Atletico Mineiro at Fluminense

Updated 47 days ago

10:00 PM • Sep 18, 2024

Atletico Mineiro

24.7%26.9%48.4%

Atletico Mineiro WinDrawFluminense Win

0.94Projected Goals 1.42

0Final Score 1

Fluminense

Last 5 Games

Atletico Mineiro		Money Line
W 0-1	8/21 vs San Lorenzo	-210
T 1-1	8/14 at San Lorenzo	+150
W 0-4	5/28 vs Caracas
L 0-2	5/14 at Penarol	+120
W 1-0	5/07 at Rosario Cent	+110

Fluminense		Money Line
W 2-4	8/20 vs Gremio	+100
L 1-2	8/13 at Gremio	+300
W 2-3	5/30 vs Alianza Lima	-255
W 1-2	5/16 vs Cerro Porteno	-180
W 1-0	5/10 at Colo-Colo	+170

Money Line Analysis

:3.1%:11.5%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro	+212	+262	+260	+273	+273	+273	+273	+291.0
Fluminense	+150	+141	+135	+135	+135	+135	+141	+146.3
Draw	+213	+187	+180	+182	+182	+182	+187	+195.6

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro	+205	-	-	-	+205	-	+205	+291.0
Fluminense	+125	-	-	-	+125	-	+125	+146.3
Draw	+180	-	-	-	+180	-	+180	+195.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Fluminense: 30.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Fluminense: 30.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Fluminense: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Fluminense: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML

No Steam Moves On Fluminense ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Fluminense: 30.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Fluminense: 30.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Fluminense: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Fluminense: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML

No Steam Moves On Fluminense ML

Over/Under Analysis

:4.5%:5.4%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2-122	o2+125	o1¾-120	o1¾-110	o1¾-110	o1¾-110	o2+125	o1¾+100
Under	u2+104	u2-147	u1¾-110	u1¾-110	u1¾-110	u1¾-110	u1¾-110	u1¾+100

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2-120	-	-	-	o1½-145	-	o1½-145	o1¾+100
Under	u2-110	-	-	-	u1½+115	-	u1½+115	u1¾+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 20.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 20.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	46.1%


No	53.9%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	9.47%
Exactly 2	26.31%
Exactly 4	12.18%
Exactly 6	2.26%
Exactly 8	0.22%


Exactly 1	22.32%
Exactly 3	20.67%
Exactly 5	5.74%
Exactly 7	0.76%

Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 0	39.29%
Exactly 1	36.70%
Exactly 2	17.14%
Exactly 3	5.34%
Exactly 4	1.25%
Exactly 5	0.23%

Exact Goals Scored - Fluminense
Exactly 0	24.10%
Exactly 1	34.30%
Exactly 2	24.40%
Exactly 3	11.57%
Exactly 4	4.12%
Exactly 5	1.17%
Exactly 6	0.28%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	33.58%
Exactly 2	19.99%
Exactly 4	1.98%


Exactly 1	36.64%
Exactly 3	7.27%
Exactly 5	0.43%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 0	64.89%
Exactly 1	28.07%
Exactly 2	6.07%
Exactly 3	0.88%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fluminense
Exactly 0	51.75%
Exactly 1	34.09%
Exactly 2	11.23%
Exactly 3	2.47%
Exactly 4	0.41%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 2+ goals	8.50%
Wins by 3+ goals	2.21%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.44%

Fluminense
Wins by 2+ goals	23.64%
Wins by 3+ goals	9.04%
Wins by 4+ goals	2.77%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.67%
Wins by 6+ goals	0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Mineiro

Fluminense

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 1 goal	16.18%
Wins by 2 goals	6.29%
Wins by 3 goals	1.77%
Wins by 4 goals	0.38%

Fluminense
Wins by 1 goal	24.65%
Wins by 2 goals	14.60%
Wins by 3 goals	6.27%
Wins by 4 goals	2.09%
Wins by 5 goals	0.56%
Wins by 6 goals	0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	90.53%	9.47%
1.5	68.21%	31.79%
2.5	41.90%	58.10%
3.5	21.23%	78.77%
4.5	9.05%	90.95%
5.5	3.31%	96.69%
6.5	1.06%	98.94%

Total Goals Atletico Mineiro Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	60.71%	39.29%
1.5	24.00%	76.00%
2.5	6.86%	93.14%
3.5	1.52%	98.48%

Total Goals Fluminense Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	75.90%	24.10%
1.5	41.60%	58.40%
2.5	17.20%	82.80%
3.5	5.63%	94.37%
4.5	1.52%	98.48%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	66.42%	33.58%
1.5	29.78%	70.22%
2.5	9.78%	90.22%
3.5	2.51%	97.49%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Mineiro

Fluminense

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9.47%	13.47%	9.59%	4.55%	1.62%	0.46%
1	8.85%	12.59%	8.95%	4.25%	1.51%	0.43%
2	4.13%	5.88%	4.18%	1.98%	0.71%	0.20%
3	1.29%	1.83%	1.30%	0.62%	0.22%	0.06%
4	0.30%	0.43%	0.30%	0.14%	0.05%	0.01%

Atletico Mineiro
1-0	8.85%
2-0	4.13%
2-1	5.88%
3-0	1.29%
3-1	1.83%
3-2	1.30%
4-0	0.30%
4-1	0.43%
4-2	0.30%
4-3	0.14%

Draw
0-0	9.47%
1-1	12.59%
2-2	4.18%
3-3	0.62%

Fluminense
0-1	13.47%
0-2	9.59%
1-2	8.95%
0-3	4.55%
1-3	4.25%
2-3	1.98%
0-4	1.62%
1-4	1.51%
2-4	0.71%
3-4	0.22%
0-5	0.46%
1-5	0.43%
2-5	0.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Mineiro

Fluminense

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	33.58%	22.12%	7.29%	1.60%	0.26%
1	14.52%	9.57%	3.15%	0.69%	0.11%
2	3.14%	2.07%	0.68%	0.15%	0.02%
3	0.45%	0.30%	0.10%	0.02%	0.00%

Atletico Mineiro
1-0	14.52%
2-0	3.14%
2-1	2.07%
3-0	0.45%
3-1	0.30%

Draw
0-0	33.58%
1-1	9.57%
2-2	0.68%

Fluminense
0-1	22.12%
0-2	7.29%
1-2	3.15%
0-3	1.60%
1-3	0.69%
2-3	0.15%
0-4	0.26%
1-4	0.11%

River Plate at Colo-Colo

Sao Paulo at Botafogo RJ

Atletico Mineiro at Fluminense