Penarol at Cerro Porteno

Updated

Penarol

18.1%21.8%60.1%
WinDrawCerro Porteno Win
0.94Projected Goals 1.92
0Final Score 1

Cerro Porteno

Last Games

Penarol
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Olimpia
Cerro Porteno
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Colon
T 0-0 at Olimpia
L 0-1 at Fluminense+430
L 2-0 vs Fluminense+210
W 0-1 vs AD Cali+135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Penarol+300+360+365+372+325+340+372+384.8
Cerro Porteno+100-110-115-104-109-110-104+100.3
Draw+210+205+235+222+230+235+235+239.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Penarol-----+384.8
Cerro Porteno-----+100.3
Draw-----+239.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Penarol: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cerro Porteno: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Penarol: 0.0%
Cerro Porteno: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Penarol: 0.0%
Cerro Porteno: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Penarol ML
No Steam Moves On Cerro Porteno ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+100o2-122o2-113o2-114-o2-113o2-113o2-109
Underu2¼-120u2+102u2-107u2-101-u2-107u2+102u2+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-109
Under-----u2+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.1%
 
No47.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.72%
Exactly 223.41%
Exactly 415.98%
Exactly 64.36%
Exactly 80.64%
 
Exactly 116.36%
Exactly 322.33%
Exactly 59.14%
Exactly 71.78%
Exactly 90.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Penarol
Exactly 038.87%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 217.36%
Exactly 35.47%
Exactly 41.29%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Cerro Porteno
Exactly 014.71%
Exactly 128.20%
Exactly 227.02%
Exactly 317.26%
Exactly 48.27%
Exactly 53.17%
Exactly 61.01%
Exactly 70.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.58%
Exactly 223.33%
Exactly 43.41%
Exactly 60.20%
 
Exactly 135.22%
Exactly 310.30%
Exactly 50.90%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Penarol
Exactly 064.56%
Exactly 128.25%
Exactly 26.18%
Exactly 30.90%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cerro Porteno
Exactly 041.17%
Exactly 136.54%
Exactly 216.21%
Exactly 34.79%
Exactly 41.06%
Exactly 50.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Penarol
Wins by 2+ goals6.02%
Wins by 3+ goals1.53%
Wins by 4+ goals0.29%
Cerro Porteno
Wins by 2+ goals35.64%
Wins by 3+ goals17.18%
Wins by 4+ goals6.82%
Wins by 5+ goals2.26%
Wins by 6+ goals0.60%
Wins by 7+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Penarol
Cerro Porteno
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Penarol
Wins by 1 goal12.02%
Wins by 2 goals4.49%
Wins by 3 goals1.23%
Wins by 4 goals0.26%
Cerro Porteno
Wins by 1 goal24.37%
Wins by 2 goals18.46%
Wins by 3 goals10.36%
Wins by 4 goals4.57%
Wins by 5 goals1.65%
Wins by 6 goals0.50%
Wins by 7 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.28%5.72%
1.577.92%22.08%
2.554.51%45.49%
3.532.18%67.82%
4.516.20%83.80%
5.57.06%92.94%
6.52.70%97.30%

Total Goals Penarol Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.13%38.87%
1.524.40%75.60%
2.57.05%92.95%
3.51.58%98.42%

Total Goals Cerro Porteno Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.29%14.71%
1.557.09%42.91%
2.530.07%69.93%
3.512.81%87.19%
4.54.54%95.46%
5.51.37%98.63%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.42%26.58%
1.538.20%61.80%
2.514.87%85.13%
3.54.56%95.44%
4.51.15%98.85%

Score Props

Correct Score

Penarol
Cerro Porteno
Score012345
0
5.72%
10.96%
10.50%
6.71%
3.21%
1.23%
1
5.40%
10.36%
9.92%
6.34%
3.04%
1.16%
2
2.55%
4.89%
4.69%
3.00%
1.44%
0.55%
3
0.80%
1.54%
1.48%
0.94%
0.45%
0.17%
4
0.19%
0.36%
0.35%
0.22%
0.11%
0.04%
Penarol
1-05.40%
2-02.55%
2-14.89%
3-00.80%
3-11.54%
3-21.48%
4-00.19%
4-10.36%
4-20.35%
4-30.22%
Draw
0-05.72%
1-110.36%
2-24.69%
3-30.94%
4-40.11%
Cerro Porteno
0-110.96%
0-210.50%
1-29.92%
0-36.71%
1-36.34%
2-33.00%
0-43.21%
1-43.04%
2-41.44%
3-40.45%
0-51.23%
1-51.16%
2-50.55%
3-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Penarol
Cerro Porteno
Score012345
0
26.58%
23.59%
10.47%
3.10%
0.69%
0.12%
1
11.63%
10.32%
4.58%
1.35%
0.30%
0.05%
2
2.54%
2.26%
1.00%
0.30%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.37%
0.33%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Penarol
1-011.63%
2-02.54%
2-12.26%
3-00.37%
3-10.33%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-026.58%
1-110.32%
2-21.00%
Cerro Porteno
0-123.59%
0-210.47%
1-24.58%
0-33.10%
1-31.35%
2-30.30%
0-40.69%
1-40.30%
0-50.12%