River Plate at Fortaleza

Updated

River Plate

42.7%28.2%29.0%
River Plate WinDrawFortaleza Win
1.27Projected Goals 1.00
1Final Score 1

Fortaleza

Last Games

River Plate
Money Line
W 2-1 at Colo-Colo
W 0-2 vs Fortaleza
W 1-0 at Alianza Lima
L 0-3 at Atletico Mineiro+250
L 1-0 vs Atletico Mineiro+110
Fortaleza
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Alianza Lima
L 0-2 at River Plate

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
River Plate+125+130-+141+132-+141+145.2
Fortaleza+210+220-+212+199-+220+222.7
Draw+240+240-+236+240-+240+254.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
River Plate-----+145.2
Fortaleza-----+222.7
Draw-----+254.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
River Plate: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortaleza: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

River Plate: 10.0%
Fortaleza: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

River Plate: 0.0%
Fortaleza: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On River Plate ML
No Steam Moves On Fortaleza ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+102o2½+105-o2½+104--o2½+105o2½+109
Underu2¼-122u2½-119-u2½-119--u2½-119u2½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+109
Under-----u2½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.5%
 
No54.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.31%
Exactly 226.61%
Exactly 411.45%
Exactly 61.97%
Exactly 80.18%
 
Exactly 123.42%
Exactly 320.16%
Exactly 55.20%
Exactly 70.64%
Exact Goals Scored - River Plate
Exactly 027.97%
Exactly 135.63%
Exactly 222.70%
Exactly 39.64%
Exactly 43.07%
Exactly 50.78%
Exactly 60.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortaleza
Exactly 036.86%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.36%
Exactly 36.11%
Exactly 41.52%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.92%
Exactly 219.33%
Exactly 41.78%
 
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 36.78%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - River Plate
Exactly 055.44%
Exactly 132.70%
Exactly 29.65%
Exactly 31.90%
Exactly 40.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortaleza
Exactly 063.00%
Exactly 129.11%
Exactly 26.73%
Exactly 31.04%
Exactly 40.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

River Plate
Wins by 2+ goals19.23%
Wins by 3+ goals6.70%
Wins by 4+ goals1.86%
Wins by 5+ goals0.41%
Fortaleza
Wins by 2+ goals10.62%
Wins by 3+ goals2.94%
Wins by 4+ goals0.62%

Exact Winning Margin

River Plate
Fortaleza
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
River Plate
Wins by 1 goal23.46%
Wins by 2 goals12.53%
Wins by 3 goals4.84%
Wins by 4 goals1.45%
Wins by 5 goals0.35%
Fortaleza
Wins by 1 goal18.37%
Wins by 2 goals7.69%
Wins by 3 goals2.32%
Wins by 4 goals0.53%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.69%10.31%
1.566.27%33.73%
2.539.66%60.34%
3.519.50%80.50%
4.58.05%91.95%
5.52.85%97.15%

Total Goals River Plate Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.03%27.97%
1.536.40%63.60%
2.513.70%86.30%
3.54.06%95.94%

Total Goals Fortaleza Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.14%36.86%
1.526.35%73.65%
2.57.99%92.01%
3.51.89%98.11%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.08%34.92%
1.528.34%71.66%
2.59.01%90.99%
3.52.23%97.77%

Score Props

Correct Score

River Plate
Fortaleza
Score01234
0
10.31%
10.29%
5.13%
1.71%
0.43%
1
13.13%
13.11%
6.54%
2.18%
0.54%
2
8.37%
8.35%
4.17%
1.39%
0.35%
3
3.55%
3.55%
1.77%
0.59%
0.15%
4
1.13%
1.13%
0.56%
0.19%
0.05%
5
0.29%
0.29%
0.14%
0.05%
0.01%
River Plate
1-013.13%
2-08.37%
2-18.35%
3-03.55%
3-13.55%
3-21.77%
4-01.13%
4-11.13%
4-20.56%
4-30.19%
5-00.29%
5-10.29%
5-20.14%
Draw
0-010.31%
1-113.11%
2-24.17%
3-30.59%
Fortaleza
0-110.29%
0-25.13%
1-26.54%
0-31.71%
1-32.18%
2-31.39%
0-40.43%
1-40.54%
2-40.35%
3-40.15%

Correct Score - First Half

River Plate
Fortaleza
Score0123
0
34.92%
16.14%
3.73%
0.57%
1
20.60%
9.52%
2.20%
0.34%
2
6.08%
2.81%
0.65%
0.10%
3
1.20%
0.55%
0.13%
0.02%
4
0.18%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
River Plate
1-020.60%
2-06.08%
2-12.81%
3-01.20%
3-10.55%
3-20.13%
4-00.18%
Draw
0-034.92%
1-19.52%
2-20.65%
Fortaleza
0-116.14%
0-23.73%
1-22.20%
0-30.57%
1-30.34%