.35%81.65%
4.57.41%92.59%
5.52.56%97.44%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.58%35.42%
1.527.81%72.19%
2.58.74%91.26%
3.52.14%97.86%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.82%22.18%
1.544.41%55.59%
2.519.26%80.74%
3.56.64%93.36%
4.51.89%98.11%

Score Props

Correct Score

Libertad
Nacional
Score01234
0
3.87%
4.01%
2.08%
0.72%
0.19%
1
8.57%
8.89%
4.61%
1.60%
0.41%
2
9.49%
9.84%
5.11%
1.77%
0.46%
3
7.00%
7.27%
3.77%
1.30%
0.34%
4
3.88%
4.02%
2.09%
0.72%
0.19%
5
1.72%
1.78%
0.92%
0.32%
0.08%
Libertad
1-08.57%
2-09.49%
2-19.84%
3-07.00%
3-17.27%
3-23.77%
4-03.88%
4-14.02%
4-22.09%
4-30.72%
5-01.72%
5-11.78%
5-20.92%
5-30.32%
Draw
0-03.87%
1-18.89%
2-25.11%
3-31.30%
4-40.19%
Nacional
0-14.01%
0-22.08%
1-24.61%
0-30.72%
1-31.60%
2-31.77%
0-40.19%
1-40.41%
2-40.46%
3-40.34%

Correct Score - First Half

Libertad
Nacional
Score0123
0
22.18%
10.66%
2.56%
0.41%
1
22.75%
10.93%
2.63%
0.42%
2
11.66%
5.60%
1.35%
0.22%
3
3.99%
1.92%
0.46%
0.07%
4
1.02%
0.49%
0.12%
0.02%
5
0.21%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Libertad
1-022.75%
2-011.66%
2-15.60%
3-03.99%
3-11.92%
3-20.46%
4-01.02%
4-10.49%
4-20.12%
5-00.21%
5-10.10%
Draw
0-022.18%
1-110.93%
2-21.35%
Nacional
0-110.66%
0-22.56%
1-22.63%
0-30.41%
1-30.42%
2-30.22%