Athletico Paranaense at Bolivar

Updated 478 days ago

12:00 AM • Aug 2, 2023

Athletico Paranaense

27.4%30.9%41.7%

Athletico Paranaense WinDrawBolivar Win

0.85Projected Goals 1.11

1Final Score 3

Bolivar

Last 5 Games

Athletico Paranaense		Money Line
W 0-3	6/27 vs Alianza Lima	-290
W 0-1	6/06 vs Libertad	-135
L 1-2	5/23 at Atletico Mineiro	+580
W 2-1	5/05 at Libertad	+260
W 1-2	4/19 vs Atletico Mineiro	+155

Bolivar		Money Line
L 0-4	6/30 at Palmeiras	+2100
W 0-2	6/07 vs Cerro Porteno	-225
W 0-1	5/24 vs Barcelona SC	-230
W 4-0	5/03 at Cerro Porteno	+890
L 1-2	4/20 at Barcelona SC	+560

Money Line Analysis

:3.1%:1.3%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	+310	+256	-	+250	+250	+250	+256	+267.4
Bolivar	-106	+123	-	+117	+115	+117	+123	+127.8
Draw	+255	+223	-	+230	+230	+230	+230	+246.4

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	+325	-	-	-	+300	+250	+300	+267.4
Bolivar	-115	-	-	-	-130	+115	+115	+127.8
Draw	+255	-	-	-	+220	+235	+235	+246.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Athletico Paranaense: 30.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Bolivar: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 10.0%

Bolivar: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 20.0%

Bolivar: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bolivar: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

No Steam Moves On Bolivar ML

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active

Athletico Paranaense: 100.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Bolivar: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 20.0%

Bolivar: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 20.0%

Bolivar: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 70.0%

Bolivar: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

No Steam Moves On Bolivar ML

Over/Under Analysis

:3.2%:5.6%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2½-106	o2-143	-	o2¼+100	o2¼+100	o2¼+100	o2-143	o2¼+109
Under	u2½-112	u2+121	-	u2¼-120	u2¼-120	u2¼-120	u2¼-120	u2¼-109

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2½-110	-	-	-	o2½+110	-	o2½+110	o2¼+109
Under	u2½-120	-	-	-	u2½-140	-	u2½-140	u2¼-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 10.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 30.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	38.2%


No	61.8%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	14.15%
Exactly 2	27.05%
Exactly 4	8.62%
Exactly 6	1.10%


Exactly 1	27.67%
Exactly 3	17.63%
Exactly 5	3.37%
Exactly 7	0.31%

Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	43.11%
Exactly 1	36.27%
Exactly 2	15.26%
Exactly 3	4.28%
Exactly 4	0.90%
Exactly 5	0.15%

Exact Goals Scored - Bolivar
Exactly 0	32.82%
Exactly 1	36.57%
Exactly 2	20.37%
Exactly 3	7.56%
Exactly 4	2.11%
Exactly 5	0.47%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	40.44%
Exactly 2	16.57%
Exactly 4	1.13%


Exactly 1	36.61%
Exactly 3	5.00%
Exactly 5	0.21%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	67.74%
Exactly 1	26.39%
Exactly 2	5.14%
Exactly 3	0.67%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bolivar
Exactly 0	59.70%
Exactly 1	30.80%
Exactly 2	7.94%
Exactly 3	1.37%
Exactly 4	0.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals	8.93%
Wins by 3+ goals	2.17%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.40%

Bolivar
Wins by 2+ goals	17.25%
Wins by 3+ goals	5.38%
Wins by 4+ goals	1.28%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.20%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense

Bolivar

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal	18.43%
Wins by 2 goals	6.77%
Wins by 3 goals	1.76%
Wins by 4 goals	0.35%

Bolivar
Wins by 1 goal	24.40%
Wins by 2 goals	11.87%
Wins by 3 goals	4.10%
Wins by 4 goals	1.08%
Wins by 5 goals	0.20%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	85.85%	14.15%
1.5	58.18%	41.82%
2.5	31.13%	68.87%
3.5	13.49%	86.51%
4.5	4.87%	95.13%
5.5	1.50%	98.50%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	56.89%	43.11%
1.5	20.61%	79.39%
2.5	5.36%	94.64%
3.5	1.08%	98.92%

Total Goals Bolivar Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	67.18%	32.82%
1.5	30.61%	69.39%
2.5	10.24%	89.76%
3.5	2.68%	97.32%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	59.56%	40.44%
1.5	22.95%	77.05%
2.5	6.37%	93.63%
3.5	1.37%	98.63%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense

Bolivar

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	14.15%	15.76%	8.78%	3.26%	0.91%
1	11.90%	13.26%	7.39%	2.74%	0.76%
2	5.01%	5.58%	3.11%	1.15%	0.32%
3	1.40%	1.56%	0.87%	0.32%	0.09%
4	0.30%	0.33%	0.18%	0.07%	0.02%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	11.90%
2-0	5.01%
2-1	5.58%
3-0	1.40%
3-1	1.56%
3-2	0.87%
4-0	0.30%
4-1	0.33%
4-2	0.18%

Draw
0-0	14.15%
1-1	13.26%
2-2	3.11%
3-3	0.32%

Bolivar
0-1	15.76%
0-2	8.78%
1-2	7.39%
0-3	3.26%
1-3	2.74%
2-3	1.15%
0-4	0.91%
1-4	0.76%
2-4	0.32%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense

Bolivar

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	40.44%	20.86%	5.38%	0.93%	0.12%
1	15.75%	8.13%	2.10%	0.36%	0.05%
2	3.07%	1.58%	0.41%	0.07%	0.01%
3	0.40%	0.21%	0.05%	0.01%	0.00%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	15.75%
2-0	3.07%
2-1	1.58%
3-0	0.40%
3-1	0.21%

Draw
0-0	40.44%
1-1	8.13%
2-2	0.41%

Bolivar
0-1	20.86%
0-2	5.38%
1-2	2.10%
0-3	0.93%
1-3	0.36%
0-4	0.12%

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