Athletico Paranaense at Atletico Mineiro

Updated

Athletico Paranaense

16.5%23.1%60.3%
WinDrawAtletico Mineiro Win
0.79Projected Goals 1.75
1Final Score 2

Atletico Mineiro

Last 5 Games

Athletico Paranaense
Money Line
W 2-1 at Libertad+260
W 1-2 vs Atletico Mineiro+155
T 0-0 at Alianza Lima+130
L 0-1 at Flamengo+560
T 2-2 at Palmeiras+825
Atletico Mineiro
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Alianza Lima-400
L 1-2 at Athletico Paranaense+185
L 1-0 vs Libertad-220
W 1-3 vs Millonarios-260
T 1-1 at Millonarios+185

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense+453+568-+615-+615+615+651.1
Atletico Mineiro-155-184--200--200-184-173.7
Draw+298+313-+310-+310+313+330.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense+530---+450+580+580+651.1
Atletico Mineiro-180----210-195-195-173.7
Draw+300---+270+310+310+330.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 20.0%
Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 20.0%
Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML
No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 20.0%
Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%
Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML
No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-102o2½+102-o2½+100-o2½+100o2½+102o2½+109
Underu2½-116u2½-120-u2½-120-u2½-120u2½-120u2½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+109
Under-----u2½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.2%
 
No54.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.85%
Exactly 225.42%
Exactly 413.71%
Exactly 62.96%
Exactly 80.34%
 
Exactly 119.98%
Exactly 321.56%
Exactly 56.98%
Exactly 71.08%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 045.36%
Exactly 135.86%
Exactly 214.17%
Exactly 33.74%
Exactly 40.74%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 017.31%
Exactly 130.36%
Exactly 226.62%
Exactly 315.56%
Exactly 46.82%
Exactly 52.39%
Exactly 60.70%
Exactly 70.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.79%
Exactly 221.36%
Exactly 42.47%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.27%
Exactly 38.39%
Exactly 50.58%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 069.35%
Exactly 125.38%
Exactly 24.65%
Exactly 30.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 044.40%
Exactly 136.05%
Exactly 214.64%
Exactly 33.96%
Exactly 40.80%
Exactly 50.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals4.89%
Wins by 3+ goals1.09%
Wins by 4+ goals0.18%
Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 2+ goals34.47%
Wins by 3+ goals15.75%
Wins by 4+ goals5.88%
Wins by 5+ goals1.82%
Wins by 6+ goals0.46%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense
Atletico Mineiro
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal11.63%
Wins by 2 goals3.80%
Wins by 3 goals0.90%
Wins by 4 goals0.16%
Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 1 goal25.80%
Wins by 2 goals18.72%
Wins by 3 goals9.87%
Wins by 4 goals4.06%
Wins by 5 goals1.36%
Wins by 6 goals0.38%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.15%7.85%
1.572.17%27.83%
2.546.75%53.25%
3.525.20%74.80%
4.511.48%88.52%
5.54.51%95.49%
6.51.55%98.45%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.64%45.36%
1.518.78%81.22%
2.54.61%95.39%

Total Goals Atletico Mineiro Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.69%17.31%
1.552.33%47.67%
2.525.71%74.29%
3.510.14%89.86%
4.53.32%96.68%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.21%30.79%
1.532.94%67.06%
2.511.58%88.42%
3.53.19%96.81%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense
Atletico Mineiro
Score012345
0
7.85%
13.77%
12.08%
7.06%
3.10%
1.09%
1
6.21%
10.89%
9.55%
5.58%
2.45%
0.86%
2
2.45%
4.30%
3.77%
2.21%
0.97%
0.34%
3
0.65%
1.13%
0.99%
0.58%
0.25%
0.09%
4
0.13%
0.22%
0.20%
0.11%
0.05%
0.02%
Athletico Paranaense
1-06.21%
2-02.45%
2-14.30%
3-00.65%
3-11.13%
3-20.99%
4-00.13%
4-10.22%
4-20.20%
4-30.11%
Draw
0-07.85%
1-110.89%
2-23.77%
3-30.58%
Atletico Mineiro
0-113.77%
0-212.08%
1-29.55%
0-37.06%
1-35.58%
2-32.21%
0-43.10%
1-42.45%
2-40.97%
3-40.25%
0-51.09%
1-50.86%
2-50.34%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense
Atletico Mineiro
Score01234
0
30.79%
25.00%
10.15%
2.75%
0.56%
1
11.27%
9.15%
3.72%
1.01%
0.20%
2
2.06%
1.67%
0.68%
0.18%
0.04%
3
0.25%
0.20%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Athletico Paranaense
1-011.27%
2-02.06%
2-11.67%
3-00.25%
3-10.20%
Draw
0-030.79%
1-19.15%
2-20.68%
Atletico Mineiro
0-125.00%
0-210.15%
1-23.72%
0-32.75%
1-31.01%
2-30.18%
0-40.56%
1-40.20%
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